Chaos

We have come a long way, as be cry in our beer, that our QB is sucking after coming off a 35-0 win.

Green Bay got trounced in week 1. The Bills offense is not in top form through 2 weeks. One common factor for these two teams is that starters did not play much in pre-season games. Does anyone follow the entire league enough to have an opinion on whether or not playing starters in pre-season vs. early regular-season success (this year only, not historical perspective)

I did not understand the original question to say it had to come from the OPs list of 4. our best players have not changed , they are in this order Allen, Diggs and White.

Because its professional football. Taunting is unprofessional and detracts from the game.

Never remember Brady, Manning or Rothlisberger being pulled from games with 12 minutes left.

The Bills have become increasingly predictable. Most fans know what play is coming as soon as the offensive players line up.

Bills have have an average to below average stable of running backs. No shuffling of the deck changes that.

The formula is public knowledge, not a secret anymore.

You can say it again and again. But that won't make it true.

In a world that has been in constant turmoil for twenty years, there only one constant: Tom Brady is going to win football games.

Its not overthinking. As Josh enters his fourth professional season someone just made the observation that QB statistics rarely progress in a straight line. In Josh's case, I expect them to hockey stick further upward as he destroys all records and leads the Bills to a Super Bowl victory.

https://overthecap.com/the-basics-and-methodology-of-projecting-the-nfls-compensatory-draft-picks/

The formula is not secret anymore. If Trubisky signs for even low end starter money with another team next year, the Bills are almost guaranteed a third round comp pick.

People also seem to want to think drafting in the top 10 of the first round each years is the same as picking 30th every year.

This is why one end of the equation is third round pick

Pretty cool article. Josh is 1 Mahomes is 1A. This is the new Manning vs Brady. The rest don’t matter much.

A lot people hate math and logic. The question is value. Would you take 3 first round picks for Trubisky? Would you take one 6th round pick. Most people are probably somewhere between those two points. They question is where do you land. One possible answer is “this is too hard to think about, pass”

Don't really want it decided on anyone but Josh.

Bills will likely get an end of third round comp pick for Trubisky next year: https://overthecap.com/the-basics-and-methodology-of-projecting-the-nfls-compensatory-draft-picks/ That seems to make it certain that there would be no point to accept a third for him this year. Personally, I would not have swapped a 2022 first and third round picks to secure Mitch as a backup. Likewise, I would not pass on 2022 first round pick to retain him as backup QB.

Does the Super Bowl window close this year? What percentage of winning the Super Bowl Involve the Bills backup QB starting and winning a playoff game?

Do the comp pick rules count for a Veteran in a one year contract?

Not sure I agree on value . If Trubisky leaves the Bills next year and the Bills trade their first to acquire a Trubisky equivalent, I would be upset.

Nick Foles, Earl Morall, Jeff Hostetler and I am sure others helped lead teams to and through playoffs. I think the Bills make the playoffs even if Josh misses a small number of games, regardless of who the backup is. I don't think the Bills make a run through the playoffs without Josh. Clearly if the decision was "win the super bowl, or get a first" everyone would pick "win the super bowl". Its not at all obvious those are the two choices.

The point of the thread is not to advocate trading Trubisky. Reading comprehension is an important skill. Its a hypothetical question. I am certain that Beane has already thought of his response if he is asked. I doubt seriously his response would be "Holy *****, didn't think of that, during free agency no one wanted him."

Trubisky is clearly the best BU QB options the Bills will have for 2021. Trubisky will likely be gone to be a starter after this season. If someone offered a second (price for Garapollo paid by the 49ers), would the long term benefit of the second be worth trading?