Billl

This isn’t the nail in his coffin people are making it out to be. The franchise tag is $24 million, and the 5th year option is $19 million. No reason to risk guaranteeing him for injury unless they’re 90% sure they want him.

The tipped ball signal was due to the defender he drilled.

Totally agree. (By the way, I wouldn’t recommend reading that Mahomes thread if I were you. Not your finest hour.)

I’m reading that thread now. It’s a whose who of terrible posters giving terrible takes about how Andy Reid is a terrible coach, Mahomes will bust, etc.

So now every player with a pop gun arm is Tom Brady.

I think he did, actually. Don’t remember how it all turned out, but it seems like he got some money out of the deal. I haven’t seen the guy in close to 20 years.

20+ years ago, a friend of mine was in a club. He was at the bar waiting for a drink. While he was waiting, he and the (beautiful) woman next to him starting casually chatting. Out of nowhere, this giant dude charged at him from across the room and beat him to a pulp. Broke his ribs, punctured his lung... It was bad. Turns out talking to Scott Steiner’s girl is a bad idea.

DiMarco was not the target on that play. Josh got flustered and chucked it deep.

The line didn’t fail. Allen had all day to throw. The announcer’s call was literally, “Allen...Look at the time he has!” The Texans had three men on the line and 8 in coverage. Then they dropped the nose back into coverage. It was a 2 man rush. Go to the 38:30 mark in this video. https://gamepass.nfl.com/game/bills-at-texans-on-01042020?condensed=true Saying the line failed is literally just making things up. There were 5 linemen blocking 2 rushers, and even those 2 were just sort of there. They weren’t really even trying to pressure.

It’s surely not by design that it worked out that way, but you aren’t wrong. If you can get two defenders to cover DiMarco 40 yards down the field, that’s a win. The problem is Josh actually decided to throw it to DiMarco. This is a pretty good breakdown of the good, bad, and ugly of that game. https://www.theringer.com/2020/1/5/21050032/josh-allen-buffalo-bills-houston-texans-wild-card-round-lateral-catch

One game? He’s 30 years old and has 10 career TDs, 21 INTs, 10 fumbles, and 2,500 passing yards. You could literally sign any practice squad QB and get equal or better production.

Nobody is giving up assets to acquire a 30 year old Matt freaking Barkley. He was literally the worst backup QB in the league last year.

Lock went 4-1 last year. He threw 7 TDs and 3 INTs while completing 64% of his passes in throwing for 204 yards per game and a rating of 89.7. That would be the best 5 game stretch of Allen’s career.

And everyone’s blaming the OC. Sun rises, sun sets...

This is one of the biggest myths about gambling. People think Vegas sets the line based on something other than what they believe will happen in order to get even money on both sides. That is patently false. The line absolutely gets set based on what Vegas thinks will happen. Now Vegas would love it if they could get even money on both sides. The lines may move very slightly in order to even things up a bit, but Vegas can’t get away with trying to middle the public at the expense of offering a line they don’t believe in. The reason is simple. Professional gamblers exist. Let’s say that Vegas thinks the Bills have a 60% chance of winning but the public drinks the New England Kool Ade, so Vegas would have to make NE the favorite in order to balance the action. The professional gamblers would HAMMER Buffalo +175 at the last minute. Millions of dollars would come in on Buffalo, and suddenly 75% of the action would be on the Bills at +175. Vegas would lose its ass if that was their strategy, and Vegas didn’t become Vegas by losing. That being the case, I can assure you that the sharpest minds in the industry think the Bills have roughly a 1 in 3 chance of winning the division. They think the Chiefs and Ravens are nearly locks to make the playoffs. The expectation is that New England wins the East with Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, and Tennessee also making the postseason. Cleveland is next in line if someone slips up. I feel like Buffalo should be the third best team in the AFC, but if there’s a gun to my head I’m following Vegas and rolling with NE.

Minshew was pretty damn good for a rookie who got no first team reps in the offseason. If Josh throws for 21 TDs, 6 INTs, and 3,300 yards while completing 61% of his passes next year, his biggest supporters will be taking victory laps all over TBD. Minshew did that in 12 starts and managed to run for 350 yards to boot.

19 consecutive winning seasons says he’s a great GM. 17 division titles says he’s a great GM. 9 Super Bowl appearances and 6 Super Bowl rings say he’s a great GM. $100 bet on New England to win the division pays $91. That same bet on the Bills pays $175, so Vegas thinks New England is about twice as likely to win the division as Buffalo. I’ve said several times that I think Buffalo is the best team in the division. I haven’t seen anyone on this site pick NE to win it.That probably means Vegas is going to clean up on people sleeping on BB.

You should at least be on the same page as your own post. You’ve said in this thread that BB was able to win 11 games with a backup QB because of the stacked roster. Then you say he’s nothing special as a GM. Which is it? Who do you think built that stacked roster? New England had one of the best defenses in the league last season. They had probably the best special teams in the league last season. You can win a lot of games with those two things even if your offense sucks. Hell, Buffalo’s offense sucked last year and their special teams were mediocre and they won 10 games. There’s a reason the Patriots are the favorites to win the AFCE in Vegas. I think the Bills win the division, but it’s still going to be a tough putt.

So he’s not a genius because he build a dominant roster?

The people wanting to declare the Patriots dead need to get on the same page. Some keep talking about how bad he is at drafting. Others want to say that the only reason he won so many games with Cassel is because of the incredible roster he built. He built the roster that was good enough to win 11 games with a backup QB. Everyone has been asking what QB he plans to draft or sign that could make them a good team. Nobody is considering that BB might believe in Stidham. He’s had 2 years to prepare for this eventuality. Nothing he’s done would lead me to believe he’s hell bent on overhauling the QB position.

The only guy dumber than the guy who won a Super Bowl is the guy who’s won the division 4 of the past 5 seasons?

Just for context, he had 147 combined runs and sacks in 2019. Essentially, he fumbled once every 9 times he didn’t hand the ball off or throw it. When you start factoring in the times he didn’t get tackled (9 rushing TDs, several kneel downs, dozens of times running out of bounds, sliding, etc.) it’s got to be closer to 1 in 5 hits that he coughs it up. He’s been remarkably lucky to lose so few, but if I’m the opposing DC, I want him running the ball. I tell my guys to force him to the middle of the field if he runs. Give him a few extra yards, but make him take a hit because he’ll put it on the ground eventually.

His motion has become very slow, as he has to reach back more to get anything behind the kicks. I’m a Chiefs fan and have probably seen 99% of his career punts. He’s a great guy. His kids go to the same school as mine. I don’t know him personally, but I do see him around. He’s a really well liked player and respected member of the community. If he had anything at all left in the tank the Chiefs wouldn’t have let him go.

Colquitt is almost 38 years old, has made $40,000,000 in his career in the league, and has multiple local endorsement deals in Kansas City where he, his wife, and his kids have lived for 16 years. He’s not moving to Buffalo to compete for a job that would pay him the veteran minimum for one season that may not even happen. He’ll take a cushy job with a local television affiliate and call it a career.