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Billl

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Everything posted by Billl

  1. That’s partially true. They generally hope to split the money, but they don’t pursue that at the expense of setting the line wrong in terms of what they actually expect to happen. Doing so would expose them to taking massive losses from the pros.
  2. Maybe you missed it, but a Chiefs rookie WR just had 938 yards and 7 TDs in the regular season before setting the all time rookie record for postseason receptions.
  3. The USC QBs who have flamed out have all been golden boys. Caleb’s not in that mold.
  4. Vegas has Worthy’s O/U set at 800.5 yards for the season. They and the Chiefs’ front office must be incompetent. https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/nfl-player-props?category=player-stats&subcategory=receiving-yards
  5. Super Bowl attendees are mostly from out of town. Draft attendees are largely local and wouldn’t need hotels. Buffalo would be a great spot.
  6. 7 of his 8 highest rushing attempt totals came in the last 8 games. He ran 46 times in the final 4 games. That’s the difference between Brady and Dorsey. Josh ran twice as often under Brady. Take from that what you will.
  7. He had a WR exactly like Claypool. His name was Kelvin Benjamin.
  8. Tua takes a lot of heat, but Herbert’s no better. Not sure why he’s immune from criticism.
  9. Just saw that Vegas has him right at 750, so he’s likely closer to that second group. Seems like a big ask, but there are plenty of targets available.
  10. Multiple witnesses including the club owner said Rice never hit the guy, and now the photographer is no longer pursuing charges. Rashee has been a full participant in OTAs.
  11. What is the second round average you’re referring to? Last year, 40 WRs had 750 yards receiving. 750 plus would put him as a high end number 2 WR. Coleman was the first WR taken in the second round and the 8th overall. Last year, the first WR taken in the second had 43 catches, 418 yards, and 0 TDs. The 8th WR taken had 22, 377, and 1. Penciling Coleman in for 750+ is extremely optimistic.
  12. Why should that count? Beane had a chance to take the 5th WR in the draft. Worthy, Pearsall, Legette, Coleman, McConkey, and Polk were all on the board at 28 and wound up going in the next 10 picks. Beane clearly didn’t have a strong feeling regarding who would be the best of that bunch, so instead of picking at 28, Beane elected to move down twice and drafted at 33, sacrificing the 5th year option in the process. The net return he got amounted to a late 5th round pick equivalent. He didn’t trade back 5 spots in a vacuum, though. He traded with the Chiefs. Now Beane may not have had a strong opinion about who the best WR from that group would be, but clearly Andy Reid and Brett Veach did. They are the best front office in the league, so you pretty much have to assume that they weren’t after a dud. So however many of those 6 WRs in that pool are actual studs, there’s probably going to be 1 fewer after the Chiefs picked. But that’s not all. If you listed out the top front offices excluding Buffalo’s, most would have (in no particular order) Kansas City, Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Baltimore. In trading back four spots with KC, three of those four elite front offices got to select their guys before Buffalo. Those franchises are routinely competing for championships because they consistently draft top talent. Hoping those guys get it wrong seems like a huge risk. And even if they do, it still doesn’t guarantee that the guy Beane picks is going to be a hit. I’ll concede that Beane knew who Carolina was picking, or they wouldn’t have agreed to that swap, but there’s no way they knew who KC, Dallas, Baltimore, or San Francisco were after. Short of getting a king’s ransom, which clearly didn’t happen, there’s no way I’m letting my biggest rival guarantee that they get their top target.
  13. If there’s one thing that middle aged white dudes love, it’s finding stupid BS to get outraged over.
  14. No no no, you’re thinking of the guy who sang Brown Eyed Girl.
  15. He allegedly pumped his own gas in New Jersey. Repeat offender…
  16. You seem like the kind of guy who likes watching Joe Lunardi, driving a Lamborghini, and dancing the Lambada.
  17. It gets you $1000. The numbers are based on betting $100.
  18. Who is your favorite NCAA bracketologist? What’s your favorite super car? What’s your favorite forbidden dance?
  19. How is it dumb for him to hold out when he’ll never have as much leverage as he does now? He’s on the last year of his deal. If he gets hurt, they can cut him loose and he never sees another dime. Dumb would be playing out the last year of his deal and letting Miami run him out there not really caring if he gets crushed or not because they have no skin in the game.
  20. Did you read the articles you linked? The league scheduled games around the dates that the stadiums were booked for shows. They didn’t schedule games based on making them easier for Taylor to attend.
  21. I’m literally saying the exact opposite. The top few picks are all about the players. Any idiot can draft MHJ. By the end of the first round, the GMs matter much more. Beane let the best of the best pick ahead of him. He let the fattest guys at the buffet cut in line. It doesn’t matter as much where you’re picking once the blue chips are gone as it does who you’re picking behind. I’m not interested in letting elite GMs take their guys first and hoping they get it wrong.
  22. And if the Ravens had taken Coleman, you’d have made this same post about whatever player Beane took instead.
  23. It’s literally their job to figure out which of those players is better, though. “I’ll take whoever DeCosta and Harbaugh and Shannahan and Lynch and Reid and Veach don’t pick so that I can try to pick a 25 year old backup RB” doesn’t seem like elite GMing.
  24. It has nothing to do with what his draft board looks like. Allowing teams to take 3 WRs ahead of the one you pick is of consequence. Beane traded from 28 to 32. He let Dallas, Baltimore, SF, and KC cut in line. You really want to hope those front offices miss?
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