Billl

Bills 31 Jets 16

That was ***** bonkers. Game of the year just happened in week 1.

Hell of a start.

I’m sure that would have been their preference, but it’s hard to attract a FA to sign a veteran minimum deal that isn’t even guaranteed.

Ex-Panther, how original…

They brought Christian Wilkins in for a tryout, and he pulled everyone’s groins. Something’s going on for sure. Line’s moved 3 points in the last 24 hours.

“Hey Chat GPT, what are the characteristics of a ‘homer’ as it relates to sports fans?” Blind Loyalty: A homer fan's belief in their team is unwavering, even in the face of poor performance. Excuses: They consistently find reasons for a loss, such as bad officiating or luck, rather than acknowledging the opponent's skill. Biased Analysis: When it comes to their team, a homer's analysis is often skewed, focusing only on the positives. Emotional Reasoning: Their passion for the team influences their perceptions more than objective facts or evidence. How it's used Fans: A fan who believes their team is the best, regardless of statistics or current form. Example: A sports fan who argues their team's rival team got lucky and won a game, rather than admitting their own team was outplayed.

Ravens 31 Bills 22 Buffalo was +3 in the turnover margin in the playoff game and squeaked out a win after Andrews dropped a gimme 2 pt conversion at the end. During the regular season, the turnover margin was even, and Baltimore won 35-10. Bills will need to be +2 to win, IMO. Last season, they were historically good at +24 during the regular season and +4 in the postseason. I expect that to move substantially towards the mean this season.

There’s a case to be made that the Chiefs and Bills both losing could be the worst case scenario for Buffalo, as it would mean they’d be chasing an extra team in terms of playoff seeding.

If you read the article, this isn’t a prediction. It’s one random version of a simulation they ran. Usually they run 10,000 and aggregate it.

Titans made the divisional round? Impressive

What would you have given for him in January?

The past two times the Bills and Chiefs have met in the playoffs, there have been a total of 9 fumbles. Buffalo got possession all 9 times.

For the most part, judging GMs by their misses is a poor method of evaluation. They should be judged by their hits. Beane missed on Elam but hit on Benford. If it had been the other way around, nobody would even care.

Yeah, that Jaguars defense was great a couple of years ago, much better than the Eagles. Obviously that must be why they scored 27 against Jacksonville but 38 against Philadelphia. But to your point, what is “playoff Josh Allen”? Postseason Josh Allen is the exact same as regular season Josh Allen. Players and teams simply don’t elevate their play based on situation. I know that because you’ve told me so repeatedly in this very conversation. The confirmation bias is you starting from the conclusion that the Chiefs score more against the Bills in the postseason not because the Chiefs do something to influence that outcome, but because the Bills just play poorly and then working your way backwards from there.