DCofNC
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Everything posted by DCofNC
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Well, if he wants more money, he’s got a lot of leverage to get it.. the season is pretty much over before it starts if he refuses to play. The team has no other viable weapons to replace him…. Not that this wasn’t obvious last year, but nobody wanted to admit it… now due to the cap, you can’t cut or trade him without destroying the team either. Your move Beane.
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Based on what, his rookie year? Last season was a nice year, but 1300 rushing and 350 receiving, is nice, but not worth breaking the bank for.
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Get off the points per game, you have one of the best QBs in the game that has to shoulder the entire load bc he has arguably the worst line in the NFL, zero running game and only 1 WR that’s ever sniffed 1000 yards in a season. The reason it fails is being completely predicated on Allen balling out. When it’s stop one player, playoff teams get it done.
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So to sum it up, the Bills spend more on offense because they have Allen and Diggs vs Defense. Cool. Now the biggest additions to the team were guys averaging ~7m and 3m a year on offense, but we had no issue dropping 20M a year in Miller. So I agree w Coward, entirely too much dumped into D, when O is winning the big dance.
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I don’t see the Jets going 13-4, but I could see the Bills at 9-8. I don’t think this team is as good as the record has made them look the last few years. It’s going to be all on Josh again.
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By the wording, if you are running and one foot is off the ground when you hit the guy, it’s a penalty, they really do want flag football at this point.
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
DCofNC replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
Opinions are like buttholes as they say. He’s definitely top 5, where you rank him from 2-5 is a preference. -
I certainly wouldn’t say they are a lock, they barely made the playoffs last year. They are a team worth watching though. Lawrence has to make a pretty big leap for them to be considered real contenders, he has the ability, just has to do it. Barring injury, the one seed goes through KC and Cinci. Both teams are very talented and though their divisions look tough(er) on paper, I don’t see anything for either one to be scared of. Whoever comes out of the East will be battle tested and I don’t see anyone in serious contention for a #1 seed because they all get to beat on each other. I thought the West would make the #1 tough for KC last year and they proved me wrong, so who knows. My feeling is the playoffs will look pretty similar to last year.
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
DCofNC replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
This is spot on. I was worried we were watching Mitch Trubiski 2.0 after 2019. He absolutely blew expectations out of the water in 2020 and had been a top 5 guy ever since. The narrative I can’t stand is Diggs made Allen, that’s some serious BS. The ONLY WR Allen has played w in Buffalo that hasn’t enjoyed a career year is Sanders. That is much more to do w Sanders being washed than Josh, but literally everyone who has seen the field w Josh has put up their best numbers ever. -
Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
DCofNC replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
I believe most contracts have language written into them that allows the team to rework it as needed, so long as the money stays the same. It would actually suck for the player a bit, but I do think this is why you saw Allen take a “small” signing bonus and larger first year base pay. I sure as hell would. -
Meh, would be a nice piece to have, but in no way would I ever consider paying him what he’s making now so a trade is out. I think he would make Miami better and they should be able to fit him in. They don’t have much in the way of a power back, they are all speed, he’s a complete guy, don’t want to see him there, but nothing you can do.
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
DCofNC replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
Actually, neither scenario is correct, the bonus money is deemed NYS, so in the very likely scenario that he takes a big signing bonus with a bunch of voided years, he’s getting slapped with the 11% on that and the 1.1M vet contract would be at the rates across where he’s playing. In opposition to signing w a team in a no income tax state, the bonus won’t be taxed and you will only pay where you play. Ideal scenario is honestly outside of the AFCE because barring Florida, you are getting slammed w high tax rates for divisional games. Taxes matter, like it or not. -
Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
DCofNC replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
Everyone cares about the bottom line at the end of the day. If the offer from TN or others is considerably larger than what he can get from a real contender, he may well choose to take it and I don’t blame him. If it’s a trivial difference and he chooses to take the same offer from TN vs Buffalo bc of taxes, then yeah, he’s not really in it to win (even though 11% of a contract in taxes is no joke). -
“It’s possible they are a better team this year even if their record is worse in 2023… success to me means progressing further …” This is my definition of success as well. There’s potential for things to be better this year, I’m hopeful they will. I am not 100% sold on the changes made on D, but McD gets to show us what he’s got.
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I have been lit up for pointing it out, but the Bills D has had the benefit of exceptionally weak competition over that time. In 2021 they got 8 games against either back-up or rookie QBs and another 4 of those in 2022. That’s quite literally over half the wins the team had in that span, the stats don’t tell the whole story. If you look at the numbers against teams over .500, they aren’t nearly as good.
