Billl

Where did this idiotic narrative about Cam not being able to stay healthy come from? He got injured last season. Prior to that, he missed 5 starts in his entire 8 year career. Josh missed that many his rookie season and was knocked out of another last year. Anyone who thinks NE didn't improve their chances of winning the division with this move is delusional. He’s not great, but he’s absolutely proven himself to be a legit starting QB in the league, and no other QB in the division can say that.

Moss had 42 catches for 552 yards and 3 TDs before coming to NE. He had 98, 1500, and 23 TDs the following year. Dillon had 541 yards and 2 TDs his last year in Cincy. He had 1635 and 12 the following year. Welker was a 26 year old with 96 catches and 1 career TD before coming to NE. He led the NFL with 112 catches for 1175 yards and 8 TDs his first year with NE. Not sure what I was thinking with Edelman and Bledsoe, but BB has done as good a job as anyone at plugging guys into major roles and getting absolute dominant performances out of them immediately.

I don’t understand why so many here are so quick just write off NE. I mean, people are talking about them like their offense sucked last season when they scored the third most points in the AFC. They outscored Buffalo by 106 points. That is enormous. To put it into perspective, the Redskins scored the fewest points in the NFL. The Bills outscored them by 48 points. The gap between Buffalo’s offense and NE’s offense is more than twice the gap between Buffalo’s and being dead last...and the Patriots gave up 34 fewer points while playing a tougher schedule. To close the gap between the two teams, Buffalo will have to improve by 20 TDs relative to NE. I think Buffalo has improved while NE has regressed. I still think Buffalo wins the division, but I’m with you in that it’s not just a foregone conclusion.

Drew Bledsoe, Randy Moss, Corey Dillon, Wes Walker, Julian Edelman Those who failed (Josh Gordon, Antonio Brown) did so because of off the field issues.

I don’t understand what you’re getting at here. It sounds like you’re suggesting that, unless Lombardi advocated drafting Jackson early in the first round he can’t now, with 2 years of additional information, acknowledge that Jackson is better than the highly touted QBs from that class. I didn’t know who Tom Brady was in 1999. Now, I think he’s better than Chad Pennington. What does one have to do with the other?

It’s not rare for QBs to improve their completion percentages as they grow. It is rare that they do so dramatically, though. Rare enough that most people don’t expect it from someone who was dead last in the league two years in a row.

You’re right, that was stank who posted that. Show me where you told him those games didn’t matter. I’ll wait.

So let me make sure I follow you here. You post about what they did BEFORE Buffalo because obviously that’s meaningful, but when I respond with what happened AFTER they played, nobody gives a flying **** because that’s irrelevant. Makes sense. (Never mind the fact that the come from behind win prevented what would otherwise have been a 5 game losing streak to end the season.)

Hodges didn’t throw a TD the rest of the season, nor did he crack 100 yards in either of the remaining games. He averaged 1.11 air yards per attempt against the Bills...the average pass attempted barely crossed the line of scrimmage. The next week? He averaged -.35 air yards per attempt. I’ve never even heard of that before. Hodges is horrific. Trying to spin it any other way is laughable. Their defense was very good, though. Their offense turned it over 5 times that game, and they held the Bills to 17 points. (FTR, Pittsburgh closed as a 1 point favorite.)

He’s literally not asking for more money. He’s asking for the exact contract that’s been offered minus the fifth year.

The contract he just signed, obviously.

Who’d they trade Zeke to?

That should be simple enough. Just tell their front 7 to get a bunch more sacks. Why stop at 6.5, though. Tell them to get 20 more sacks and tell their other Defensive Backs to get a dozen more INTs. Then you don’t have to pay anyone to play Adams’s position. Just play 11 on 10.

How did he plateau when last season he had far and away the best season of his career?

I love this comment. It gets posted every time this situation occurs no matter how many times it’s proven wrong. Of course he has leverage. He’s using it right now. There is a 100% chance that he eventually gets a new contract. He is a GREAT player, easily the best on the team. Drafting him is the best move they’ve made in years. Terrible franchises lose when they play hardball with great players. Bill and the Patriots have the juice to screw players. Gase and the Jets don’t. The more they piss off Adams, the less they will get if they have to trade him. See this thread if you’re wondering how this will play out.

I envy the life of someone who has time to worry that the NFL might treat Kaepernick too well.

The variables that factor into the formula don’t matter for the sake of this question. What matters is that having a completion percentage below the expected level is bad and vice versa.

If all of our parents had done the same, we’d have herd immunity by now. As it is, were years away from a vaccine. I’m drinking fish tank cleaner just to be safe.

No. It means that, when controlling for all of those factors, both should have been able to complete 62.6% of their passes. Dak was especially accurate allowing his receivers to catch more passes. Josh...wasn’t. He was one of the very worst in the league even when grading him on a curve that includes drops. Had his receivers dropped fewer passes, his expected completion percentage would have been higher than 62.6%.

The last 3 columns show the actual completion percentage, the expected completion percentage, and how much better or worse than expected each QB did. Josh and Dak were expected to complete 62.6% of their passes when adjusting for things like drops, pressure, etc. Dak completed 65.1% (+2.5%) and Josh completed 58.9% (-3.7%).

To do so would be INSANE!

Interestingly enough, Josh and Dak were both expected to complete exactly 62.6% of their passes.

It is literally INSANE to worry about a global pandemic rather than people getting liquored up and jumping through tables. People need to get their priorities straight. Sounds like you’ve built up an immunity to jaywalking.

Unless David Blough, Gardner Minshew, Dwayne Haskins, and Josh Allen blew the rest of the QBs out of the water, I think it’s safe to say you’re reading it backwards. Those 4 had the biggest negative discrepancy between expected completion percentages and their actual completion percentages.

I had no idea how victimized you were. Best if you just hole up in your safe space where you won’t have to watch those mean people you’ll never meet kneel for 90 seconds.