Simon

#1 - I said "probably" #2- Watch him staring down the LBs on his drop, seeing if they chase the drag or the flag. I think he had decided presnap he wanted Shakir on the flare and when the LB's didn't bite he had to come off it. Then he realized the protection was blown and tried to bail to his right. It was only then that he finally realized the corner was coming and he had no escape route on that side and it was too late to do anything but heave a prayer to the zone the corner had vacated. By that point he'd run out of time and space and couldn't set up to get the ball where it should have gone.

Late to recognize the corner blitz. Probably because he was so focused on his presnap decision to get Shakir the ball out of the orbit motion that he didn't finally realize what was happening until he had run himself into a dead end and had to chuck up a prayer.

They didn't have any trouble scoring fast at the end of the first half when they went 75 yrds for a TD in 1:30. Or at the end of the first half of the Ravens game when they went 70 yrds for a TD in under 3:30. And they didn't need to score fast vs the Chiefs. There were 3:30 minutes left, the 2 minute warning and they had three TO's in their pocket. If anything they were likely going to have to burn some clock at the other end. Yet they somehow completely ignored the best weapon on their offense because they felt panicky and rushed. This is more of a coaching issue than any perceived lack of downfield threat, imo.

Late

It's even weirder that you think the only active mod on a board with thousands of posters can be here every second of every day and see every post that is made.

Did they ask him whether he was pissed because the Bills didn't even glance at the best galdanged player on their offense during the final drive?

I don't believe in a million years that Allen would ever say that to a reporter. That guy is lying through his teeth.

Good clear-eyed post and you can probably add DC to that as well.

I thought he was nervous ruight from the get go. And he did miss a bunch more easy throws than he typically does, a couple for what could have been big plays. I'm sort of wondering if the hand issue was messing with his delivery.

There's probably no way we'll ever really know but I thought he came in hot because he was pissed off that Hamlin had given Mahomes some extra business.

I see Bills players rushing angrily to Allen's defense nearly every week. They are not going to call that a penalty in a tight playoff game unless he does something egregiously stupid; like headbutt somebody in the face.

When the defender has just bulldogged his QB face first into the turf 5 yrds deep into the endzone

Jordan Phillips got 15 for headbutting Kelce in the face

You must have missed that part of the sentence that said "regardless of the end result". Even if he had caught it, it still would have been 15 yrds from where it was supposed to be.

Trail technique

It's wildly off target when it's 15 yards from where it's supposed to be, regardless of the end result.

The protection problem was what caused the throw to be 15 yrds off target and forced Kincaid to have to reverse field and dive for it. That might have had something to do with the drop.

Thanks Doc, I didn't realize he'd written a follow up. Glad to hear it's worth the read; I'll be putting it on the list. 🤙

The read was right but the blown protection forced it into being a desperation heave that was nowhere near where it should have been. You can scapegoat Kincaid til the cows come home but there were multiple mistakes made on that play that resulted in the incompletion and the late, wildly off-target throw was one of them.

He was definitely late getting back into the play. If the protection wasn't so fouled up, I think Allen would have had the time and space to throw a better ball.

Shakir could not have blocked all three of the defenders that stayed in their zones over there. Kincaid was the right read and the only realistic option; Allen was just a hair late realizing it.

This is not true. Two LBs and a Safety stayed in their zone between the hashes and didn't chase the flag or the drag. Both LB's were eyeballing Shakir and Allen was eyeballing them because I think Shakir was where he wanted to go presnap. Both LBs held their water and if Allen tosses to Shakir he doesn't make the sticks, if he rolls left and runs he doesn't make the sticks, if he rolls left and looks downfield he's fouled up his angle to Kincaid. The only way the play works is if he drifts back and gets a ball out leading Kincaid just before the rush gets home.

He was running right to the zone that had been vacated due to the corner blitz; it was 100% the right route. If not for the blown protection, Allen would have had time to drop it on him with a ton of room to run.

I don't know fantasy but here's some good sci-fi: Richard K Morgan's series featuring Takeshi Kovacs (dark, violent, wonderfully written - don't judge it by the Netflix series which was horrifically bad) John Ringo's 3 book series regarding the Posleen War (well-written military sci fi by a guy with a great sense of humor) The Mongoliad series (multiple authors) more history-based but with sort of a fantasy feel. David Weber's In Death Ground and The Shiva Option (standards sci fi space opera with a naval feel)

If you assume the ball is in his right arm and the rotate the camera to the left so it's actually lined up with the 40, then he's still probably short.