Chaos

Can you provide the list from 1 to 260 precisely ranking the players in order. I don't want to get to pick 59, and accidently take the 60th best player instead of the 59th.

Bills I don't think there is enough salary cap to add four veteran free agents at more than the Vet minimum and have enough for the draft class. I do not see how it is feasable to add Wagner, Landry and Elliot.

What is the basis for 9 to 11? Won't the Bills go to training camp with 90 players? There will be lots of FA signings. And there will be undrafted free agent rookies too.

BPA is a great theory. It is premised on the concept that I know which NFL prospect is 27th best and 28 best (assuming the first 26 drafters correctly selected the 26 best players). I think BPA comes into play for certain if the person you have projected as significantly better (say you rank safety Brian Branch 15th best, and he is there at 27) then you almost certainly should break from need to select Branch. But if you rank CB Deonte Banks 27th best and WR Zay Flowers 28th best, and both are there are 27, it is not obvious you should take Banks over Flowers, due to position value and need.

depth chart : https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/depth/_/name/buf Which position group should the Bills target in Draft RD 1? If you are split evenly between more than one position group, you may pick more than one in this poll. Names are public to provide a help see if people are split among groups, or committed to one.

I think you are correct regarding fundamental NFL drafting strategy. Draft picks are a form of currency. They allow you to lock up a player for up to five years at significantly below market rights. After QB, market rates for Edge Rushers and Wide Recievers are much higher than RBs and and Linebackers. You maximize your draft picks financial value at QB, Edge Rusher and WR above all the other positions. However if you are in win now mode (which a team whose non-QB core stars are Tre White, Von Miller, Mica Hyde and Jordan Poyer would seem to be in) then it maybe logical to take a person at a lower value position like linebacker, if they can make an immediate impact in "winning now". Its not clear to me that Jack Campbell, Trent Simpson, or Drew Sanders really fit that bill. But if Beane thinks they can contribute the most to winning in 2023, it would be an Ok pick. Really depends on the choices. Zay Flowers may be available at 27. Josh Downs and Jalin Hyatt are likely to be there. It is a small possiblity <1% Myles Murphy will be there. There is a decent chance Nolan Smith will be there. I think it will generate a lot of controversty to take a line backer ahead of those three wide receivers and two edge rushers.

Your use of "It's" is ambiguous. You clarified it is intended to relate to the thread title. Others were reading it to refer to your initial sentence fragment "Not Happening", meaning not taking the RT is the path to being mediocre. This is why it was confusing.

The unusual way the Bills use LBs compounds the challenge.

Players were given an extra year of eligibilty due to the pandemic.

We saved a cool 400k per year going with McGovern. He was only 7.6 per season, and is several years younger. McGovern may well end up being the better signing. Interesting how the Steelers seemed to be focusing on building a great online for Kenny Pickett, rather than focus on defense and let Pickett carry the offense by himself. Very odd of the Steelers.

Literally everyone (in the true sense of the word literally) understands PFF is one data point. Your wisdom is non-existant. Your leap to the conclusion, that people who disagree with you are worshipping one data point, is so ridiculous, it is only exceeded by the ignorance of your comment.

hmm

Initially this was intended to be a bit tongue in cheek. I had assumed that this first phase of free agency may have seen more activity. But I guess as the first phase of free agency concludes, Conner McGovern is our big move, with a couple of million of cap space left for a small move and enought cap to sign the draft picks. Really hopeful that Elam, Cook, and Benard can have first second and third round rookie impact in their second seasons. If that happens (and white returns to preinjury levels, and Miller comes back to pre injury levels) we should be considered championship contenders.

Stefon Diggs was also controllable for five seasons. What is your point?

He would be over drafted at 27, and won't make it to 59. I would be ok with him at 27 though, and thrilled at 59.

Beast of an athlete. But he seems to project as a project. NFL.com considers him a practice squad player. SI says he is a 6th round prospect. If he was there in the fifth, I would take him. But he is a flyer.

Seems he could be stronger. 11 on bench press seemed off. maybe a bad day. NFL grades DJ Johnson at 6.14. He is definitely not a shmoe.

Many of the posters here who are overreacting have been fans for 30 or 40 or 50 or more years. I disagree with a lot of people who post on this board. But there are no fair weather fans who post on this board. If you are referrning to people here, you are just a pretentious holier-than-thou person, or don't understand what "fair weather fan" means.

Fans are customers. Every single one is entitled to their personal opinion of whether or not the team succeeded. Its a strange customer relationship, because most fans will continue to buy the product they are disappointed in. From a management perspective success is measured by owner happiness. Full stop. Owners tend to have some concern for fan's opinions of where things are at, but they are the final arbiters. The average NFL coach lasts a couple of years. A few outliers like Jeff Fisher can last 20 years without winning a championship. That vast majority of owners wouldn't have kept Fisher for that long. In the end, its all measured by money.

We didn't get him in the 7th round though.

The Cincinati game definitely influenced my view. Going into the playoffs, I thought the Bills were the second best team with the primary difference being Reid being a much better big game coach than McDermott. We were so badly outcoached in the Bengals game, only a week after being outcoached by a clearly less talented Miami team, that is hard to come back to the idea, that we are part of the big two. The way we were outcoached, to me, was reminiscent of the Bills outcoaching the Raven's and giving the better teams in the league the blue print to beat the Ravens. I feel like the Bengals have exposed to the other good teams in the league exactly how to beat the Bills. And for all of its success, the McDermott regime has always seemed more stubborn, than adaptable. Hopefully I am either wrong on that, or that this changes.

Success for most sports fans is against expectations. For example, I am a big St. Bonnies basketball fan. An A-10 title and/or a trip to the NCAA's is a successful season. A bid to the NCAA tournament is not a successful year for North Carolina or Kentucky though. Its a bit different in the NFL. Texans fan's are not going into next season expecting to win a super bowl. Nor were Bills fans 10 years ago. Its kudos to the McBeane regime that the have rasied the bar. But the bar is raised. After the 2020 season, no one expected a regression to losing in the divisional round of the playoffs. But due to 13 seconds we finished further back in 2021 season than the 2020 season. However most fans were expecting at least a return to the championship game in 2022, and we fell well short of that goal, getting spanked in the divisional round. The bar has been somewhat lowered now, most Bills fans will be happy to get to the AFC Championship game next year, and will consider a super bowl appearance a great season. I think people start looking being upset with sports managements when they are realistically need to lower thier expectations in the near future. So 31 teams don't feel. Without reviewing the results, I would guess about 8 teams a year exceed expectations enough to consider the season a success.

With this statement you are saying Jeudy is the missing piece to winning a super bowl. Absurd in the extreme.

And that is exactly my proposition. I guess people are not familiar with the phrase "Dark Horse"

Beane has wizarded the cap hit for josh down the road. 47 mil next year, 56 the following. Only 18 this year.