Mikie2times

Just watched it tonight, classic flick. I even bought it as a gift for my mom this year

porn

Yup....Thats what is really pissing me off

All you need to know is if the Jets get beat by the Patriots and Rams and we win out we own the tiebreaker. This is due to the common game tiebreaker which is the 3rd step used to separate teams within the division.

I just made a post about this with my own calculations. Here is a simple way to figure out the odds of those teams winning out. Take your odds for each game. For example in my post I have the Jaguars at 6/10 vs Houston. In other words for every 10 games they play against Houston in Jacksonville they will win 6 of them. Then you take the odds of your second game, in Jacksonville's case I have them at 8/10 vs Oakland. Turn those fractions into percentages and multiply them together. So its . 60*.80= 48%. So within my estimates the Jaguars have a 48% chance at winning out.

Willis and his knee, Jaguars/Ravens/Broncos/Jets loss come to mind. But I agree, we need somebody to step up. Not like we have a lot to work with though.

I didn't make a mistake. My prediction was based on each team and their percentages of winning out or losing out (Jets). I did not attempt to create a collective probability of the Bills chances. Rather, I created a individual probability's for each teams chances, ranked them in order, and assumed the Bills to win out. The reason I assumed the Bills to win out is because they must do so for any of this to be relevant.

Here are some probability's surrounding our playoff chances in the next two weeks. Each game is rated based on my prediction out of a 10 game series. For example next week I predict the Bills at 9/10. Meaning if they played San Fransisco 10 times they would win 9 of them. Probability of the Jaguars winning both games is 6/10 vs Houston = They lost the first game to Houston 8/10 vs Oakland= Oakland coming on but Jaguars are still superior Total likelihood of the Jaguars winning both= 48% Probability of the Ravens winning both games 4/10 vs Pittsburgh= The Steelers can be beat but they should have the edge at Heinz 8/10 vs Miami= Miami is coming on but the Raves are still superior Total likelihood of the Ravens winning both= 32% Probability of the Broncos winning both games 5/10= Titans can move the ball 4/10= Would be much worse for Denver if the Colts play their starters Total likelihood of the Broncos winning both= 20% Probability of the Jets losing twice. Note that my fractions represent the odds of the Jets losing the game. For example next week I predict the Jets at 7/10. Meaning if they played New England 10 times at the Giants stadium they would get beat 7 times. 7/10 vs New England= Jets are good at Giants stadium but the Patriots are top 1 or 2 in the league right now. 4/10 vs Rams= The Rams are playing some horrible football now but Bulger should be back for this game. Historically the Rams are a pretty decent home team. Total likelihood the Jets get beat twice= 28% Assuming Buffalo wins out my math puts them as the second seed in the playoffs. If you agree with my predictions the order would be as follows. Wild Card 1 Jets Wild Card 2 Bills Jaguars Ravens Broncos

King Takeo

Some would argue you suck as a poster.....just kidding . MM is the man, if you missed it over the last few weeks you deserve to be put in a home.

Hold me

Isn't that what I said? It would be nice for the Jets to get beat but the critical games are Baltimore, Denver, and Jacksonville. We need those games especially if the Jets win, cross the fingers.

We certainly want the Jets to get beat, but it won't kill us if they win. The Broncos game is critical, same with Jacksonville and Baltimore. We still have some more football left to play so lets not get ahead of ourselves.

I'm stoked TKO got that pick to the house, the man is the leader of this team and its great to see him make a big play in his old house.

27-10= fat chick at 3am

At least Lindell made it a three possession game, did you really expect him to make that kick?

3/4 of my 5th down in this crazy half, I'm stressed/emotional/crazy and I love every second of it. As I told my girlfriend this could either be a day of days or a sign to leave me alone for the next week. Cross the fingers that Willis is ok, very nervous about that.

Bow to King Takeo...now we need the offense to sustain a drive and give the D a blow.

TKO!!!! Holy sh-- this is awesome!!!

I agree 100%, good post Simon

The first blade soundtrack has some good techno in it.

The Bills are fired up?!?! I been waiting for this since 4:30 last Sunday!! Bring on the Bengals already!!

Laces out SOB

I had last night taken care of at my work party, nothing but free top shelf liquor. Of course I became that guy but it was fun none the less.

I was unaware that he coached as DC in Cleveland, now that I am I retract my original post.