Billl

Brown is a good example. The Cardinals didn’t give up much of anything for DHop. They sent the corpse of David Johnson and a second round pick for Hopkins and a fourth rounder. Even then they didn’t have much success with him. I’m not saying it’s necessarily a bad move, but it’s they type of move that the teams shipping out the player have benefitted from more often than not.

When has trading major assets for an expensive WR ever worked out? Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, Hollywood Brown… I’m sure I’m missing some, but Stefon Diggs is probably the most successful example of it, and even that ended poorly.

Vegas has the Chiefs winning 13.5 games, the Vikings at 12.5, and the Ravens at 11.5. The Bills are tied for fourth at 10.5 (give or take a little on the payout for the over). January is a LONG way away, and Buffalo is almost guaranteed to be hosting at least one playoff game. It’s way premature to be talking about the current run in the past tense.

You want to punt on third down?

Easily treatable with smelling salts.

I went down a bit of a rabbit hole on this. Washington has the best 3rd down conversion rate in the league at 52%. On top of that, they’re 8/8 on fourth down. They’ve managed first downs 65% of the times they’ve faced third down. The Browns are worst in the league at 18%. They’re 9/15 on fourth down. The most amazing stat I found is that the Dolphins have gone 2/14 on fourth down. They’ve literally turned the ball over on downs 12 times already this season. That’s two and a half times a game. They’ve only converted 20 third downs out of 66 tries, 22 if you include fourth down attempts.

This has been substantially mitigated by going 7/7 on fourth down. That's insane. They've effectively managed to gain a first down on 25 of the 56 times they've faced third down which is 46%.

Franklin went 26 spots ahead of Davis in the draft, 7 spots after DeWayne Carter (who has shown some flashes the last 2 games). In looking at the draft, Beane took some older players in the mid to late rounds. Davis will be 25 next month, Carter turns 24 in December, Ulofoshio will be 25 in January, Hardy is 23, and Grable just turned 25 last week.

With 1100 yards and 11 TDs.

AD Mitchell: 20 targets, 6 catches, 70 yards, 0 TDs, 2 rushes, 14 yards, 0 TDs Ja’Lynn Polk: 19 targets, 9 catches, 74 yards, 1 TD, 1 rush, 0 yards, 0 TDs

The same fans who don’t think Worthy was impactful can’t understand how KC had guys wide open underneath all night. He has to be accounted for on every play.

I did not realize that the “rookie WR separation win rate” as tracked by @fantasypointsdata with a sample size of 2 weeks was held in such high esteem. It’s just that I think Marvin Harrison Jr. had a pretty good game and has probably been a top 8 rookie WR so far. Sorry if that is a hot take.

I think Coleman is going to be a good player. It’s just a bad stat. For a good while at the beginning of Josh’s career, the stat that kept getting thrown around was zero 300 yard games. Everyone argued over whether or not it mattered. Then he finally got one. Then he got a 400 yard game the next week. Now he does it, and it’s not even a big deal. Clearly that was a meaningless barometer. So is this one. I’m pretty sure MHJ is going to be just fine despite his relatively poor showing by this metric.

MHJ just had 5 catches for 132 yards and 2 TDs. Keon Coleman had 0 for 0. Brian Thomas Jr. has 6 catches on 8 targets for 141 yards and a TD. AD Mitchell has 2 catches on 9 targets for 32 yards and 0 TDs. This stat clearly has zero meaning.

Pittsburgh is favored in their game. It’s entirely possible that the Ravens could be three games back to a team that beat them twice last season.

Hell of a play, wow.

There is no rule that the defender has to look for the ball.

What’s with all these orange circles around potential blitzers? It’s annoying as hell.

LOL Tua sucks

Not sure Josh can go under center very well with that glove.

Same 4th down play they ran against KC in the playoffs.

That’s a fair deal. He’s an average to above average RT when healthy, and that will be below average money for those not on rookie contracts. He likely could have earned at least 10% more on the open market.

His deep ball catch was 1000% OPI, and that is a great sign. It’s never called, so having a player who can successfully do it is a huge weapon. He looked really good.

That makes sense. I just think the gap between the two is wider than what a schedule can make up for.

I thought the Jets looked completely outclassed by the 49ers last night. Interestingly enough, Vegas still has them essentially tied with Buffalo in terms of their odds to win the division. Miami is +165, Buffalo is +195, and NY is +200. I can’t imagine who is lining up today to put their money on the Jets after witnessing that mess. From where I sit, they’ve got a better chance of firing Saleh mid-season than they do of winning the division. KC and SF look like the clear favorites. In the AFC, I think Houston looks like the biggest threat followed closely by Baltimore. Then it’s Buffalo/Miami in either order and a big gap after that followed by a bunch of trash. I really don’t see anyone who can hang with SF in the NFC. The Cowboys looked great, but they always do this time of year. Philly has the most talent of the challengers, so I guess they’re probably the most likely to make the NFCCG as long as Sirianni doesn’t do something stupid. Detroit is right therewith them. After that, I just don’t see any real threats. LA’s line is awful and is going to get Stafford killed. GB could still make a run if they can tread water until Love gets back, but that’s a big if. It’s hard for me to see anyone else making the title game.