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Giuseppe Tognarelli

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Everything posted by Giuseppe Tognarelli

  1. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Because this weekend is a nightmare. We are in the second of three chapters at the moment.
  2. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Peaked at 93%, about to tank
  3. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    The Titans have a 77% chance of beating the Jaguars and clinching playoffs for the Bills and Steelers. It's not going to happen.
  4. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Waddle and Mostert not expected to play. So Bills are facing Dolphins without Phillips, Chubb, Howard, Waddle, Mostert, possibly Holland, and with a hobbled Hill. This is approaching all-time fail category if they're not able to pull it off
  5. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Nicely done
  6. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    I did the same but only $5. 😂
  7. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    I think you might have misread it. I'm saying the 95% NYT is wrong because of the reasons you stated. The actual chance based on the betting lines of the games is 81.1% (there is an 18.9% chance of a Steelers/Jaguars/Dolphins parlay hitting, which is the only way the Bills miss).
  8. Giuseppe Tognarelli
  9. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Bills' NYT 95% chance of playoffs is very inaccurate. The actual probability that the Bills will miss the playoffs, based on the odds of a disqualifying three-leg parlay, are 18.9%. So, there is a true 81.1% chance the Bills will make it one way or another.
  10. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Jags will win, Steelers will win, Bills will lose, Diggs will be off the team somehow Book it
  11. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Would be the Steelers if they win and Jags lose
  12. Giuseppe Tognarelli
  13. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Yeah, but we're now in "I could see it" territory which is not what most fans were expecting going into this week
  14. Giuseppe Tognarelli
  15. Giuseppe Tognarelli
  16. Giuseppe Tognarelli
  17. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    I don't think people know what "qualms" actually means. This is the second time in less than 24 hours I've seen it misused.
  18. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    I can't stand this guy. He's a big ***** #######.
  19. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    It's serious. Thanks
  20. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Nothing. My wife left me.
  21. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    Simulcast, not exclusively streamed
  22. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    I know, but that's not going to happen if the teams who are favored win
  23. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    This isn't true Fun fact: the Raiders have a 68% chance of making it if they beat the Colts and Broncos. Getting the 2 seed and hosting the Raiders would be fun!
  24. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    This couldn't be more wrong Uber realistic. Most likely way to get to this scenario: Steelers beat Seahawks and Ravens backups All relevant favorites win Bills beat NE, lose to MIA =Bills out ??? Losing the next two is not the concern
  25. Giuseppe Tognarelli
    I know? The tweet was before the Chiefs lost. They have now lost.
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