Mikie2times

He's correct, and I'll explain why. When you look at this line at first glance it screams KC, even more KC has been a public favorite ever since that 13-3 year. One more obvious pattern of the betting public is not giving the home team a big enough advantage. This combination shows the odds makers think the "public" is vastly overrating KC, and is very likely to underestimate the home Bills. They take advantage of that by slanting the line even more in favor of Buffalo to make the line irresistible to KC backers. Now a frenzied public looks at this line and screams, "holy crap Buffalo -2.5 , KC is a lock. " It's a gamble by the bookies, but it usually works. In 95% of the other games they try and balance action, and the juice nearly always ensures profit. But in one or two games a week they will have a "trap game" listed. Remember, these lines first go threw a line making firm, and then are tested by a small sampling of the public, and the professional bettors. Vegas makes no mistakes, luck always plays a roll, but they clearly think Buffalo is underrated in this spot. A smart move would be to wait until this thing bottoms out, probably with the Chiefs as favorites, and bet the Bills.

Right now we’re playing at about 75%, with an additional 2% we will be at 77%. I don’t know about you but I'm happy about being just a mere 33% away from the coveted 110%

I'm am making a lot of assumptions, I agree with that, but that is all I really have to measure the progress of our rookies. Late picks are known to silently disappear from your roster, and usually if they pan out you at least hear about them making some noise. I haven't heard anything on Justin yet, but given your analysis, and him having to switch positions, it might take a little while for his talents to shine threw. I'm really hoping he pans out as he sounds like a great player, with a good head on his shoulders.

I think you took my post as an attack on your review of Justin, but that wasn't the intention. I really appreciate the scouting reports, and just wanted your opinion on MW's move, and how that affects Gesinger. If a guy is playing a position in a back up role, and the team decides to move over a Starter from a different spot, that tells me Geisinger isn't NFL ready yet. I'm not saying that he won't develop into the player you say he will, but given the limited time I can see these guys in action I try and rely more on our coaches analysis then my own or anybody else’s. Just wanted to edit this to add a question for you, given that Justin needs to switch from T to G at what point do you think his talent will earn him a role in the starting lineup? Obviously this will be influenced by who we have at those positions, but G seems like a position he could break threw at with CV get older and less durable, BA sucking, and MW probably needing awhile to be effective in any position changes?

I think you took my post as an attack on your review of Justin, but that wasn't the intention. I really appreciate the scouting reports, and just wanted your opinion on MW's move, and how that affects Gesinger. If a guy is playing a position in a back up role, and the team decides to move over a Starter from a different spot, that tells me Geisinger isn't NFL ready yet. I'm not saying that he won't develop into the player you say he will, but given the limited time I can see these guys in action I try and rely more on our coaches analysis then my own or anybody elses.

Your taking one out of 9 potential picks, and saying the pick for Willis (Arguably TD’s best selection ever) is the one in which we must have used to find our LG. I'm saying any of the first day picks from 03-05 could have been used, not just the pick we took Willis at. I don't see Smith, Tucker, or Andersons as legitimate solutions at LG, and hoping one would work out is not just a failed solution, but not a solution at all. I'm talking about a legitimate replacement, meaning either an average to top tier FA, or a pick in the first 3 rounds of the draft. After that you need to get lucky in order to make it work, and as you have pointed out we have tried to get lucky several times and failed. A guy drafted in the first 3 round may not work out either, but at the very least I could argue that TD has made a serious attempt to upgrade that position, as it stands I can't make that argument.

Glad I saw you post again, I had a question about a post you did on Geisinger. You seem to know a lot about him and like him at G, how do you know so much about him in such limited time? Do you just watch a lot of SEC ball or do you have ties to Vanderbilt? I'm just trying to get an accurate read on his potential and you gave him a ringing endorsement. I'm not questioning your analysis, but the Bills are now trying out MW at LG, and you would think if Gesinger is as good as your post implied the Bills wouldn't be interested in moving Mike over. Perhaps he is shaping up to be CV's eventual replacement? Any thoughts on MW's potential move and how this affects your analysis on Gesinger?

I'm not saying this in a trade this player for that player type way, I'm saying TD has never addressed LG since Brown left with any quality pick from 03-05. We wanted a QB so we traded back in the first round for JP, we needed a guard to replace Rueben but we sit on our hands and hope journeymen can fill the void. Steinback lasted until the first pick of the second round that year, and If we wanted him that bad we could have traded up for him, or taken a G in the 2nd or 3rd round, or drafted one in 04 or 05 in any of the day one picks. He’s had 3 years to find a replacement for Brown and never did, and subsequently was left to sign a G from a horrible class of FA in 05.

