Generic_Bills_Fan

Not that I think it’s fixed at all but how many people would it really take? League office/goodell himself and refs really. Its not like you need players or coaches involved or anything

It’s all been on the offense this year for them imo…their defense has looked really good at times but their offense was consistently hanging the defense out to dry. I’ve never been enthusiastic about Daboll…I think he’s another guy that rode Josh’s coattails and got way too much of the credit. plenty of stinker game plans in the Daboll days too where Josh completely bailed him out.

Assuming Miami is playing starters I have the chargers games as 4th most likely loss but it’s all speculation and opinion based of course 😁 I’m not saying we’ll definitely win or that it’s an easy game but part of my point is if we can’t win that game I doubt we’re beating all three of Dallas kc and Miami anyway so the 4-1 finish hypothetical is a moot point anyway

I thought it would be close and a lot of these games people are callin sure wins for these afc wildcard competitors with backup qbs are far from it. Its a long shot but it’s still possible…our tough schedule portions didn’t line up…their remaining 3 tough games in a row close out the year

I think your description is missing a couple important factors that completely alter the outlook…the first being that you’re treating jax and Indy and Houston all as wildcard competition when one has to win the division. second being how likely is it Denver sweeps the chargers and in the hypothetical where we win 10 what are the chances the one loss is to the chargers? I’d say very low for both which makes neither of those teams a very serious threat so it might look scary but really it’s 6 teams vying for 4 playoff spots(one will win afc south) and one of them is the jake browning led bengals with the same record as us. its actually kind of a strength a lot of these teams have games against eachother left not a weakness for us…theres no chance of 4 teams all pulling a game ahead any given week. Its likely two of the teams you mentioned will beat up on some of the other wildcard competitors paving the way to the 7 seed If Indy jax Cleveland pit all had starting qbs I think it would be a bit more of a tossup but as it stands 10 wins has a very good chance of being enough

A lot of named ex players have said they hated playing for him or he was terrifying lol. I don’t think he’s a ‘funny guy’ in a coaching capacity at all but maybe in casual conversation unrelated to football edelman said he’s terrifying and like the emperor cassius marsh said there’s nothing fun or happy about playing for the pats and he hated his time there Reggie Wayne signed there and reportedly said it was too tough then recanted it Brandon spikes called his time in NE ‘4 years a slave’ Wes Welker referred to bill as someone you just have to endure and that he’s hard on everybody I get that it got results and so on (although you can probably make a pretty solid case he lucked into Brady much like the bills lucked into Josh) but the point is things couldn’t have been THAT bad in Buffalo if these ex players are remaining anonymous because they think they’ll seem petty if people knew who they were. I think belichick was such a tyrant that some of these players were at their breaking point and just didn’t care how complaining made them look

If there’s any conspiracies/refs picking winners type things going on I just can’t see why they’d want Cleveland,Indy or pit in the playoffs over Buffalo lol all three of those teams would get obliterated

They beat the raiders in between We’d also be 2-0 against arguably the two best teams in the AFC and pretty bad against the rest of the afc 😂

It def increased the odds we can get in on a 4-1 finish though

If we’re bringing historic win percentages into it there’s little to no chance we lose to Miami to be fair 😂. I wouldn’t read into the historic results vs the chargers in SD too much for that reason

I think a 9 win team will get one of the wildcards or the bills at 10 wins. Lookin at the teams in the hunt I don’t really see anyone pulling away except for maybe the Texans but if the Texans pull away they likely beat Cleveland and Indy which would kind of be good for us? I doubt it’s gonna take winning out from us

They maybe shouldn’t have been in those positions sure but the defense has to hold once or twice on a final drive out of six different games lol that’s really not too much to ask. Not being able to stop NE or NYG(without needing a bailout from the refs) or DEN is literally insane 🤣. Just one stop out of a ton of chances and it’s a completely different season. If the defense got a few of those stops I’d have no problem putting all the blame on the offense there’s plenty of blame to go around on both sides of the ball. Last year the offense was more consistent and if the defense was this bad late in one score games we would’ve been much closer to .500 despite winning 13

Kind of reminds me of the lions game last year…we caught them at the beginning of a hot streak and everyone thought they were a bad team still and the lions have been hot ever since lol Idk how this narrative keeps getting pushed that tomlin has no talent and overperforms every year lol he has talent and is holding them back imo

The ‘every team will win the games they’re favored so we have no chance at the playoffs’ argument fell apart pretty quick lol

If josh finishes fairly strong and the team does well it’s gonna be the most out of nowhere monster season in history lol. The only context he’s talked about really is turnovers

I think even the bengals fans mostly hate Zac Taylor lol

Yea seriously…if we run the table or win 4 games against most or all of Dallas/kc/miami, why would we assume one on done?

Not that we should talk 😂 but I think tomlin is wading into overrated territory. We’ve been saying he’s doing a good job with no talent for years now but they’ve actually got talent now and they sure make it look like they don’t lol

They might say 0% but I feel like if we lose to NE and finish with a losing record it could still happen lol

The odds of the projected favorite winning every game are astronomically small. That is not a realistic way to predict anything. Especially if they are a small favorite. If you’re a 60/40 favorite in back to back games the odds of winning both of those games is 36%. Not to mention you’re looking at the favorites now when the favorites need to be re evaluated before each game. For example browns may be the favorite over all those teams you mentioned now but if they go out and get destroyed next game that may not be the case I mean they activated his 21 day practice window. And even if Rodgers doesn’t come back the browns and jets are both good defenses with terrible qbs. It’s a pretty safe bet browns lose at least one of bears jets and bengals

I don’t know why those are guaranteed wins for them is the point I was making…pj walker and DTR are as bad or worse than browning they could be playing the jets with Aaron Rodgers by week 17 also.

Oooh the wording sounded like you were saying if we go 5-0 we’re a 13% chance which is not true…its an uphill battle overall but a 5-0 finish we are nearly guaranteed to get in The dvoa methodology actually gives us more of a chance than other predictions so I was confused at what you were sayin lol I think the one benefit we have is the vast majority of these fellow wildcard competitors have somewhere between bad and terrible qbs right now.. like I wouldn’t be terribly surprised if a team like Cleveland finished 1-5.

Are you sure that’s not 13.5% chance TO go 5-0 lol 5-0 finish and we are 99% in by any playoff simulator I’ve seen our odds to get in at 4-1 are considerably better than that 13.5 number it looks like DVOA is giving us a 13.5% chance to get in right now with no assumptions about future wins. We are the 4th rated team in the afc by their DAVE metric and we walloped the 3rd rated team so I don’t think you’re interpreting the numbers correctly

He led by a whopping 1 last year and if josh dobbs ceased to exist he’d be leading by a whopping 1 this year with an extra game played on a lot of guys that are 2 behind 😂. That’s far from a guarantee he’ll lead it again the end of this year. Y’all make it sound like he’s got 10 more than anyone else but really he’s right in line with a bunch of guys that get far less touches

Criticism of Phillips on this specific play relies on the refs being completely blind to an obvious false start because the league must love the tush push/brotherly shove branding lol. Phillips went when Kelce started his bs illegal antics before snapping the ball seems like the key to being successful in the nfl is coming up with a cool name for things…’sauce’ Gardner can hold virtually whenever he wants because he’s got a recognizable nickname too 😂