Billl

Then let’s subtract fumble recoveries from the total. Mahomes has 19 fumbles and 10 fumble recoveries in that timeframe. Allen has 28 fumbles and 8 fumble recoveries. I’m not even sure what you’re arguing at this point. It seems you think that there’s some “narrative” (a very popular term here) that prevents MVP voters from properly evaluating players. And by “properly evaluating players”, I mean counting passing touchdowns and rushing touchdowns and interceptions but not fumbles except when your teammate doesn’t recover the fumble but possibly if you recover your own fumble (but upon further evaluation of who actually recovers more of their own fumbles, probably not). That’s one way to look at it. Another way is to say that Josh has a ton of TDs in the past 3 seasons but also has 47 INTs and 28 fumbles, and that gets factored into the equation. He’s a great player. He’s been top 5 in MVP voting 3 times in the last 4 seasons. Nobody is out to get him. In fact, he somehow got an MVP vote in 2022 when Mahomes had more total TDs, fewer INTs, fewer fumbles, and threw for 1000 more yards. 48 out of 50 voters had Mahomes as MVP that year. Josh had one of the other two votes. In 2023, 49 out of 50 voters had Lamar as MVP. The other voted for Josh. So who is right? Is it the 96% of voters who voted for Mahomes in 2022 and the 98% of voters who voted for Jackson in 2023, or is it the one guy who voted for Josh each year?

And also the rushing TD differential.

What do you think he should have done instead? All things considered, getting a (presumably) high second round pick next year is a hell of a deal. Anyone who thinks he won’t be missed this year is delusional, but this wan’t a championship roster with him anyway. A year from now when the team has some cap space and extra draft capital, I don’t think anyone will regret the trade. If anything, Beane probably should have started this rebuild last offseason. I understand why he tried to push all in for another season, but last year’s roster was simply too long in the tooth coming into the season for me to expect things to go much differently than they did. If anything, it was impressive that they were able to “circle the wagons” as well as they did down the stretch. Diggs forcing himself out of town may have just saved Beane from himself because he looked poised to double down this season, and that was doomed to fail. Instead, he took his medicine this offseason and I think the franchise will be better for it. And as we know, there’s no rule that says you can’t pull a rabbit out of your hat and win a championship with a roster in transition. Worst case scenario, it makes for a more interesting season than running it back with an older version of a team that wasn’t good enough the year before.

I understand the reasoning. It’s just flawed. A fumble doesn’t suddenly become less or more of a mistake depending on what color jersey the person who falls on it is wearing.

How is there a difference? A fumble is a fumble. Is an interception better if your defense gets a stop?

Allen also has 28 fumbles over that period. 128 TDs vs 75 picks and fumbles compared to 111 TDs vs 58 picks and fumbles. So he’s got 17 more TDs than Mahomes but also 17 more INTs and fumbles.

27-16 Buffalo

I think I’ve got a great team, except I got drunk and accidentally drafted Dalton Schultz instead of Dalton Kincaid.

Jets are the closest thing to a complete team. If Rodgers finds the fountain of youth, they could run away with the division. That’s a huge if. Dolphins have a potentially dominant offense but a questionable defense. If their offense stays healthy, they could win a lot of shootouts. Buffalo has the highest floor but the lowest ceiling. Patriots suck. Any of the first three could win the division. None really stand out to me, so I’d I had to pick, I’m going with the one that’s won the division several years in a row.

I’m sure he’d like to know if Rice was impaired, had drugs in the car, the cars were stolen, etc. before making a decision. There is literally no reason not to.

Josh is the best player in the league to never win a Super Bowl. He’s extremely marketable and dates a Hollywood starlet. Damar Hamlin was the biggest story of the 2022 season. If there was ever a time for the league to promote a team, it would have been for the Bills one of the last two seasons. It didn’t happen because it doesn’t happen.

All sports leagues are entertainment companies. That’s precisely WHY they suspend players. If I went out this morning and did exactly what Rice did, my employer wouldn’t suspend me.

Must suck knowing that literally everything she does in life is more successful than every achievement you’ve had in your life put together by orders of magnitude. I’m sure you think she should have married young and had kids so that your worldview would somehow be validated. That’s what Britney Spears did, and that seems to be working out great.

