Generic_Bills_Fan

Thats really the way to slow down any offense...get pressure on the qb without sending extra guys. Allens got that escapability though where you've gotta be really disciplined in keeping contain and is capable of a big play in any situation. Seems like teams have been trying to use that to their advantage and flush josh out of the pocket hoping he'll play hero ball and make a mistake and it just did not happen in that 49ers game. Limiting Brian Winters on field time seems to be the key to victory every week 🤣

New England may be the worst on paper but they are the most likely to put some unexpected wrinkles in that stump us id say

I was always skeptical of teams having 'extra motivation after being mad at a loss' but what do I know ive spent 0 minutes in an nfl locker room 🤣 its just as likely the next week's opponent now has the blueprint on your weaknesses

Definitely the smartest bet lol Miami is very middle of the pack on all the football analytics sites for the folks that care about that stuff...im not sure where these 'Miami is the best thing since sliced bread' posters were coming from 🤣 they just had a pretty big soft spot in their schedule and they finish with 4 tough ones.

I think our best scenario(outside of getting the 1 or 2 seed) is we go into a week 17 game with Miami thats meaningless for us but the dolphins need a win to make the playoffs and then we get a rematch with Miami in the first round of the playoffs. Idk if we could hold the 3 seed playing backups against Miami though so maybe thats impossible. If you could somehow guarantee me the bills beat the steelers maybe a Miami win over kc would be a good thing

Theyd let it happen to the Steelers though 🤣 3 games in 11 days is pretty ridiculous but I won't complain if it gets us a win

Head to head does not apply in a three team scenario if the three teams haven't all played eachother...so the first use of the tiebreaker rules is to eliminate one and make it a two team tie and you restart from the top of the tiebreaker rules...they don't do a great job explaining it on the website but ill try to track down the relevant quotes 🤣 its honestly a little silly that we lost to kc but are undefeated against common opponents with kc and can eliminate them but that is the way it is lol if kc had played pitt it would be a different story...a kc win over pit wouldve had them at 2-0 against us two and couldve eliminated us both in one tiebreaker rule. If pitt beat kc we'd all be 1-1 head to head and the same thing described before of kc getting eliminated on common opponents would happen...and by eliminate i mean eliminate from the #1 seed of course lol

Yea I screwed up with knowing how many conference wins the teams would likely have in a three way tie in my last post but we would be the 1 seed at a three way 13-3 tie. Chiefs get bounced on the win percentage against common opponents tiebreaker so it comes down to us and the steelers and we have h2h

I've been looking into this all day rather than working haha you are right that head to head between all three teams doesn't apply but they go down the tiebreaker list until one of the 3 teams is eliminated and then start back at the top with head to head to break the remaining tie between the two teams...wed have the chiefs at winning percentage in common games and then we'd win the head to head with pitt i think

Right i screwed that up haha good call third loss would probably be the saints...so it would go to common games ill have to check on that...we did beat the raiders and dolphins so I think we would eliminate the chiefs based on common opponents and then you'd walk through the tiebreaking procedure again for us vs steelers and we'd have head to head

Patriots could beat both us and miami...I think thats our biggest test left for the folks that think we are gonna win out and get the 1 or 2 seed...Miami is definitely fighting an uphill battle compared to the other wildcard teams schedules

They are getting payed to attract viewers and get clicks on the internet so hot takes ultimately help them

Take this with a grain of salt im only 75% sure this is correct lol I think they use the wildcard tiebreaking rules to determine home field for division winners...so the head to head is not applicable since all three teams didn't play eachother and you'd drop down to conference win percentage...if we won out we'd have two conference losses and kc would have 3 so that would eliminate them leaving only pitt and we have the head to head over pitt

I think the op mentioned kc losing to dolphins/saints although a dolphins win over kc will be pretty scary for us going into our night game with the steelers 🤣

You also avoid the 1 seed for as long as possible and give one of these unpredictable teams like the browns or titans a chance to beat them. I think im more worried about our pats game than the steelers...pats aren't nearly as good of a team on paper but we don't match up well

I think they'd rather shore up the running game and play outdoors...strong armed quarterback who can make plays with his legs is a big advantage in bad weather provided you are decent at running the football which we have not been 🤣

Theyve thrown at him i think every play 🤣

Right josh wouldve had to lead him right into the defender

Josh has had zero running game to lean on

Were also the only team to beat the pats in the last 5 games lol

I think when we were -3 it mightve been partly due to the uncertainty of not knowing where the game was going to be played maybe?

Edmunds isnt playing absolutely awful anymore too that helps lol. It was incredible that not only were we not getting killed with our horrible linebacker play but we actually were winning most of our games 🤣

People want us to go out and play like the afc championship winner every week and that isn't even close to realistic. Even those cheating patriots dynasty teams would go out and get pantsed against a good team from time to time (except in 07 when they didn't get pantsed til the superbowl of course 🤣) the regular season success the chiefs and steelers have had this year is far from the norm for even a great team but in the playoffs it only takes one loss to spoil it all...ask the ravens about last year they'll tell ya

Why is it luck when our defense makes plays but not luck when the opposing defense makes plays lol I just dont understand this double standard we have. They are lucky we fumbled twice in a row while running the ball down their throat to close out the game then if our defense 'got lucky' shutting down their offense after turnovers. You have a 7+ point lead since early in the game and that only results in a win 33% of the time? 🤣 the bucs were getting beat up all game yardage wise but hung around and needed one stop to have a shot at a game winning drive...much like our game against the chiefs actually.. the chargers never were in a position to do better than tie against us. Bucs had a considerably better chance to win than the chargers did

That is kind of hard to evaluate at this point... the games hes had 150ish yards passing we've made a concerted effort to establish the run even if it wasn't really working. I dont think they wanted josh dropping back to pass too much with bosa absolutely terrorizing our offensive line. I think he's had a deep ball PI penalty in most of those games too. the difference between 175 passing yards and 220 is pretty huge optics wise when you're reading a stat sheet. Even when considering only afc playoff squads there really isn't another team with a pass rusher like bosa.