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Chaos

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  1. As Bills fans well know this is not a thing. Has never been a thing. Or we would be recollecting the championships won by OJ Simpson.
  2. Vrabel did not squander half of a great QB's career. Vrabel did not embarrass himself with anything like the 13 second debacle, as part of that squandering process. So I will go with this Vrabel is not a proven coaching champion. Neither is McDermott.
  3. I just want to clariy this for everyone. Maye is not the player Allen is. Maybe someday but not now.
  4. Cook has 5 more carries this season than Taylor (231 to 226) though. Only McCafferty has more than Cook with 237.
  5. Imposing your will on the Steelers is different than say imposing your will on the Texans. Bills have been imposing their will on bad teams for many years now. Not much experience on imposing their will past the WC round of playoffs.
  6. Cook is very good. But I am not sure he is the best RB on the team. If I need 1 yard on fourth and one, or a guy to plow through the defense for an 11 yard TD run , to set the all time team record for rushing TDs, I am turning to #17.
  7. Pederson won a super bowl as Eagles head coach. None of the others you list ever had a great QB.
  8. I would be rid of Tomlin and Harbaugh if I owned the Steelers or Ravens.
  9. To be fair, some might consider the often injured lamar jackson to be just as impactful.
  10. The last QB as impactful as Allen to not win a Super Bowl was Dan Marino. Its a pretty rare situation. Given his past history the Dolphins were never going to fire Don Shula. Sean McDermott has not earned the forebearance that Don Shula earned. In reality this is a unique situation in the history of the NFL.
  11. Sure you can. In this case, I assume equal will, and still give the Bills a 90% win rate in each game.
  12. He was pretty decent last night.
  13. The math does not make winning out seem likely. Lets aggressively assume the bills are 90% likely to win all the games except that Patriots game and the liklihood in the patriots game is 60% the Bills will win. 90% x 60% x 90% x 90% x 90% = 39% probability of winning out based on the agressive paramaters given. Then assuming we are wild card in the playoffs, and it would take three road wins and a neutral site win to win the super bowl. Even though the Bills road playoff history assumes we might not be favored in any road games, lets assume the bills have a 70% chance to win each of the four games. 70% x 70% x 70% 70% = 24%. having to win three instead of four is such a huge advantage for the #1 seed. Add on the guarantee of playing the lowest remaing seed in the two playoff games, and the extra week rest and prep time, it is just gigantic. In a year where no AFC team is standing out, the team that gets the #1 seed is probably the favorite to go to the super bowl.
  14. Brings up the interesting issue, if big contracts should be used on tackles, or if those are positions you can utilize lesser paid players.
  15. seems he got kneed a little lower than that, and got them knocked off.
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