Billl

If the cowboys couldn't put together a competitive roster when Dak was making $1,000,000 a year, what makes you think the difference between $33mm and $35mm is going to matter? All the penny pinching armchair GMs on the internet would be the first to complain when Cooper Rush is slinging the old pigskin for America's team. Unlike Josh who had all those signature wins against playoff teams, right?

Well if Josh averages 34 TDs, 7 INTs, and 5,308 yards passing over the next two seasons, he will equal Dak's first four years.

You were wrong enough the first time.

Odd that so many picked trade down. McBeane already has 9 picks. That’s a waste when the roster is already pretty solid. They aren’t going to be looking for volume at this point in the process. It’s time to get some dudes and try to win now. The defense is already a top 5 unit. If Josh is the goods, get him some day 1 weapons and shoot your shot while he’s cheap. There are really only two ways to win big in this league as far as I can tell. You either have one of the greatest QBs in history like Manning/Brady or you go for broke with a QB on a rookie contract like Wilson/Wentz/Mahomes.

I’ll preface this statement with the fact that I’m a Chiefs fan who placed a very large bet on the Bills to win more than 7 games this season (great job) and a smaller but still sizable wager on them to win the division outright (not as great). That’s why I started posting here in the first place. Somehow I seem to have been mistakenly pegged as a Ravens fan, but that’s neither here nor there. If Josh becomes anything close to Kirk or Dak, the Bills are going to win the division at least three times in the next five years.

What will you think if he throws for 10 more TDs, 1,800 more yards, and completes 65% of his passes next season?

Every Bills fan should hope that Allen turns out as good as Prescott or Cousins.

What do you think of Josh Allen?

I can’t wait to see this place when Josh puts up 26 TDs, 12 INTs, and 3,700 yards next season. There’s going to be a civil war at TBD over his extension.

I guess 26 year old QBs who put up 5200 yards and 33 TDs are easily replaceable. Dude has made $4.7 million in 4 seasons. Nobody was crying about him being underpaid, but suddenly he wants what the market will pay, and he’s excoriated by fans. Guess what? Dak doesn’t need financial advice from a bunch of middle aged dudes on the internet. He’s going to get as much as Jerry Jones will pay him just as he should. You best believe Jerry will squeeze fans for every nickel they will pay, so there’s really no sense in clutching your pearls on his account. Of course fans will cry about how much better it would be if he would take a little less money so that they could build a championship roster around him, because that’s what fans always do. Meanwhile, they ignore the fact that the Cowboys couldn’t build a championship roster when Dak was making $500,000 a year. The difference between $33,000,000 and $35,000,000 isn’t going to make or break the team. If it does, they can trot Cooper Rush out there and see how that works out. The reality is that the Cowboys need Dak more than he needs them. There are a dozen teams who would pay Dak $30,000,000+ to play for them.

He will be 25 years old next season and just put up 1,700 yards in 15 games. How is he aging and trending down?

You think Gore would have suited up in the playoffs if he had been on the Chiefs? I can’t even believe that there are people on here trying to pretend that Gore was a more effective player than McCoy this season. McCoy averaged 4.6 yards per carry and had 5 TDs. Gore averaged 3.6 and had 2 TDs. Shady wasn’t even good, and he was still significantly better than Gore. Frank was useless all year, and he was even worse in the playoffs. If you want to defend bringing in a geriatric RB who ranked 45th out of 47 in YPC and who was tied with Dare Ogunbowale, Olamide Zaccheus, and 61 others for 182nd most TDs scored, that’s your prerogative. I’m pretty sure you don’t believe McBeane would have brought in Gore if he had it to do over again, though.

Mike Evans had very similar stats. He also had 3 100 yard games and a 0 yard game. Cooper Krupp had similar numbers including 0, 17, 31, and 35 yard games. There are maybe 6-8 truly elite WRs in the league. Amari is in the next group that aren’t quite at the level of DeAndre, Tyreek, Michael Thomas, etc. but are undeniably number 1 WRs. He only costs money, and the time to spend it on a guy who would immediately be the best offensive player on the team is now before a decision has to be made as to whether or not Josh gets a franchise level contract.

Why would anyone give up a first for Jimmy when they could sign any of the FA QBs without giving up picks? If SF signs Brady, it’s because they think he’s better. Nobody thinks JG is worth more than Brady PLUS a first round pick.

He’s literally one of the most consistent WRs in the game and has been since he entered the league. You can pencil him in for 75 catches, 1,100 yards, and 7 TDs every year. The guy is easily better than any WR the Bills have had since Andre Reid. Nobody here seems to be willing to trade up into the top 10 for Lamb or Jeudy. Nobody seems to be willing to pay for a top 10-15 WR in free agency. The window is here for the Bills. It’s time to stop shopping at thrift stores hoping to get lucky. McBeane needs to decide what a championship caliber roster looks like and use every available resource to fashion a team in that image.

I'm talking about the guy who finished 17th in the league in YPC out of the 47 players with 100+ attempts. You're talking about the guy who finished 45th. I don't know what McCoy would have produced had he played in the Superbowl, but he would be hard pressed to do worse than the 8 attempts for 22 yards that Gore managed in the playoffs. Gore had a 14 yard run. Outside of that, he had 7 carries for 8 yards and one pass thrown to him that was incomplete. 9 plays for him produced 22 yards. Shady was mostly ineffective this year (AV of 6), but Gore was essentially worthless (AV of 4).

When you cut a longtime player who this year averaged 4.6 yards a carry and scored 5 TDs to sign a guy who averaged 3.6 yards and scored 2 TDs, that’s a bad signing. He may well have been the least productive back in the league to get 150+ carries. Good dude. Good career. Hasn’t belonged in the league for 2 years.

Shady got some valuable experience in Kansas City. Could bring him back and let him sit behind All Day until he's ready to see some action.

If I'm a GM, I'm perfectly willing to trade away draft picks for players at times. I'm also willing to pay top of the market for players at times. What I'm never willing to do is trade away picks for the right to pay top of the market. If I decide to make an exception, it's not for a guy who made a name for himself with a great season two years ago and two mediocre seasons since then.

Great career. Terrible signing.

Any time you get the opportunity to trade a fourth round pick for the right to pay $14,000,000 a year to a guy who gave up 9.8 yards per attempt, you've got to do it. I mean only 171 players gave up fewer.

<<Furiously scribbling notes>> A 25 year old with 4 trips to the pro bowl, 33 TDs, and over 5,000 yards receiving is a bust.

I can't even imagine the reaction if the Bills made another trade with a team trying to grab a QB.

You’ve given me a lot to think about with this post.

How do you completely disregard the most important part of my statement without missing a beat? It’s a lot easier to make great draft picks when you’re drafting second overall than when you’re in the twenties. SF essentially tanked in what was supposed to be the first year of their window. Shanahan didn’t get killed over it because he could point to the JG injury. As a result, they got to draft Bosa. That wasn’t a brilliant pick. It was a complete no brainer that most competent franchises never get to make because competent franchises don’t typically draft second overall. That’s the very definition of an outlier. Nobody was pointing to SF as a model franchise 9 months ago. People were pointing at the Rams. How did that work out?