Billl

Well there aren’t 10 QBs worthy of top 10 picks in a draft, so most teams picking there are drafting some other position. Presumably a terrible team slotted in the top 10 that isn’t targeting a QB has more holes to fill than a good team that might be a player or 2 away from competing for a Super Bowl. I’d argue that the Bills don’t need 7 players ranging from late first round to late 7th round in value nearly as much as they need a superstar who can make a difference. Given what you’ve said above, the good teams are better equipped to absorb the risk that comes with missing on a high pick whereas the poor teams can’t afford to play the lottery. They still need groceries. Bad teams with solid QBs should be looking to add as many good players as possible to become competitive whereas good teams should be looking for one or two players who can be plugged in to put them over the top. The Bills would be better off with Chase Young than their entire 2020 and 2021 draft classes. They could possibly be the defending champs. Guys like Epenesa and Moss are roster filler compared to the Bosas, Watts, etc.

That’s a solid move.

So nobody should ever draft a player top 10 that isn’t a QB? That makes no sense. Drafting a player at your slot in the top 10 is the same price as trading up for a player in the top 10. Trades are roughly equal in terms of draft capital value. It’s like saying $100 is a reasonable price for something if you have a $100 bill, but paying with a $50, 2 $20s, and a $10 is too expensive.

Not likely. Joe’s the guy who knocked up Willie Roaf’s wife causing Roaf to leave town. Roaf might be the best Saints player of all time pre-Brees.

That’s the formula for being forever a bridesmaid, never a bride. Teams are aggressive in today’s NFL. Hoping the Chiefs get knocked off by the Browns isn’t a strategy. This is a great team that currently has some fatal flaws. If there’s a chance to fix them, no price is too high. You can’t win multiple championships until you win one. Get the first one when you can and then figure out the rest when that time comes. The Rams are a perfect example of a team that shot their shot and came up short. Three years later, they’re among the favorites. It didn’t set them back a decade. They took their medicine for a couple years and rebuilt.

I don’t know if there’s an impact pass rusher in this draft, but if Beane is convinced there is, there’s no price too high IMO. You will not beat the Chiefs if you can’t get to Mahomes without blitzing. Right now, the Bills simply cannot do that. I’ve read countless “what if” posts about the AFCCG saying Frazier called a bad game and that McD should have been more aggressive on 4th downs, etc. etc. etc. None of that made a difference. The Chiefs game out of the gate tripping on their *****. They dropped passes, fumbled a punt, and spotted Buffalo a 9-0 lead before getting their act together and going on a 38-6 run. Mahomes couldn’t have looked more calm in the pocket, and no amount of coaching adjustments was changing the fact that the Bills simply don’t have a Bosa or a Donald who can single handedly disrupt an offense. Reid could have named his score, and the Kansas City line appears to be significantly better now than it was then. Buffalo needs that game wrecker to compete. Otherwise, they have to hope someone else knocks off KC for them. Cleveland is the AFC team best built to do that due to their ability to get to the QB, IMO.

I agree for the most part. Having someone like CEH works when the rest of your offense is clicking. When the Bills played the Chiefs in the regular season, he was unstoppable even though Buffalo’s game plan was very similar to Tampa’s in the Super Bowl. That’s because KC’s O-line could handle Buffalo’s front 4 when they dropped 7 in coverage. Tampa was a different story altogether. The Chiefs line was decimated by injuries, and Tampa’s front 4 was eating them alive even when dropping 7. Kansas City would have been much better off with another lineman (which they drafted but who sat out due to COVID) or another weapon at WR like Claypool. Teams need a RB who has a certain level of ability, but the price difference between a good one and a great one isn’t worth spending a ton of assets on. Veach/Reid probably got greedy taking a 1st round RB. I think McBeane went for RBs in the right spot in the draft. I just think they made bad picks.