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I’m realistic. There’s always a shot to be good w Allen at QB. He had his ups and downs last year, but he’s elite and creates a lot from nothing. I turned a bit more pessimistic last offseason when they banked on Davis becoming a legit 2 and ignored the OL again, while dumping huge money into an older DE, knowing full well they rotate the line to death. The continued spending of high picks on the D and little to no return on them has me questioning a lot. I can’t figure out if it’s a disconnect between the coaching and the GM or if the coaches absolutely refuse to use players to their strengths. As for this off-season. I feel like McGov is basically Rick Bates 2.0 in terms of a guy who was a back up, got limited reps and cashed in. Maybe it works, but it’s a projection at best. I like Harty and Sherfield, solid depth with some speed, but it still doesn’t address the glaring hole at #2 WR. MLB is basically a perfect example of Hope as a strategy. OL isn’t far behind. Coaching has been suspect at best the last three seasons. Perhaps more concerning is McD didn’t even have the balls to fire Frazier or take over play calling if he truly wasn’t happy w it in season. He’s supposed to be the guru, but the D has choked in big moments. He seems to meddle in the O, but again leaves the big moments on a (struggling) rookie OC down the stretch. I feel McD is a good guy, great culture builder, but has hit his ceiling. This combined with the continued misses in the draft, there’s not enough talent/money to get more talent to cover for bad drafts, to cover the mediocre coaching. At this point, I see a lot of holes in the roster and don’t see a coaching staff that can overcome.
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I hate that I agree. I’m honestly not confident on either, there’s more “potential” on the roster, but not a lot of guys I’m sure about.
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Did he really improve it? He signed a back-up lineman to a starting contract, what looks to be a wash at WR/RB, lost one of the best LBs in the league without replacement, and signed an aging LB/DE that nobody else wanted to pay. We all want to assume the draft will pay dividends, but if we are honest, rookie TEs rarely have a lot of impact and Torrence fell a long way to get to us, the last time we thought we “stole” a Guard that didn’t play out to well. I’m saying he didn’t , but if you aren’t a Bills fan, would you really say so? I can’t say yes.
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Well, context is the next easy thing you can work on. Weigh it vs DL picks and signings and it’s a joke.
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They tried? Really? Look at all the DL Picks and signings, then check OL, get back to us. Replacing garbage with somebody else’s garbage is not trying.
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NFL.com ranks the most "complete" teams in the NFL; Bills at #6
DCofNC replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Pretty fair assessment, the depth of the roster is pretty solid, minus WR, the difference maker talent is severely lacking, which is part of why there has been a struggle in the playoffs. Want to stop the offense? Don’t let Allen run and double Diggs, the wheel spinning will follow. Want to move the ball? At the end of last year, it was just avoid Milano, nobody else scares you. This season could be more of the same if Kincaid takes a while to adjust and the OL additions don’t find their footing quickly. The O is more worrisome to me, counting on a bunch of u proven guys again this year. On D, if White doesn’t come back to form and have Elam step up in a big way, it’s going to be a rough start to the year without Miller and Edmunds. At very least you will have to account for the safties again. Hopefully, one of the MLB candidates separates themselves from the crowd and McD can dial up some pressures without hanging the corners on an island too much. It’s a big year for McD to show what he’s got. -
How will the defense be different this year?
DCofNC replied to oldmanfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Explain to me, why we are talking about SB Champions when the Bills can’t get there? Those teams won when it mattered, because their Defense did the job, when it mattered. Yes they beat up on garbage, but nobody was falsely claiming they were the #1 D in the league either. -
How will the defense be different this year?
DCofNC replied to oldmanfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
The Rams did nothing all year, healthy or not. The Titans did nothing all year, healthy or not. The Lions got a win streak going on garbage teams and still missed the playoffs. Brissett has never been more than a back-up, regardless of Watson being terrible after missing a season and a half. There is no “Cherry Picking” going on. In the last 2 seasons, when this D has been “dominant” They have won 12 games against teams with a rookie or Back-up QB. In that time, they’ve won 5 games against teams over .500. They have feasted on garbage. Cheeseburger keeps contradicting himself, trying to blame Allen for scores and then pointing out the teams didn’t put up a lot of yards while scoring 30+, when you have a short field, you don’t go as far to score, but the D still gave up TDs to a 3rd string QB. The Eagles and the Chiefs beat bad teams too, but ya know what he’s picking them? THEY WENT TO THE SUPERBOWL. This D gets man handled every year when it counts. Who gave up a ton of points all game to KC in the playoffs 2021? Was that Allen? Was it Allen who let them score in 13 Seconds to lose the game after leading the team on an epic comeback? The narrative is so bad it hurts. When it counts this D has crumbled. This year the competition is way stiffer, to expect them to be better after losing more talent than they replenished, fools gold.