Generic_Bills_Fan

The ol allow one team to hold to keep the game close…we saw this last week lol

he’s on that Nate peterman pace haha

Zappe is having an exponentially worse game lol

If Josh’s oline is allowed to hold to give him a clean pocket for 4-5 seconds like zappe just got he’ll make that throw

LT held the play after too lol

I mean it’s not just the ‘blitz’…the coverage has been great on the back end too

And again josh has thrown a handful of passes off his back foot and there’s been a few drops

Plays can set up other plays too…you can fake the wr screen and run a wheel or something like that it went for 5 on that Kincaid play as I was typing this

Our opponent never gets any credit for everything around here lol

Play was there Knox blew his block…it’s not like the downfield passing has been working either 😂

The term billsy is really starting to get to me on here 😂. Dolphins give up a 3rd and 16 which leads to a td drive…other teams are doin ‘billsy’ things all the time

He bobbled it and it hit the ground and he picked it up and still got a couple yards lol…he couldve broken that for a first potentially with a clean catch

Flacco has been quietly turning the ball over a ton and they’ve been seeing a lot of bad teams lately…I think they’re gonna get smoked in the first round

It was those defensive injuries from the jags game…we were the 32nd ranked dvoa defense in that 4 game stretch

I still don’t get this…the chiefs absolutely should’ve lost to the 4-11 drew lock led broncos in week 17 last year but got immensely lucky that the broncos had a fumble six in the red zone and they ended up winning the Super Bowl

Should be allenhead…we are that fateful 13 seconds away from winning 4 in a row there 😂

That arm punt that the jets intercepted on the 5 yard line or so was better than 99% of our leg punts lol also your receiver has no chance to catch a leg punt which is the reason why it is thrown to begin with

At least this one is like a 1/25 chance instead of a 1/5000 chance 😂. Still very unlikely though. That last one was too funny…all that talk and it got blown up the first game

Just because we want Miami to lose week 17 doesn’t mean they will either 😂. Its nearly just as likely Miami wins and Baltimore has to play starters week 18. It’s also more likely than what you’re saying that Miami beats Baltimore and cincy beats kc and Miami is resting starters week 18 against us it’s also possible that even in your scenario Baltimore plays starters for a half to keep them fresh and still wins. I believe we murdered Miami like that who was win and in at the time a few years ago

Still don’t get that point really…chiefs looked pretty shaky late in the season last year. Rams lost to another playoff contender in week 18 the season before that and won the superbowl. Bucs just snuck by the Zach Wilson jets in week 17 the year before that. Jets were up 10-24 towards the end of the third quarter Feels like you’re just as likely to see an eventual Super Bowl winner struggle in a game down the stretch as you are dominate

First point I agree with but idk about the second one. Chiefs were a Melvin Gordon fumble six in the red zone away from blowing an ugly one vs 4-11 Denver last year in week 17 who had drew lock starting then they went on to win the superbowl

That is a common pitfall and exactly what not to do. That thinking leads people into believing very very unlikely things are possible with regards to probability lol. It’s the whole basis behind sportsbooks offering parlays with crazy odds…sure you’ll hear about someone hitting a big one rarely but the overwhelming majority of the time it is free money for them. The odds of just one game not going the way you think are extremely high if there were a lot of different paths to us missing with 10 wins it’s a different story but as it stands you have to pretty much perfectly pick 8 games.

I mean even if you guarantee a pit win there despite there being no guarantee pit beats the ravens backups, you’ve still gotta go 7 for 7 in the other games. look what happened with the ‘we can miss the playoffs with 11 wins’ scenario last week…that would’ve required picking 13/13 games correct the rest of the way a lot of those being favorites and every game but Miami went our way. these games where one team is a small favorite are 60/40 type games…getting a lot of those to go against you simultaneously is really tough just getting the bills to not finish 2-0 and the Steelers to beat the Seahawks is around 18% odds…then you’ve gotta pile 5 other picks on top of that

This is a lot more plausible than the us not getting in with 11 wins discussion was a few weeks ago, but I’ve still gotta add the reminder that 8 games all going against us even if the winners are mostly favorites is still very small odds

We were missing a ton of defensive pieces for that last matchup that have been mostly replaced…if Ed and Rasul Douglas played in that last game I dont think they would’ve scored over 20 that bills defensive roster for that stretch after the jags game was one of the leagues worst imo pats are missing a bunch of players on defense too but none are returning this season