Tough to say. FWIW, his accumulated value was higher than 30 of the 32 players taken in the second round (per Pro Football Reference). I take that with a huge grain of salt, but it’s something. I’d trade him for Claypool and Chinn right now. Other than that, I just don’t see much value there. I can totally understand how other teams would see it differently, as Clyde is a guy who uniquely fits what the Chiefs want to do on offense and may not have similar value to many other teams. That said, it’s a moot point as there is a 0% chance he would get shopped. He’s a huge part the team’s plans for 2021, so a theoretical 3rd or 4th round pick wouldn’t even be a consideration.

CEH was a luxury pick for sure. He was drafted to take the offense to another level. He was productive with 1100 yards from scrimmage in 12 games before the injury, but nobody was confusing him for CMC to be sure. In retrospect, that was a really soft area of the draft, as no players taken shortly thereafter have shown much to this point. Chase Claypool who was taken 17 picks later at 49 is really the next player taken who I would swap him for today straight up. Picks 1-25 were wildly productive. It really fell off after that.

Who is trading a mid round pick for him, and how can their stupidity be further exploited? If someone is willing to give up valuable draft capital in exchange for 2 years of a RB who’s likely out of the league after his rookie contract, I want to wheel and deal with that GM.

I think Milano’s contract is going to make Edmunds very difficult to sign. $25,000,000 for 2 LBs who don’t rush the passer would be a tough pill to swallow.

The Bengals should take Sewell, but they’re the Bengals so they won’t take Sewell. When it comes to LTs, you tend to get what you pay for. It’s common for several WRs from a single draft to have excellent careers. That’s not true of LTs, and this year doesn’t appear to be the exception. There’s Sewell and a bunch of guys who look more like RTs.

Isn’t that the knock on pretty much every DT ever? It isn’t realistic for guys that size to go apeshit on every down.

I’ve heard rumors that he isn’t the greatest guy off the field. That always makes me nervous when discussing QBs.

Beane trades up to draft Paye or Oweh.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/redrafting-the-2020-nfl-draft-justin-herbert-picked-by-bengals-justin-jefferson-lands-with-lions/ CBS Sports has him as the second defensive player taken in a redraft, 7th overall.

The Chiefs last season drafted or signed UDFAs players who will start this season at RT, CB, RB, LB, and P along with heavy rotational guys at DT and DE. They sign stars to big contracts and let solid but unspectacular players walk. It’s really not that complicated. Veach and Reid are willing to sacrifice their Matt Milano types because they believe they’ll find replacements for them late in the draft and let the superstars cover for any weaknesses their strategy creates. Hoping top teams eventually collapse under the weight of the salary cap is a failed strategy.

The money is a non issue. The entire starting O Line for KC has a cap hit of under $15mm this season. Cutting Fisher and Schwartz created plenty of room. Remember, they were ready to pay Trent Williams well in excess of $20mm per season. I will never understand how Baltimore let Brown go for such a small return. 24 year olds who have made pro bowls at both tackle positions just don’t exist. Trading a unicorn to your biggest obstacle to shore up their one glaring weakness for a bag of magic beans borders on malpractice.

You want to see better D picks? Check your PMs.

Well hopefully they addressed the offensive line.

Thats a great start. Thats a great start.

0 sacks allowed in 400 pass protection snaps. I think the Chiefs will be fine, but your concern is appreciated.

Almost chance they trade up IMO. If they do, it’s going to be for a WR, but there are so many available in that area of the draft that there would have to be one they REALLY like in order to move up.

Lost to injury, then cut. Brett Veach GMs like he’s playing Madden. After the defense cost the team a championship in 2018, he rolled with 8 new starters in 2019. After the OL did the same last season, he’s replaced all 5 including 2 Pro Bowlers (not counting Long). He’s the polar opposite of Beane which shows there’s more than one way to build a top tier roster. I still maintain that Beane needs to focus on players with superstar level upside even if it means he’s going to have some holes on the roster to work around. That doesn’t seem to be his M.O., though. He’s built a roster with no weak links, but it’s lacking superstars.

Fifth year options don’t hold much value anymore. Stars demand extensions, and non-stars aren’t bargains at fifth year option prices. In the rare instance of needing another year to evaluate, franchise tags aren’t much higher and they come without the injury risk.