Chaos

We are likely shifting to a 4-1-6 strategy this year, with Milano as our only lineback. Look for the Bills to add depth at safety and CB in the first round.

Well, we still have Ed Oliver on the Dline.

todays best effort so far

He is a wild card.

Is your view, that if Christian Gonzalez or Brian Branch somehow falls to 27, we should automatically skip them?

As the original post mentions, the top four posiitions identified as targets were WR, G, OT and LB. Only 3% identifed TE as a need (and it was a multiple choice question). That is why TEs are not included. Sometimes when building a consensus, you don't get your way.

so far the consensus is that 75%+ of people will be annoyed. This seems about right

The Bills McDefense scheme is exposed and must be completely revamped.

Almost 100% agree, because in the right trade, it seems you could still get one of those three and something else. I prefer Campbell to Simpson though.

what you read is superceded by what can be measured. And the fact is Campbell is faster than any LB the Bills have now. That is logical. This seems like a good draft for TEs.

Campbell is not slow. In fact he is fast. HEIGHT: 6-4 (89%*)WEIGHT: 249 (83%*) HANDS: 10 1/4 (79%*)ARM: 31 7/8 (41%*) SPAN: 79 (90%*) FORTY: 4.65 (C) (67%*) SHUTTLE: 4.24 (C) (66%*) 10 YARD SPLIT: 1.59 (C) (70%*) VERTICAL: 37.5 (C) (85%*) BROAD JUMP: 128 (C) (96%*) THREE CONE: 6.74 (C) (96%*) BENCH PRESS: DNP

You answered the question "what are you disagreeing with?"?

this is fantasy, but it seems to hit some needs:

That is exactly my question. What is optimal? If Oliver at 10.7 makes the team the best it can be with that money, then you don't trade him for nothing. If an replacement is available for $3 million and you can you 7.7 million to sign Bobby Wagner, then maybe trading Oliver for nothing would work.

@GunnerBill what are you disagreeing with? It is a question.

NFL.com ranks Hyatt as the top WR. That seems like an outlier ranking, but makes him a person of interest too me. This is a rational analysis.

I am ok with this. Unless a strange situation developed, like JSN or Christian Gonzalez dropping to 27, taking the best pass blocker seems to make sense.

If you "get nothing" but unload 10 mm of salary cap, hypothectically that space might be better utilized in 2023. Is 10.7 million of cap space in 2023 more or less valuable than a third round 2024 or 2025 third round comp pick.

You do seem confused.

I concur on oline being the top priority. No player is a ten year player. They are five year players, who you may or may not be able to afford after five years. If they are stars, and you have a top 5 QB, you will struggle to hold them. If the Bills think that Wright is the best OT on the board, and they take him, I will not be unhappy.

My response was to your previous comment about taking a player a dozen picks early. This is not the same thing as moving up a dozen pick. You asked a question "why not pick a player a dozen picks early". I provided the answer to that question.

A separate poll on TBD has identified G, WR, OT, and LB as our positions of need. Addtional polling has indicated that there is at least some support for the following players who are likley to be available at 27. Anton Harrison OT Darnell Wright OT Dawand Jones OT Jalin Hyatt WR Josh Downs WR Zay Flowers WR O'Cyrus Torrence G Drew Sanders LB Trenton Simpson LB Jack Campbell LB 3/26 Adding Dalton Kincaid TE, 3/26 Adding Michael Mayer TE 3/26 Adding Will McDonald IV Edge 3/26 Adding Brian Branch, S/CB 3/26 Adding Joey Porter CB YOU CAN CHANGE YOUR VOTE IF THE NEW ADDITIONS CHANGE YOUR MIND My heart wants to pick Jack Campbell, because I think he will be the most fun to watch and might have the biggest 2023 impact. . However, WR and OT are so much more financially valuable positions to have under rookie contracts my brain says to pick Jalin Hyatt. (And pray Matthew Bergeron OT is available at 59) In real life the Bills may be faced with having to choose a Defensive lineman or Secondary player who is ranked much higher on their board. Like real life you can only pick 1.

I think it is a huge strategic blunder to scheme in a way that you need unusual skill set players to play in your scheme. Its bad enough to be forced to draft for position over BPA, but it really becomes limiting to be stuck with best player at a positoin of need who requires unusual skill set to fit scheme (BPAPBWRUSSTFS) . Campbell seems to be a day 1 ready MLB who has a reputation for great instincts and elite measureables in size and athleticism. Seems nuts to pass on a player like that, because you want to run a particular scheme (which does not seem to work in the playoffs anyway)

Pretty good voter participation. Early on WR had a pretty big lead. But Online (T&G) have blown by WR in later stages. Guard pushes ahead of tackle. Its fluid situaton. I would say the Bills post-McGovern are better at guard than tackle (I see Spencer Brown as a turnstile). In a different poll among the Guards actually in the Draft https://www.twobillsdrive.com/community/topic/246549-building-an-entire-draft-boardoffensive-guard-rankings/ "None" a big lead over "O'Cyrus Torrence" with no one else having any traction. This is a pretty good highlight of the BPA vs Need equation. There will be several choices for tackle available at 27, although none of the realistic possibilities has majority support. (If Johnson, Skorkonski, or Broderick Jones is available at 27, Beane should sprint to the podium) https://www.twobillsdrive.com/community/topic/246535-building-an-entire-draft-boardoffensive-tackle-rankings/ This brings us back to WR. The two players with Majority support are not likely to be available at 27. Downs, Flowers, Hyatt and Addison may be there. (all four likely won't) My best estimate at the moment, that among the players at one of the three "positions of need", which has at least some TBD support as a first round pick the following players are likely to be available at 27 Anton Harrison OT Darnell Wright OT Dawand Jones OT Jalin Hyatt WR Josh Downs WR Zay Flowers WR O'Cyrus Torrence G If we move down to the next position of need LB, the three top fan choices are all projected to be available at 27: Drew Sanders Trenton Simpson Jack Campbell

<sarcasm>This is where we need to focus. Cornerback. </sarcasm> Based on NFL.com grades, NFL.com estimates 34 Cornerbacksters will be selected in the draft. 19 of these players have grades suggesting they could be selected in the first four rounds. Based on PFF grades, PFF estimates 27 Cornerbacksters will be selected in the draft. 18 of these players have rankings suggesting they could be selected in the first four rounds. There is only a small degree of overlap. 34 Different CBs are in the top 20 on one these two sites. For CB, I am limiting choices to the players who have first three round grades by one of the two sites. This limits the choices to 19. Choice 20 will be "other" The are ranked by NFL.com grade, and the relative ranking within postion for PFF for CBs shown in the right hand column.