It’s impossible to quantify everything, particularly with Quarterbacks, but sometimes you know it when you see it. In the second half of the Super Bowl, I could tell that Purdy was getting rattled and I knew there was no way he was winning that game. He wasn’t quite trusting his eyes, and it seemed obvious to me that he didn’t have it in him to power through it and rip the Chiefs’ heart out. To his credit, he didn’t crap in his helmet or anything. He did a good job of holding it together, but even with all that talent around him he wasn’t winning that game with #15 on the opposing sideline. IMO, the right move would be to trade him and find his replacement on the cheap. We’ll see if SF has the stones to do it. If anyone does, it’s them.

You can’t possibly be serious.

So the fan base of the team who cut Araiza is complaining that the league isn’t rushing to judgment? This isn’t some heinous crime. We don’t even know what he’s being accused of. There is nothing to be gained from not waiting until the legal system sorts everything out.

You’re right. It’s the Chiefs that keep “running out of juice”. Funny how they managed to find an extra drop with 0:13 left and then again in overtime. And then they found some more against the Bengals in the 2022 AFCCG…and then again on the last drive of the Super Bowl against the Eagles. They were clearly out of said juice against the Ravens when they won the 2023 AFCCG before running out again in the Super Bowl…right before they scored at the end of regulation to tie…and then scored a juiceless TD in OT to win yet another Lombardi. So now that we know that my theory was wrong, what’s your answer? How do the Buffalo Bills consistently manage to be the only team to have good players? How do they just keep “clicking on all cylinders” while other teams are “just running out of juice”? What is the secret to pairing this unstoppable force of an offense with an immovable object on defense, and why do they keep losing in the playoffs to inferior teams who clearly are incapable of running up the score during garbage time of regular season games?

You win. Breece Hall is a less effective James Cook.

Congrats on assigning a take to me that I didn’t make and then attacking it. Hall had 72% of his team’s rushing TDs and 52% of their rushing first downs. Cook had 9% of the Bills rushing TDs and 34% of their first downs. When their teams needed tough yards, Hall got the ball and Cook didn’t. Whether Hall was effective or not, he got the ball in short yardage situations. That lowers YPC (which is one of the least meaningful stats in the sport).

Cook had 6 TDs and 4 fumbles. Hall had 9 TDs and 2 fumbles. The 0.3 yards per touch extra that Cook gets is attributable to him not being used in short yardage situations. If you think they’re similarly productive players, you don’t understand football.

I’m not interested in reading the article, but I do feel like a lot of Bills fans take for granted what having a competent, professional front office means to a franchise. You can argue over whether or not McDermott and Beane are good enough to win a championship, but a dozen front offices every year are complete clown shows. If nothing else, they’ve elevated the franchise beyond that category. Say what now?

In 2021, Buffalo went 12-7 overall. They outscored opponents by nearly 23 PPG in their wins. The Chiefs have won the Super Bowl the past two seasons while winning exactly one game by more than 23 points. McDermott will absolutely run up the score when he can. I’m certainly not saying there’s anything wrong with that, just that it exists. Even in the postseason, you saw Buffalo score 14 points in the fourth quarter against the Patriots to win by 30. The previous season when Buffalo was down 38-15 with 5 minutes left of the AFCCG, Kansas City shut it down, and the Bills scored a garbage time TD and FG.

Unless I’m misreading it, the OP’s DVOA rankings listed are overall team rankings, not defensive-specific. If other top teams are taking their feet off the gas while the Bills aren’t, the Bills are going to have an inflated DVOA relative to those teams.

Seems like a combination of a couple of things. One is that McDermott has no reservations about running up the score against inferior teams. This leads to an inflated DVOA during the regular season compared to other teams with coaches who let off the gas when the game is under control. Another is that the Bills tend to favor older players who are at their best early in the season and wear down by the end while Kansas City tends to play youngsters more who make mistakes early in the season but improve over the course of the season and are relatively healthier than their older counterparts. There’s also the fact that Mahomes is much more conservative with his running during the regular season than in the postseason. Nobody here is going to agree, but he’s every bit as effective of a runner as Josh is when he chooses to be. He simply doesn’t fully unleash that part of his game during the regular season.

It’s complicated. The Dolphins and Cowboys are stupid for paying Tyreek and CeeDee $30-34 million per year to rack up 1800 years and 13 TDs, but paying Diggs $31 million to play for the Texans is addition by subtraction.