It's not like Rueben Brown was released yesterday, or it was unforeseeable event. His play was on the decline and his price was not, even most Bills fans speculated in 2002 that Brown would be gone soon. It's not TD's fault that Demulling, Anderson, and Vincent suck, but it is his fault that he never addressed Rubens departure in the first place. Had TD done his job correctly and recognized what most of us "arm chairs" did about Rueben he could have selected a quality LG in the 2003 draft. But apparently spending a first day pick on a G, with the ability to groom him for a year was not worth it. Even lacking any foresight with Ruben TD still had the opportunity to correct his mistake by drafting a LG in either 2004, or 2005. Threw the draft he addressed the LG spot with 5th rounder Ben Sobieski in 2003, and 6th rounder Justin Geisinger in 2005. Sobieski is a bust, and Geisinger is not NFL ready, and we don't know if he ever will be. TD has had ample time to address Rueben’s departure but never has, and it's his own fault he was left to choose among these three scabs.

This is great news!! We need to get our best 5 on the field, especially if it involves moving in a cost effective player like Jason Peters. Gandy hasn't killed us this year, and for the $ is a solid LT. Paired with Mike next to him instead of turn style Bennie should also help him out. With Preston moving into Teague’s spot next season we may just have a capable line signed under contract for more then a few years. I would still like to get a LT in round 2 for the future, and focus on DT in round 1. I mentioned Lecharles Bentley before as a possible C next year and still really like that move, but that of course depends on how the Bills feel about CV's durability problems. I like CV when healthy, but if the Bills feel he won't be able to stay on the field they could add Bentley and move Preston to a RG (He's played that spot plenty of times this year). I like the prospects of Gandy-MW-Duke-CV-JP, but I like Gandy-MW-Bentley-Preston-Peters even more.

If they finish 12-0 of course they deserve a shot, but if other teams also go 12-0 style points usually win out and Alabama just doesn't have many this years. All this is of course considering they do win out, and I'll go on record right now that they won't do that. The meat of the schedule is ahead for them, and their biggest win was against a vulnerable Florida team. Other then that they beat up on a couple pansies, and played in tight games with some of the worst teams in the SEC.

Boomshockalacka

Like a slippery fish, off the hook

Willis is a very good back, but until he regains his speed and explosiveness he will never be an elite back. Many RB's that have torn up the knee have said it takes 2 full years of playing to recover. Willis tore 3 ligaments, and after 1 1/2 seasons of playing he's slowly getting back that speed and explosiveness he showed at Miami. We have no reason to think we've seen his best, as a knee injury that severe might take 2-3 years of playing to fully recover.

A little bit of lamb and rice pilaf

His antics are so ridiculous that it's hard to imagine that he's not aware of how he appears to fans, and his team. Nobody questions his talent, but it's just not worth the price it comes with anymore, financially or for the sake of the team. TO believes he's bigger then the game, and that his talent supersedes the path of destruction the follows him everywhere, but IMO he has reached the cusp of what any NFL team is willing to put up with. His price tag is going to be big, and the history of attacking team leaders, and his teammates, is astounding. What’s it say when the Eagles are clawing for their playoff lives but are still willing to sit TO down now? I think it’s a clear statement by the Eagles that TO’s horrible attitude outweigh his on field talents. It will be intresting to see what team is dumb enough to sign him next year, probably Oakland.

Cooler then the otherside of the pillow

As time progresses you find out more about each team, last week I was speaking as if Tech would run the table, and what should happen if they did. I was wrong in the fact that I said VT would run the table, they obviously got exposed tonight. The point I was trying to convey then was more about if VT ran the table, then they should go over Texas, and not that VTECH was any better then Texas. Now Texas seems like a likely candidate to run the table, and a match up with USC seems immanent. I'm not a fan of Tech, USC, or Texas, but the college football fan in me really wants to see Texas against USC. For one it is a very intriguing match up filled with stars, and for two it's for a clear cut National Title game. My opinion is this Texas team will get exposed against USC. I just think the decline of the big 12 this year is more likely a reason for Texas putting up these numbers then them being as amazing as the scores indicate. In the meantime can Texas stay motivated without Tech nipping at their heals? They play Kansas who dominated Brad Smith, and is excellent against the run, and then they play a depressed A&M squad away. Neither of these teams are powers but their good enough to pull an upset if you give them enough chances. If Texas or USC falters I hope the football gods give Penn State a shot at the National Title, Alabama will slip up so I think the Nittany Lions should be next in line. You’ cant go wrong if the national title game this year comes down to Texas, USC, or Penn State. This has been another great year of college football.

