Billl

I like Allen at 40-1 more than I like Cam at 50-1.

You can’t really fault Ford for that. There was a player chasing his QB coming right at him. Every T in the league makes that block. But it doesn’t matter anyway. Had the penalty not been called, it was 4th and 5 from the 38. Hauschka wasn’t kicking a 56 yard FG, and McDermott wasn’t going for it. At worst, it cost the Bills a few yards of field position, and that was only because of the bad punt (that still rolled to the 17 yard line). That block was a non-factor in the outcome.

Patriots are even odds to win the division in Vegas right now.

Matt Barkley is a national treasure and an inspiration to us all. He has earned over $7,000,000 in his career while giving every American reason to believe they they too can be an NFL quarterback regardless of their complete lack of ability to do so with any degree of competency. Nathan Peterman could only last 2 years throwing 3 TDs and 12 INT’s, but Barkley has not only been in the league since 2013, he’s left and come back TWICE despite 10 TDs and 21 INTs (and 10 fumbles for good measure). The guy is legitimately terrible and has no business being on an NFL roster. The Bills are in ‘win now’ mode, and Allen has missed games pretty much every season he’s played organized football, so a competent backup QB who can give you a shot at winning is a must. This team is good enough to win ten or eleven games and the AFCE, but they aren’t good enough to do that with Barkley under center for 3-4 games. Those worried about Josh’s psyche are off base. If he’s so mentally fragile that he can’t perform with Cam Newton or Joe freaking Flacco standing on his own sideline, then how’s he supposed to look across the field in the postseason and see Pat Mahomes standing on the other sideline and not crap his pants? Allen’s had two seasons of being treated with kid gloves while McBeane has worked to build a roster around him. It’s time for him to go out there and win games. Franchise QBs entering their prime aren’t intimidated by Andy Dalton looking over their shoulders.

Watson completed 80% of his passes in the playoff game, had over 300 total yards of offense, two TDs, no turnovers, a QB rating of 121.2, and made an amazing play to win the game. Your definition of “wrecked” and mine are very different.

What does that even mean? Diggs is a proven commodity who put up big numbers catching passes from Case Keenum and Kirk Cousins. What “process” does he have to buy into in order to make a difference?

John Brown is the GOAT QB. He threw two passes this season, and both went for TDs.

He's 18th in a somewhat obscure stat. Did anyone claim he was bottom 5 in every possible category? If they did, they're incorrect. If not, what's your point?

Now look at how man games the QBs below him played. Darnold and Stafford each threw exactly one fewer TD than Allen, but they played 13 games and 8 games respectively. I mean he threw 10 more TDs than Bridgewater, but Teddy only started 5 games. If you limit the list to those who started at least 13 games, he’s bottom 5 in most major passing categories.

There’s not a single QB on that list below Allen in yards who played 16 games. Only 1 played more than 13 games (Jacoby Brissett). For TD passes, only 2 Brissett and Trubisky played more than 13 games and threw fewer than Allen. Only 3 with lower passer ratings played more than 13 games. jrober is right.

I’m a fan of his, but he’s also going to turn 24 next season. The last 2 MVPs were younger when they won the award than Burrow is today. What would Lamar Jackson or Pat Mahomes have looked like playing QB for LSU this season? I’m guessing pretty good. He’s a great prospect, but he’s not a slam dunk.

People can’t even spell Mahomes correctly yet. Give them a few years to figure out Burrow.

Mahomes is the best QB in the league, but he’s nowhere near the best deep ball thrower. It’s probably the weakest part of his game. He’s still pretty good at it, but it’s one of the few areas of his game that he could improve.

If you can’t hit the deep ball with consistency, you’d better be really, really accurate on the short and intermediate stuff to thrive in the NFL. And there’s no rule against being good at both.

He also has a tendency to tuck his throwing elbow close to his body and short arm deep throws. That’s a much bigger issue than his footwork.

Russel Wilson and Drew Brees throw beautiful deep balls. This doesn’t vary by season, and Allen’s deep ball misses weren’t due to lack of weapons. That isn’t to say he had great weapons, but he misses open receivers routinely. If his receivers weren’t getting open deep, you might have a point, but when he misses open receivers by 3-5 yards, that’s on him and him alone.

I hate the Broncos, but Denver has great weather.

Maybe, but this is a playoff team. Are you comfortable lining up third and goal from the four down by 4 points with a minute left and a rookie sixth round pick in the backfield? I’d feel much better with a Gordon or Gurley who are proven TD machines.

YPC is about the least important stat that still gets heavily used. In the last 4 seasons, Gordon has played in 53 games. He has scored 47 TDs and averages 100 yards of offense per game. He can block. He can catch. He can run. He can get the tough yards. Most importantly, he can score. Unless you want to watch Josh continue to take hits in short yard situations, you need a guy who can do what Gordon does, because there’s currently nobody on the roster who can.

I will never understand the Carlos Hyde fascination this place has. What makes so many here pine for a 30 year old journeyman RB who was just released in favor of Shady McCoy?

Of course Beasley belongs in the WR conversation. The posters I responded to were complaining about including guys like Travis Kelce in the conversation because he’s listed as a TE. If a WR is an eligible receiver who lines up wide of the LOS (which it is), then of course players like Kelce belong in the conversation. Dude has 200 catches in the past two seasons. He doesn’t get them as an in line blocker. He gets (most of) them by lining up in the slot or flexing out wide just like Beasley. You can’t discount the production of guys who line up in the slot or split out wide simply because they may have lined up next to the Tackle and run blocked three plays earlier. To put it another way, Kelce took more snaps lined up at WR than Mecole Hardman did. If Kelce catches 60+ passes a season from the slot position, he belongs in the conversation as a WR.

Sure, but that brings him up to 8 fumbles total over his last 4 years and roughly 1,000 touches. I mean it could turn out to be an unusually high number for Singletary, but we know it’s abnormally high for Gordon. I'm a fan of DS. He’s a uniquely effective player. I just think he was used exactly right this season. I strongly suspect you would have seen diminishing returns very quickly with more carries.

He’s perfect in his current role, but defenses don’t have to worry about him ripping off a 70 yard TD run. He’s also not the guy you want getting the tough yards in power sets. He also isn’t a guy you want to spend a lot of time picking up blitzes. You probably don’t want him taking a lot of hits, either. in the NFL, there are small backs who get the bulk of the carries because they are really fast. There are slow backs who get them because they are so big. You aren’t going to find a lot of small, slow backs getting 60 snaps a game, though. Let him be the guy who comes in here and there to give the defense a little different look and them get him out of there once they figure him out.

Just to be clear, you’re in favor of winning 70-75% of your games for 15 years straight, making 9 Super Bowls, and winning 6 of them? I’m a writer for Hot Take Weekly, and I’d like to interview you.

Singletary isn’t a lead back unless you like fumbling and getting both your RB and QB killed.