Generic_Bills_Fan

His vision is infinitely better than Zack moss and singletary it feels like too…a lot of these runs weren’t massive holes opened up

This seems like the part people haven’t wrapped their heads around lol. These wildcard competitor teams could literally lose to anyone. Its why the Steelers went from 6-3 to 7-7

I think the chiefs are gonna be the problem on that final point…they’d have to drop one also because they have the h2h against the dolphins and should win out Baltimore probably will lose to SF and if they lose to Miami too they wouldn’t be an issue

That and defenders just can’t catch a tua interception that hits them right in the gut lol tua threw another gift wrapped pick six that was dropped yesterday Lawrence is doing his best to catch up in turnovers too…there’s like 12 players within a couple turnovers of Josh and Dobbs is still tied with him despite playing one less game

He hit Dak hard but it did look like he tried to pull up…Dak looked like he was gonna fight for more yards and rapp kind of pushed him backwards which made it look like a slide im sure Dallas was over there telling their guys the same thing…if josh is gonna fight for yards rushing the football hit him as hard as you can this is just a weird board sometimes…I’ve read the ‘were a finesse team that can’t play against a physical defense’ complaint over and over but when our defense absolutely flies all over the field making huge hits we also complain? if you’re hitting guys hard you’re destined to get a few of those unlucky ‘hit on a defenseless receiver’ and ‘hitting a qb hard that hasn’t quite started sliding yet’ type plays

The one thing I don’t get is why a team would abandon the run down against the cowboys early in a game lol especially if they’re gonna play dime all game. I think this ‘the cowboys are much better playing from ahead’ gets a little overblown we could’ve won in a shootout just running the football this game 😂

I can’t even say Matt Patricia at OC was a disaster when bill O’Brien is doing even worse 😂

Right but like I said before…that scenario where we miss requires picking the winner of like 15 individual games perfectly to keep us out at 11 wins…if any single individual game goes our way, the bills cannot miss at 11 wins. ‘They still might not make it’ is technically correct but incredibly misleading if you don’t add that the ‘might not’ is astronomically small odds just the Miami beating Dallas and Baltimore and cincy beating kc portion is very unlikely. Then you pile on top of that the ravens losing out, cincy winning out, Indy winning out, jax winning out, Cleveland winning 2 but they have to be a specific 2, I’m probably still even missing a few things but it’s still extremely extremely unlikely we are all but in at 11 wins right now. Saying things like ‘we need help still to make it in with 11 wins’ is pretty disingenuous. We would need more negative help than anyone has ever gotten to not make it 😂 if these teams you’re talking about winning out were all huge favorites every game it would still be a long shot but a little more reasonable to at least understand where you’re coming from.. But with backup qbs and such they are probably no better than 55ish percent chance of winning any individual game. The odds of just 5 games like that all going against you are about 5% let alone how many there would actually be. Were talking like 1/5000 chance or more but they’re just gonna round it down to 99.9% chance we make it.

I posted this earlier and second guessed myself but Miami has a small chance to have the 1 seed locked up before our game against them if they beat Dallas and Baltimore and Baltimore loses to SF and kc drops another game too lol I’d assume they’d be resting starters then so even if they somehow beat Baltimore and Dallas there’s still a small chance it helps us lol

Jags blowing 2 down the stretch is pretty unlikely but it would be a huge boost to our wildcard odds too…losing to the bucs would really make them sweat out those last two games. Jags losing two would get us from coin flip at best with 10 wins to very likely in with 10 wins

Playin around with the nyt playoff machine and it seems like their simulations really don’t think the dolphins are nearly as good as us lol We’re a pretty big division favorite in their models if the dolphins lose next week and we win. It flips from 60/40 dolphins winning the division now to 55/45 bills winning it with just those two results

Yea that was rough but if we had to choose that catastrophic dolphins collapse last week or these wildcard teams dropping back a game I’d take the dolphins loss…we cashed in all our luck on that one is how I’m lookin at it 😂. We got some pretty good help up until this week too

I think those McDermott disguised zones cause huge problems for teams that don’t see them too often which is why we frequently beat up on the NFC teams and struggle a little bit against the pats/jets and teams like the bengals who we see fairly often it’s one thing for the qb to watch our old games on film but an entirely different situation when they’re out there playing against it I think we’ve got a better shot than any other afc team of beating the niners

He had some big legal hits that actually helped the team for once 😂

It made me cringe hearing the announcers say we don’t control our own destiny without adding it would take an absolute miracle to keep us out at 11 wins 😂 it’s about as close as you can get to controlling your own destiny without technically doing so

This narrative is killing me…like yes technically you are correct that we can win out and not make it but it is a 1 in thousands chance. Any one of the below happening gets us in at 11 wins: any jags loss Any bengals loss and colts loss any Baltimore win Miami losing to one of Dallas/baltimore Cleveland losing to Houston or nyj We’d need like 10 games to all go perfectly against us to not get in if cincy loses to pit Saturday we instantly control our own destiny before our game is even played Miami is likely making it even if they lose out

Josh got robbed of a third td but that’s pretty tough to get upset about 😂 His best shot is a strong finish for the team with little to no turnovers and just out touchdowning everyone else by a big margin lol

Hyde was out and maybe coming back for the afc championship that 13 seconds year tre was out also I really think this years team is better…Dline is better, oline is arguably better, corners are much better compared to that playoff roster at least, no Milano hurts but comparing linebackers to that year depends on your personal opinion of edmunds 😁

I edited my post to add all the different stuff that could clinch us a spot with 11 wins and I’ll paste it here too: Any bengals loss any colts loss any jags loss any ravens win Miami losing to one of Dallas/Baltimore Cleveland losing to Houston or the jets just need one of these many games to go our way 😂. There’s some overlap so I’m gonna try to count the total number of games that have to perfectly go against us to keep us out of the playoffs at 11 wins lol looks like it’s 15 games all going against us after that ravens win that would keep us out at 11 wins

I think he’s playing hurt…some of those throws were just awful

Do they? AFC south leader at 10 wins completely blows up the bad scenario and for us to get the 2 Miami would have to dump one to Dallas or Baltimore which also blows up the bad scenario. the bad scenario is pretty much only caused by a huge logjam at 11 wins which requires some weird stuff to happen like Baltimore winning just one non Miami game and Indy winning out lol Right now any of the following wins/losses guarantees us a playoff spot at 11 wins: Any bengals loss any colts loss any jags loss any ravens win Miami losing to one of Dallas/Baltimore Cleveland losing to Houston or the jets

I think he meant 11-6 and 10-7 clearly lol

I watched the bucs play today and they can easily beat the jags…panthers id assume is a win for jax but then week 18 division game vs Tennessee you never know

Miami losing at least one not to us isn’t necessary…SO much has to happen for the bills not to get in at 11-6 as a wildcard. Like 1 in thousands type odds someone posted a tweet of all that needs to happen its legitimately crazy lol this is just a small subset of the list of what needs to happen but the bengals and Indy need to win out and Baltimore needs to win only 1 game but not to Miami and Miami has to beat Dallas and Baltimore. Jacksonville needs to win at least 3 games also. Baltimore winning tonight makes it nearly impossible for us to miss as an 11 win wildcard the bills may not control their own destiny which maybe is a term that scares people but they are literally as close as you can get to controlling your own destiny without technically controlling it 🤣

Mahomes is catching up despite refs negating a lot of his turnovers with ticky tacky penalties lol