Generic_Bills_Fan

Best player in the nfl (that canceled a family vacation to appear in a playoff game)

Chiefs are lookin like a wildcard team to me most likely…the complication for them I keep getting hung up on is that Denver vs LAC game left. Someone’s gotta win that one and either Denver wins that and beats LV x2 and commanders without Daniels boom 11 wins right there OR chargers win that game and go to 5-0 in the division (assuming they beat the raiders too lol) with a great conference record on top of that. The team the chiefs can grab the tiebreaker on is already pretty far ahead and the team they are closer to in wins is in great tiebreaker shape

Drama aside is his foot actually healthy? I feel like he had some disagreement with the raiders over treatment. Who knows if he’s healthy or even in playing shape

Still think there will be some wr trade action…can’t say I’m 100% sure the bills will grab one though. Saw some quote that the raiders are open to trading meyers but might not move on from him despite him being on an expiring contract because they ‘want to finish the season strong’ which is nonsense haha teams are definitely holding out to the final buzzer to start bidding wars it seems

Yea I was kinda comin at that from a seeding perspective…. the win column is really all that matters for that. I think the bills won a game they probably should’ve lost and lost a game they probably should’ve won ditto for the pats…feels like you’re coming from a ‘who’s the better team’ type place oftentimes the better teams arent as good a seed as they should be because of a few ugly games early in the season though so it’s kinda two different but related convos I don’t think the pats are nearly as good as the bills are but they’ve got themselves in an ‘any given Sunday’ type situation for the bills rematch

Kinda semantics…pats can easily say the same thing about the Steelers game. And the ravens are likely saying the same thing about the bills game. It’d be a little unfair to add an asterisk to a bills loss and not other teams. If you’re talking about what is gonna happen in the rematch yea I think the bills should definitely win. But the pats are kinda in a position where they really don’t have too many difficult games and they can grab good seeding without even having to be great. ‘Are the pats actually a really good team’ is kinda a separate discussion.. I don’t think they are yet either but the standings are the only thing matters for seeding

It’s definitely possible…I wouldn’t say a ‘very good chance’ though. it flips to very unlikely if they lose the bills rematch. That eliminates the h2h tiebreaker then you shift to conference record (assuming they both finish the division 5-1) where the pats would be two behind so it would likely be a 1.5 game swing. Bills would be 7-2 with the tiebreaker, pats would be 7-3. Bills would have eagles left and pats would have ravens I think they’re def a solid team on the right track but ‘run through foxboro’ is a bit of a stretch too. The odds they grab the 1 seed and win in the divisional round are very low no disrespect to the pats intended at all

Oh yea not disputing that…but you can’t only apply the ‘should’ve won’ thing to one team once you’re going down that road…pats outgained the Steelers by a ton and fumbled like 4 times I feel like they’ve got a valid ‘should’ve won’ claim there

Yea I think if we’re going for the ‘should’ve won’ thing you gotta give the pats the Steelers game…bills are teetering on should’ve beat NE but if you go for bills should’ve beat NE you probably have to take the Baltimore win away.. feels like both teams are at where they should be overall with some minor discrepancies on what the tiebreakers ‘should’ be at lol

Yea I don’t think the betting market feels great about them either which means the value is there. They’re an interesting case where even if they are just ok and lose a couple games, the rest of their schedule is so easy that if one of those losses isn’t Buffalo they could get the 1 seed anyway bills have the eagles still and a couple pretty good teams…if they lose the tiebreaker to NE somehow it’d be tough to catch them i think the bills will probably get the 1 but +470 seems like good value for the situation the pats are in

I morally couldn’t place the bet but I think it’s the pats for best value haha if they can sneak another one out against the bills at home (I think it’s unlikely but you never know) they can lose the Baltimore game and the rest of the schedule is smooth sailing. broncos are a bigger payday if it hits but they gotta play kc who’s been backed into a corner twice and GB who knows what their deal is. Denver has looked great pretty bad in quite a few wins in a row now

I wouldn’t say moot point quite yet but it’s fairly likely an afc east team gets the 1 seed yea.. bills still have a few sneaky games left and Pats who knows. Colts schedule isn’t too bad they may be able to undeservedly hang onto it

Kinda funny that every team not on a bye at the top of ESPNs FPI ratings lost this week lol. Only one that didn’t lose was the eagles who were on bye. The rest of the top 5 all lost

I think we have at least two 😂. Strong is hurt though

I legitimately never knew this until today but Cole bishop is 6’2” apparently haha

I get we get on the bills for potentially running too much but the flip side of that coin is the chiefs who can’t really run on nickel or dime. Pretty tough to win a game that way

They really feel like they’re primed to be this year’s 2021 titans. If they hang on to the 1 seed I can’t really see them winning in the divisional. Not a gimme at all on paper but feels like about as easy as the second round of the playoffs realistically gets

Oh yea I’m not saying the bills won’t win the division but I was curious how people felt about that hypothetical

One thing about non season ending injuries is it keeps the guys from getting hurt in the middle of the season leading up to the playoff push 😂. Silver lining

Football is a super high variance sport and there are so few games in the season that it’s just really prone to causing short term overreactions positive or negative. if you change one or two plays you can turn a comfortable win for a team into a loss in a lot of the games so in a smallish sample size there’s just really no way to tell how good a team is

That’s probably the most likely outcome…it’s a bit uncomfy though and playoff football pretty much starts now for them which will take a bit of a toll either way. Tiebreaker wise if they finish 5-3 instead of 6-2 it might not be enough to get in so the wiggle room is pretty minimal they don’t have a ton of layups on the schedule but there aren’t any super tough games either

I think a lot of that is more opponent he usually sees on the road than something that would apply to the other teams lol

Yea I’d go 1 seed still for sure (like it’s something we can choose… 😂)but wildcard game against pit on the road might be better than a home game against kc or Baltimore round 1 should it shake out that way the 1 seed is such a huge advantage…not only do you get the rest and an auto advance to round 2 but you get a jumpstart gameplanning on the few teams you expect to potentially see round 2

The afc east could end up in a really weird spot where the division winner gets a significantly tougher first round matchup than whoever ends up being the wildcard if you swap the jags out in that graphic for Baltimore or kc, would you rather be the bills or the pats? Really interesting question

The jags game wasn’t even that bad tbh they outgained the jags handedly and the jags pulled off some real low success rate catches to move the ball at all.. 7 points of the jags total were a mahomes pick 6