Generic_Bills_Fan

At least this one is like a 1/25 chance instead of a 1/5000 chance 😂. Still very unlikely though. That last one was too funny…all that talk and it got blown up the first game

Just because we want Miami to lose week 17 doesn’t mean they will either 😂. Its nearly just as likely Miami wins and Baltimore has to play starters week 18. It’s also more likely than what you’re saying that Miami beats Baltimore and cincy beats kc and Miami is resting starters week 18 against us it’s also possible that even in your scenario Baltimore plays starters for a half to keep them fresh and still wins. I believe we murdered Miami like that who was win and in at the time a few years ago

Still don’t get that point really…chiefs looked pretty shaky late in the season last year. Rams lost to another playoff contender in week 18 the season before that and won the superbowl. Bucs just snuck by the Zach Wilson jets in week 17 the year before that. Jets were up 10-24 towards the end of the third quarter Feels like you’re just as likely to see an eventual Super Bowl winner struggle in a game down the stretch as you are dominate

First point I agree with but idk about the second one. Chiefs were a Melvin Gordon fumble six in the red zone away from blowing an ugly one vs 4-11 Denver last year in week 17 who had drew lock starting then they went on to win the superbowl

That is a common pitfall and exactly what not to do. That thinking leads people into believing very very unlikely things are possible with regards to probability lol. It’s the whole basis behind sportsbooks offering parlays with crazy odds…sure you’ll hear about someone hitting a big one rarely but the overwhelming majority of the time it is free money for them. The odds of just one game not going the way you think are extremely high if there were a lot of different paths to us missing with 10 wins it’s a different story but as it stands you have to pretty much perfectly pick 8 games.

I mean even if you guarantee a pit win there despite there being no guarantee pit beats the ravens backups, you’ve still gotta go 7 for 7 in the other games. look what happened with the ‘we can miss the playoffs with 11 wins’ scenario last week…that would’ve required picking 13/13 games correct the rest of the way a lot of those being favorites and every game but Miami went our way. these games where one team is a small favorite are 60/40 type games…getting a lot of those to go against you simultaneously is really tough just getting the bills to not finish 2-0 and the Steelers to beat the Seahawks is around 18% odds…then you’ve gotta pile 5 other picks on top of that

This is a lot more plausible than the us not getting in with 11 wins discussion was a few weeks ago, but I’ve still gotta add the reminder that 8 games all going against us even if the winners are mostly favorites is still very small odds

We were missing a ton of defensive pieces for that last matchup that have been mostly replaced…if Ed and Rasul Douglas played in that last game I dont think they would’ve scored over 20 that bills defensive roster for that stretch after the jags game was one of the leagues worst imo pats are missing a bunch of players on defense too but none are returning this season

I gotta agree….a truly average team would have considerably more 2+ score losses. We feel like a good/great team that has had some bad luck in close games this season imo most notably the eagles game

It felt like he did run to the NFC but it had everything to do with what was going on with the pats and nothing to do with the other afc east teams. The bucs had way more weapons than the pats did. The flash in the pan label I’ve gotta mildly disagree with if rivers has the HOVG designation though lol. I think there’s a handful of guys that are HOVG at minimum playing right now.

He’s makin all the same mistakes on the chiefs but mahomes/Kelce have been able to cover it up up until this point so no one has cared a hall of fame wr left and they thought they could get by with mediocre talent at that position…the team pretty quickly started to go downhill until ultimately going 4-12 the year Reid was fired…hopefully that will sound familiar next year 😂. Eagles had a bit of a comeback when desean Jackson hit the scene but it was pretty short lived

Yea the situation the turnover occurred in is wayyy more important than just the total count of turnovers. Throwing a bomb on third down to take a chance on making something happen is better than punting strategically. a deep INT on 1st or second down is a negative play but doesn’t hurt anywhere close to as bad as a fumble or pick six as far as turnovers that really hurt us strategically in big spots of games I think Allen is right in line with a lot of the other great qbs if not less. He’s had a lot of rotten luck this year with defenders catching everything too

I think there’s a maximum amount of positive points they can score an individual play so the most preposterously incredible play in history is worth the same as just a good play in the pff world

I haven’t been to the new mega stadiums like Sofi but similar ones have this cheesy corporate feel. I’ve had way more fun in the old, rundown stadiums they just seem to suit the game of football better to me 😂

Depends on how it happens…that chiefs defense is really good and it’s the reason they’ve been winning this year It’s not just a rough patch for the kc offense….theyve looked off all season

The kc oline was far better than buffalos for years up until this season and they had tyreek/Kelce for a good chunk of it. I think josh is as good or better in that kc offense than mahomes

Kc had an embarrassment of riches and now that they are more in line with other teams weapons I think we’re seeing how mahomes would look if he was anywhere but kc the last few seasons. That oline has been elite for the last few years and Kelce has been a beast up until this year obvioisly I’d take the two Superbowls also no question though 😂

Right when some people were starting to give him props finally lol

That’s a fair critique haha I’ll elaborate…I think SF or Philly roster wise are incredible teams and whoever ends up making it will be playing at that peak and it would be a very tough game for us playing at our peak. In the past I have felt there were a few potential afc playoffs games that were that tough but the Superbowls would’ve been easier there’s been a few not great teams in the Super Bowl in the past…that Goff rams team was pretty embarrassing. It’s unlikely but it does happen lol

I feel like we can more so than ever beat up on nearly the entire playoff field but the Super Bowl im assuming will be an nfc team that figured their sh*t out should we get there

That INT would not have hit the ground if josh threw it 😂

Feels like it’s starting to tip back towards the defense a little bit…I wonder if that trend continues or this has just been an odd season

Every time I see a highlight of Kelce blocking he is always holding lol

It can def happen…look at that Steelers team a few years back.

Oh yea it’s not guaranteed but there’s a good amount of scenarios where it happens now