Chaos

Young players, and young QB. Everyone seems to think regarding the Bills that means you automatically improve. Please detail why you think they will be worse team next year.

There is a strategic part of this question and a tactical part. First the strategic part. There is more than one approach to coaching a young QB. The Raven's built an unconventional offense around their unconventional QB, and it has worked out very well so far. The Bills seem committed to developing Allen into a conventional QB. This has not worked as well as with the Ravens, but it is working out so far as well. The reality is that the Bills have among the weakest WR's, RB groups, TE's and offensive lines among all the playoff teams. Even so, Allen led the rag tag group to the second highest total points in regulation among all the wild card weekend teams. This was without the benefit of particularly good starting position too. Allen has unconventional talents. There is an argument that an approach more similar to the Ravens might make sense. But it is certainly less than 100% certain. Tactical Coaching is something else. I think we can assume that no coaches Allen to drop back 15 yards behind the LOS when pressured. But since I am not in the rooms, I don't know if Allen is being given proper advice on how to handle these situations, or simply can't execute. I do know this though. Allen's college experience is much less. Hear are his passing attempts in College vs the other young guns. Allen 649 Jackson 1086 Mahomes 1349 Darnold 846 Mayfield 1497 Add to the discrepency that the Defense's Allen faced were the furthers from the NFL of the group. Not making excuses for Allen, but part of learning is game reps. And that includes college game reps. It is reasonable to believe Allen has more room for improvement than the others simply because he has less experience.

Ascending in this case simply means to improve. Unless the Ravens go 19-0 , they have room for improvement. This is obvious. If the Dolphins do not find a good answer at QB, they will struggle. This is not a unique problem.

His offenses have helped post a lot of wins a few times. I realize some prefer yards.

Bills finished 6th in the AFC this year. Five teams did better, 10 worse. Bills have a QB who should get better, and it generally feels like the team should get better next year. But the 2020 Bills won't be competing against the 2019 Bills, they will be competing against the other AFC teams. Which ones do you think are going to improve next year, and which ones decline. AFC East Pats - maybe the hardest one to gauge. But seems to be in decline for now. Bills - Ascending - QB should improve. In game coaching has a lot or room for improvement. Jets - I think Gase is a wheel spinner, and that the Jets are equally likely to go up or down Dolphins - Dolphins really have almost no where to go but up. But they seem like a low ceiling team. AFC North Ravens, - ascending. Same dynamics as the Bills but starting from higher ground. Steelers - ascending. I hate the Steelers. But their defense is solid, coaching is solid, and their QB situation almost certainly has to improve. If rudolph and duck are they only choices at QB, then this arrow turns sideways Browns - ascending - hate Mayfield, I think he sucks. almost anyone they hire for HC has to be better than the clown they let go. arrow may be up, but ceiling is still low. Bengals - ascending - no where to go buy up. Also low ceiling AFC South Colts - Sideways to down. Love their head coach. But they look to be in QB hell to me with Brissett. I think they are close to looking at a full rebuild. Texans - Sideways to down. They gave up a lot of draft capital to get where they are. Despite his stunning return, Watts is on the decline. playmakers have all peaked. They needed the refs to cheat to win a playoff game. Jaguars - Down -- Marrone means always expect to go down Titans - Ascending - Tricky one. If Tannehill is born again, its an up arrow. If he simply played way over his head this year its a down arrow. AFC West Chiefs. ascending. Same dynamics as the Bills but starting from higher ground. Chargers - declining - key players have peaked or are on the declin Raiders - ascending. I think low ceiling though. Carr is not likely to get better, which keeps them from moving much Broncos - wheel spinning until the QB issue is solved. NFL always changes, so past is not necessarily prologue. For 15 years the Pats, Colts and Steelers were the only AFC Champs, save for one appearance by the Flacco Ravens. The Chiefs and Ravens, seem built to be part of the championship mix for a long time. They are already the 1 and 2 seeds. Have proven coaches and two QBs widely accepted at the best young QBs in the game. Mahomes and Jackson may very well recreate the Manning-Brady rivalry along with Reid and Harbaugh. I am not sure if the Bills have the coaching/QBing to become the consistent third team in the mix. If Tomlin and Belichick cannot create past magic, I think the Bills are positioned to be the next best consistently after the chiefs and ravens. Unfortunately, I don't see any obvious moves that will allow the Bills to propel past these two teams on a consistent basis. To be clear on any given Sunday most any team can win. The Bills can beat any team on any given Sunday. But in 2019 against teams with winning records, the Bills did not win very many Sundays.

