JDHillFan
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Everything posted by JDHillFan
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Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It can be hard to stay focused at your age. Soon you will be aging out of the public part of life. Stay strong. -
Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Someone has certainly been mixing things up. My posts have been in regard to Silver. Ppppp -
Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Thank you for the clarification. I will forward to Nate Silver so that he can stop referring to his stuff as a “model”. -
Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Article/data is almost two years old. I suspect those in the business are concerned with lessons learned and have applied some learning since 2022. I will wait until November to see if they have improved. Happy to crucify all of them if they are wildly off base. -
Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Absolutely. It will be interesting to watch unfold. In Silver’s case he’s definitely got his credibility on the line. He can survive being a little wrong but if he’s way off it’s sayonara time. I’m not willing to declare them “very flawed”. That will have to wait until November. -
Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Do you believe that the same Nate Silver is fine with making his model/work/career/credibility a laughingstock because he’s in business with Peter Thiel? That seems to be your thinking. Not a very cool fantasy world you live in. Weird. -
Elon Musk appreciation thread
JDHillFan replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
😆 -
Dick Cheney Voting For Harris
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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Thank you for asking. I will leave it to the experts, including you, to judge my mental fitness. You have one of the lowest bars on the planet so I am slightly optimistic regarding my diagnosis. I haven’t heard from her necessarily. Seems to be mostly from anonymous aides. While that is fine, and possibly preferred, for a deep-state enthusiast such as yourself I would like to see our next president be a stand-up sort and state her “current” positions. She can do this! Do you believe her “current” positions reflect her values that haven’t changed? How exactly would that work?
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Minor delay in the closing. Stay strong everyone!
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Polls Are Basically Useless
JDHillFan replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
For the sake of discussion let’s agree that polls and models are generally inaccurate. Maybe they are, maybe they aren’t. My question for those that support the Harris/America’s Dad team - to what do you attribute the significant swing seen in Silver’s model? Now, ATTACK! -
Why are people wondering about her positions? What difference does it make? It’s all right there in the Democrat platform!
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What were the terms of the subsidies?
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Frankish can use a friend. We all can. Do you believe Joe is mentally fit for the most important job in the world?
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Something we can all agree on. Right?
