Chances are probably dropping overall as diminishing sunspots seem to indicate a decline in the solar activity cycle.
But the sun is a fairly unpredictable burning ball of hydrogen so we're still going to get bursts, even in a decreasing cycle of activity
I guess we just need to hope that we still get some big CME's pointing towards the Earth and that they'll be timed with clear weather to see the results.
Or just take a nice long vacation in Norway....