Generic_Bills_Fan

They beat the raiders in between We’d also be 2-0 against arguably the two best teams in the AFC and pretty bad against the rest of the afc 😂

It def increased the odds we can get in on a 4-1 finish though

If we’re bringing historic win percentages into it there’s little to no chance we lose to Miami to be fair 😂. I wouldn’t read into the historic results vs the chargers in SD too much for that reason

I think a 9 win team will get one of the wildcards or the bills at 10 wins. Lookin at the teams in the hunt I don’t really see anyone pulling away except for maybe the Texans but if the Texans pull away they likely beat Cleveland and Indy which would kind of be good for us? I doubt it’s gonna take winning out from us

They maybe shouldn’t have been in those positions sure but the defense has to hold once or twice on a final drive out of six different games lol that’s really not too much to ask. Not being able to stop NE or NYG(without needing a bailout from the refs) or DEN is literally insane 🤣. Just one stop out of a ton of chances and it’s a completely different season. If the defense got a few of those stops I’d have no problem putting all the blame on the offense there’s plenty of blame to go around on both sides of the ball. Last year the offense was more consistent and if the defense was this bad late in one score games we would’ve been much closer to .500 despite winning 13

Kind of reminds me of the lions game last year…we caught them at the beginning of a hot streak and everyone thought they were a bad team still and the lions have been hot ever since lol Idk how this narrative keeps getting pushed that tomlin has no talent and overperforms every year lol he has talent and is holding them back imo

The ‘every team will win the games they’re favored so we have no chance at the playoffs’ argument fell apart pretty quick lol

If josh finishes fairly strong and the team does well it’s gonna be the most out of nowhere monster season in history lol. The only context he’s talked about really is turnovers

I think even the bengals fans mostly hate Zac Taylor lol

Yea seriously…if we run the table or win 4 games against most or all of Dallas/kc/miami, why would we assume one on done?

Not that we should talk 😂 but I think tomlin is wading into overrated territory. We’ve been saying he’s doing a good job with no talent for years now but they’ve actually got talent now and they sure make it look like they don’t lol

They might say 0% but I feel like if we lose to NE and finish with a losing record it could still happen lol

The odds of the projected favorite winning every game are astronomically small. That is not a realistic way to predict anything. Especially if they are a small favorite. If you’re a 60/40 favorite in back to back games the odds of winning both of those games is 36%. Not to mention you’re looking at the favorites now when the favorites need to be re evaluated before each game. For example browns may be the favorite over all those teams you mentioned now but if they go out and get destroyed next game that may not be the case I mean they activated his 21 day practice window. And even if Rodgers doesn’t come back the browns and jets are both good defenses with terrible qbs. It’s a pretty safe bet browns lose at least one of bears jets and bengals

I don’t know why those are guaranteed wins for them is the point I was making…pj walker and DTR are as bad or worse than browning they could be playing the jets with Aaron Rodgers by week 17 also.

Oooh the wording sounded like you were saying if we go 5-0 we’re a 13% chance which is not true…its an uphill battle overall but a 5-0 finish we are nearly guaranteed to get in The dvoa methodology actually gives us more of a chance than other predictions so I was confused at what you were sayin lol I think the one benefit we have is the vast majority of these fellow wildcard competitors have somewhere between bad and terrible qbs right now.. like I wouldn’t be terribly surprised if a team like Cleveland finished 1-5.

Are you sure that’s not 13.5% chance TO go 5-0 lol 5-0 finish and we are 99% in by any playoff simulator I’ve seen our odds to get in at 4-1 are considerably better than that 13.5 number it looks like DVOA is giving us a 13.5% chance to get in right now with no assumptions about future wins. We are the 4th rated team in the afc by their DAVE metric and we walloped the 3rd rated team so I don’t think you’re interpreting the numbers correctly

He led by a whopping 1 last year and if josh dobbs ceased to exist he’d be leading by a whopping 1 this year with an extra game played on a lot of guys that are 2 behind 😂. That’s far from a guarantee he’ll lead it again the end of this year. Y’all make it sound like he’s got 10 more than anyone else but really he’s right in line with a bunch of guys that get far less touches

Criticism of Phillips on this specific play relies on the refs being completely blind to an obvious false start because the league must love the tush push/brotherly shove branding lol. Phillips went when Kelce started his bs illegal antics before snapping the ball seems like the key to being successful in the nfl is coming up with a cool name for things…’sauce’ Gardner can hold virtually whenever he wants because he’s got a recognizable nickname too 😂

I can’t even tell you how much kelces complaining bothered me haha the only way to stop that play is to jump the snap so that’s what absolutely every team should be doing. He obviously mistimed it a bit but I doubt he was intentionally trying to injure anybody

Player comparisons across teams are ridiculous enough in general…Josh is carrying more of the offensive load than any other player on any team and it’s not like his receivers are getting large amounts of separation consistently. Comparing his numbers on a stat sheet to mahomes just doesn’t even feel super relevant to me

He doesnt even lead the league in turnovers the current year when you posted this 😂 some ‘facts’ you’ve got lol

I’m getting pretty tired of the narrative and I might take a rainy day to go through actual impactful ints for each qb. Per attempt I guarantee tua and hurts are much higher and some other guys you wouldn’t even expect are probably higher also feels like a bunch of Josh’s this year have been on arm punts/a Hail Mary

The 6-6 feels a bit fluky to me personally. Bass missin relatively easy fgs in most close games and teams pulling off some of the most improbable plays of the year against us…the Sutton td and eagles fg/the prayer td to zaccheaus were just ridiculous. I don’t think we’ll win out but I think we’re a pretty good but not great team that’s had some rough luck

I’m so curious if belichick will give up gm responsibilities…I pity the team that hands him control of everything

I don’t really get why you would bring the sideline into play when you beat single coverage quick so I’m not sure I agree…just my two cents though could be meaningless 😂