Chaos

Bills by 10+ points 34-21

Also the guys moved on from were not effective or mediocre last year. None were hard or complicated decisions.

Coleman is doing great so far. Zero drops and 2-0 as a Bill. Separation rates are important. It seems all separation stats are based on a subjective analysis of the play (eye-ball-tests). And different reviewers see things differently. For example PFF (a service NFL teams pay for, whether we like them or not) has the following for Coleman and Worthy for "separation" Week 1: Coleman 2 out 11 Worthy 4 out of 9 Week 2: Coleman 5 out of 8 Worthy 2 out of 6 Total Coleman 7 out of 19 =37% Worthy 6 out of 15 = 40% https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-week-1-separation-report-2024 https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-week-2-separation-report-2024 PFF also reports a week 1 average for all NFL receivers of 55%. Also I don't think Win Rate showed in the first post is the same thing as "separation score"

My understanding is that the NFL is requiring Jacksonville to spend the next 8 days in England, then flyback Monday to play in the Monday night game. They need to do an another experiment to see how this travel stuff effects the players.

Falcons offense is ugly

This is pretty good. I noticed you left Tua off. Is that intentional.

Who would you like to put on the list?

To be fair he misses a lot of games.

There really is no dispute that Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are the two best QBs in the NFL. Who is number three?

Bills played much better the first two games than the Chiefs.

A couple things. First this is a good question. Second the number is skewed high. Mahomes is incredibly well aware of his surroundings and sees when an early flag is thrown against the opponent. And then typically goes for the home run ball, which is some times intercepted.

Actually the number of games the Bills win when Allen has a bad day are pretty few and far between. In fact, I suspect it would be hard to find a game the Bills won, when the other teams QB had a rating 23 points higher than Allen. To be fair, that may also be a unique factor from Mahomes game yesterday. I am aware in any game the Bills lose where the turnover differential was against them, that is generally the first thing the coaches point too.

Championship teams generally control most of the games and often beat up on the opponent. They typically have better talent and are better prepared for games. But in the NFL, the lack of undefeated teams, highlights that this is very tough to do every week. Yesterday Joe Burrow put up a 103 passer rating. P. Mahomes was at 80. In 95%+ of games a passer rating gap that big would result in a loss for the lower rated team. Yesterday the Chiefs had 3 turnovers to the Bengals one turnover. Conventional wisdom is that it is nearly impossible to win a game with a minus 2 turnover ratio. (Statistically teams with a +2 margin win 81% of games) Yesterday the Chiefs over came both of these situations and still found a way to win. In my casual observation, the Chiefs seem to find ways to win, more often than anyone else in situations where they should lose. I think it is tough to statisicially assess this, because in all but about 3-4 games a season, the Chiefs are going to statiscially out match opponents. Note- Flip side of this is the Bengals finding a way to lose a game they should have won. The bold part above is the main reason the Chiefs win championships. But I think the rest of the post points out a small contributer.

Chiefs once again demonstrating that it is very possible to win with losing the turnover battle

What wait, a turnover machine that throws TD passes

Teams that start 0-2 miss the playoffs 88 percent of the time. under FL rules wins and losses are treated identically in September and December

That Gentleman is what a turnover machine looks like.

We are all raiders fans for 27 seconds

This game is not prescotts direct fault. But the contract is an albatross that will make fixing the problem.

Prescott contract is nearly as bad as Tua or Watson’s.

Only if you considered their contributions last season as anthing more than JAGs. Diggs. Sill more than a JAG Davis JAG Morse JAG White didn't play most of last year Poyer JAG Hyde missed a lot of season Silly to expect losing any or all of them is anything more than ordinary turnover of the middle of the roster.

The pre season narratives in the media for the Jets and Dolphins were absurd. The idea that a 40 year old QB coming off an Achilles injury was going to combine with a coach who has never coached a playoff game and a couple of wash recievers (plus Garret Wilson) some how is a Super Bowl contender is laughable. Similarly the idea that a team coached by a coach who never won a playoff game , QB by a guy who is an injury risk on every hit, and who the NFL outlawed their main offense scheme is going to finish ahead of the Bills was equally laughable. The Bills own the AFC east.

Bills finally found the formula to make me happy. Get an early 2 or 3 score lead and then coast to a 21 point win. If they do this 17 more times in a row, I will be completely happy.

just so we have something to worry about for the next 10 days.