We won't compete next year unless both lines improve, and despite how suspect the offensive line has been at times a DT is probably more important to the overall picture. The line run blocks well at times, and pass blocks well at times, and next year when MW and CV get healthy and the talent gets upgraded via FA we should be ok. I agree that other holes in the past have often taken precedents over the offensive line but we need to decide what is the best way to upgrade both sides of the ball. The FA DT market this off-season is nearly nonexistent, and nearly every year the offensive line has some talented FA's available.

Props to Miami for dominating this one, next time I think Tech keep their mouth shut during the week. I’m glad this went down because my ideal NC match up is Texas and USC. Now that Tech has lost that seems like it will happen given the remaining schedules of the two.

I was very skeptical of this team in the beginning of the year, but now I think they can play with ANYONE in the country. That might be a bold statement but consider who they played and dominated this season. Penn State is for real this year, and if not for one play against Michigan would be very much in the National Title hunt.

The kool aid is certainly being passed around in this thread. I can understand how people can credit TD for certain things, as he's done many things well, but why can't people understand why we question him? This team is 28th in the league in winning % since he took over, and it certainly doesn't appear like the future looks much brighter. How is being one of the leagues worst teams since 2003, and needing several holes to be filled this off-season reason to praise old whitey? If anything this subject thread should be the other way around. At best TD has been average, and giving him a grade of anything higher then that is either wishful thinking or being a homer.

Looks like a solid OLB prospect with his size and speed. Lacerated liver? Did they guy almost die? That sounds pretty serious, it will be very interesting to see when he goes with the injury, and rare speed and strength combo.

GM's can be measured in two ways, one is by how many fans they put in the seats, and two is by how successful the team is. Nobody should question TD's ability to come threw on the first one, but then again most fans are only judging TD by the second one because the teams success is pretty much all we care about. As his supporters are quick two point out he has made some down right brilliant moves as Bills GM, you can't debate the genius of drafting McGahee, or the steal of a draft pick we got in order to draft him in the first place. His tenure is riddled with quality selections, but at the same time he's made these great moves he's made just enough poor decisions to counteract them. We measure area number twp in quantitative results, and why not? Everyday people are held to standards at various professions often not having the luxury of somebody allowing them an extension simply because they did something’s right. You either meet the expectations set or you don't, and TD has not met those expectations. If you count 2003 the Bills rank 28th in the league since TD has been here, if you throw that year out we rank 20th. As the season comes to an end that mark will probably be lower at the end of the year then it even is now. TD likes to call our team inconsistent, and not coincidentally their probably is no better word to describe his tenure as Bills GM. For every right decision, a wrong one follows, but if he keeps fulfilling area one so well his supporters should not be worried, as he will be our GM for a long time. After all area number one is probably more important to Ralph then area number two, that might make some cringe but in the end this is just a business.

The most incredible moment I have ever had being a sports fan, one that will certainly stay clear in my mind the rest of my life. Bubba McDowell's return for six at the start of the second half made an impossible situation look even more impossible. From then on a tital wave of amazing events took place in favor of Buffalo, without anyone of them the comeback may have never happened. In no particular order here are the plays that stayed with me over 10 years. 1. Pete Metzelarrs catch after the INT return for a TD. The ball sailed threw both hands of the Houston defender, and into the outstretched hands out Metzelarrs. They pick that off Davis never scores the Bills first TD. 2. Christie recovering the ensuing onside kick 3. The long TD pass to Beebe after the onside kick, this play brought the score much closer and gave us some reason to believe. Replay showed Beebe stepped out of bounds, which should have made him an ineligible receiver. 4. Reeds 4th down TD catch in the 3rd quarter. The Bills had all the momentum in the world at that point and Reeds TD of 4th down was so important to us to keep it going. I think that drive might have been set up by an INT? 5. The Bills forcing Houston to kick a field goal to send it to OT. If I'm Houston at this point why go conservative? They just gave up a 33 point lead, yet they're content to forcer overtime? 6. Nade Odoms INT in OT. When Houston forced overtime, and won the toss my stomach sank. If the emotional roller coaster we went threw that day would have ended in defeat, the euphoria would have turned into the worst feeling imaginable. In the end Nate made the play, and Christie hammered the kick threw, the rest is left for annals of Bills lore.