Your conclusion that having more passes being due to overtime has any relation to impact the likelihood of turnovers was inane.

You don't really understand how statistics work do you?

guy was asked to pass 46 times and run a bunch more. 1 turnover is actually phenomenal ball protection given the burden placed on him.

Do any other teams get to add fill two major holes in these hypothetical games, or just the Bills?

2019 Bills were better than the 2018 Bills

Green is a HOF WR. Who is he proving what to on these "prove" deals?

Based on Twitter, more Bills fans want Daboll on the Browns, than Browns fans do.

Would had a 20 point lead, get over it.

I like Josh Allen. I do not think he has plateued and will improve. Every single other position on offense has room to upgrade meaningfully. Compare the Ravens RBs to the Bills Rbs. Or even the Patriots. Then move on to the Ravens oline compared to ours. Then compare the Ravens pass catchers. Then compare OCs. If you swap Lamar and Josh, then the media would be losing their minds over how Josh is revolutionizing the game.

Yes to one and two

Why do you have to?

Derrick Henry.

AFC East played the NFC East this year. Neither conference has a team in the final eight teams. The results for all the teams in those two conferences are skewed by having so many games against bad teams. Bills and Pats were the best of these teams. Which is something. Kind of like winning the cotton bowl, while the top teams are playing the FBS playoff games. Its better than nothing, but still on the outside looking in.

Sadly, the bold part was not true yesterday when it mattered. 19 points given up in 20 minutes (including drives of 75 and 69 yards) is the definition of "not a shut down D"

Viewing the results against coaches shows that the Bills played 9 Games against teams with either first year HC's or coaches bad enough to be fired. The Bills went 8-1 against these coaches. In the seven games against good coaches, the Bills went 2-5. One of those wins was the Steelers, who started their third string QB. Next Season, the Bills face this coaching lineup. Chiefs - Reid - Good Coach Chargers - Lynn - meh coach Rams - McVay - Good coach Seahawks - Carroll 0 Good coach Steelers - Tomlin - Good Coach Dolphins - Flores - second year coach, appears to be a good coach Patriots - Good coach Jets - bad coach Cardinals - meh coach Broncos - meh coach Raiders - Good coach ( i know many disagree on this) Niners - Good coach Titans - Good coach Dolphins - second year coach, appears to be a Good coach Patriots Good coach Jets - Bad coach It does not seem likely the Bills will face any coaches who are first year coaches next year. Nor is it likely they will be facing any coaches who will be fired at the end of the year (possible Gase or Lynn) To go 11-5 next year (likely needed to win the division). They will have to win their games against all the less than good coaches, which is only 5 wins, and win 6 games against the other teams. That is a big step up from the 1 quality win against a good coach with a real starting QB this year. If the Bills do this I offer McDermott a five year extension. If they perform against good coaches next year as they did this year, the team is looking at something like a 6-10 or 7-9 record. If that happens, not sure where I would stand with this coaching staff.

Do you have a specific reasons why the Bills will pass the Ravens , Chiefs, Titans, Patriots and Texans? As best I can tell those teams have good coaches with their own processes that have proven pretty successful. Regarding rebuild. McDermott has three full seasons under his belt. This regime chose to pass on Watson and Mahomes. That does not mean we through out the first season. Great job on defense seems to be a stretch. Against teams with winning records, the defense did not produce at a level one would call great. Maybe "good", but that is a lot different than great.

I think the Daboll / Allen combination is not working out. One part of that equation needs to be changed. So I ask myself this question, which fake headline would be the most disturbing: "Daboll Fired, Named by Pats to Replace McDaniels" or "Allen cut, signed by Pats as heir to Brady". I am pretty sure the second headline troubles me more. So the move that is a potential game changer is changing the OC. All the other moves are incremental, and probably don't move the dial enough. In terms of incremental moves, I would look to sign Derrick Henry in free agency, and I would draft the best Oline or WR available with our first round pick.

What you describe sounds eight and eightish

Our poor record against teams with winning records this year. And a schedule next year that includes far more teams with winning records.