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Mikie2times

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Everything posted by Mikie2times

  1. You act like you haven’t heard about Ben Johnson or hell, even Joe Brady. Hire an offensive mind and you don’t need to lose your offensive mind every 2 years. Then the death grip McD has on this defense would open to a highly qualified coordinator. Eagles were one of the worst defenses in football last year. They made it a focus, hired Vic Fangio, and are one of the best units in football this year. Sort of sick of this notion that we should be a ball control, TOP offense, while we build a defense that designed in the complete opposite mold. It doesn’t make sense to build one side with that vision and then expose your defense to the vulnerability you’re trying to take advantage of on offense. It’s an identity issue, but that’s what McD knows, so that’s who we will be. This would be the most appealing destination of any opening in years.
  2. We won what would be the league average with the QB play we have, certainly in division we have been in. Thats the point, and if you remember all division winners as far back as even two years ago, thats what it means. Sure it’s been a very enjoyable period to be a Bills fan, and you give that credit to McD and not Allen?
  3. Since 2010, teams with a QB that finishes the year at a 70 QBR or better are 582-208 with a 73.67% winning %. Between 65-70 rating, 475-288 for 62.25%. Allen has 3 years above 70 and no years below 65. THIS IS WHAT BLOWS MY MIND Why do people feel without McD we all of sudden perform signifgantly worse than the AVERAGE performance when you have a player at a 65+ QBR or 70+ (which he has been for 4 years) Why do people feel McD has performed signifgantly better than the AVERAGE performance when you have a player at a 65+ QBR or 70+ since he has been here? The data pretty clearly says with Allen we should be winning 60%-70% of the games we play. Common sense tells us we should be winning 60-70% of the games we play. Winning 60-70% of the games you play gets you a home wild card game. We have gotten a home wild game. What additional success has McD brought to this team that people are so fiercely loyal over protecting or so scared of losing? We need a coach that won't just be "not the problem" but rather becomes "part of the solution". He has a chance to add a new chapter in this story Sunday, but to see so many on here basically like meh, doesn't matter Sunday. It's rather hilarious. At least research your fears more, they're unfounded.
  4. I think public execution isn’t strong enough
  5. We allowed 19 unanswered points in 15 minutes to blow a 16-0 lead. In 2020 we allowed a geriatric Phillip Rivers over 400 yards and needed the final drive to decide the outcome. Then we let the Skyler Thompson led Dolphins have a 2nd half lead before winning by three. What in these games gives you the impression a prime Deshawn Watson wouldn’t have sent us home? More hilarious, that it’s so obvious it wouldn’t happen you just remove the game from this conversation?
  6. Says nobody with a hall of fame QB
  7. Actually you can rush a QB on that spot. Just like you can jam a WR with 13 seconds left. The actual strategy tends to matter the higher up you get.
  8. If we lose this game we will be 0-7 against 1-4 seeds and 0-3 at home. This will be across 5 separate teams. No excuses besides ones that are empty. I don’t imagine any coach in NFL history has compiled a worse record in this spot. If you have one by all means let us know.
  9. and it would be vs 3 separate teams with 3 home games. Which would sort of debunk the whole it's just KC deal.
  10. Thank you. This is a really big game. As fans you just don't get a lot of these. I really want this one. I'm sure everybody feels that way. I would love to be able to come back and praise McD Sunday or Monday. The last Ravens home playoff win was so exciting and just a great memory. We really seemed to be trending up at that moment. As we experienced with the Super bowls, when you consistently fall short at the same part of the mountain it can really start to feel like you will never go higher and eventually it just starts to become part of the noise you deal with. You get labeled as a choker or not being able to get it done when it counts. We don't want that rep and that is coming if we lose this one and probably rightfully so. That's when actual pressure will be on him, on Allen, etc. We have watched this unfold already.
  11. I don't see us parting with McD even if Lamar rides out of town dropping a 50 spot on us. But like you said, so many fear this instant demise if we parted ways. Meanwhile since 2010, teams with a QB that finishes the year at a 70 QBR or better are 582-208 with a 73.67% winning %. Between 65-70, 475-288 for 62.25%. Allen has 3 years above 70 and no years below 65. With Allen, vs this AFC east level of play, the floor is division winners. That will remain the floor until somebody in our division shows a pulse. Even at that point we have a built in advantage that is so significant we would likely stumble into a wild card win more often than not. I just don't see any logic in this notion that we will just fall off a cliff without McD. Josh holds this team together creates it's floor more than McD does.
  12. If we go to 0-7 against seeds 1-4 0-6 with Allen That 0-6 includes KC, HOU, CIN, BAL with 3 of them being home games? Again, are we really crazy if that makes us upset?
  13. 2020: 3rd best DVOA in football, lost to a worse DVOA 2021: 2nd best DVOA in football, lost to a worse DVOA 2022: 1st best DVOA in football, lost to a worse DVOA 2023: 3rd best DVOA in football, lost to a worse DVOA We played home games the last two years in the playoffs when we lost because we performed better in the regular season than the teams we have eventually lost to. We have beat KC in the regular season 4 consecutive times, we have never beat them in the postseason. I know your logic seems sound and all, but just not following
  14. You think we have proven that we are as good a postseason team as we are a regular season team?
  15. Texans loss I care about, Jags not so much. Also worth noting that half of them have occurred at home as favorites. At some point we need to show our regular season performance is capable of translating to the postseason.
  16. Bills win: Buffalo claps it's way to KC Bills lose: Bat lady pregnant with 4th child
  17. It was a good game to put on that regular season mantle. Which for us is the only mantle we have in the house. I really want this one, so I hope the defense can give us a chance.
  18. We are 0-6 against seeds 1-4 under McD Lets not pretend people who questions his ability to lead us to a Super Bowl are wildly irrational.
  19. Give me an argument that doesn't involve the regular season for him to be the guy. He has a chance to do that with a strong defensive showing.
  20. The flaw I see in this method is it treats every team equally as far as the desire they have to play and extend draft picks. Some teams stock more via Free Agency, some teams have had a lot of turnover leaving the teams un-loyal to draft picks. Then in a case like the Bills, more loyalty to draft picks than perhaps any team in football between our tenure and our approach. Does that mean we have the most talent or it's been the best approach? Not necessarily. Not to mention the trickle down AV from Josh Allen to the rest of the offensive players with how this method is used. I would at least like to see average AV per player in addition with the total to help offset some of the concepts I'm talking about and give more perspective.
  21. I prefer a balanced perspective. People tend to get carried a way a bit on here which sure, it's a site about the Bills so you would expect that, but just because I'm a fan doesn't mean it removes my sense of wanting to be accurate and logical. If you see me not act that way by all means call it out, that's why we are here right?
  22. I'm going to stop trying to defend previous statements and just look at this again. Since week 8 Offense has an EPA of 19.9% in 2024 vs 7.3% in 2022 Defense has EPA of 3.4% in 2024 vs -.8% in 2022 OFF= 12.6 DEF= -4.2 OVR= 8.4 Plays not involving turnovers Offense: 24.2% EPA in 2024 v 19.3% EPA in 2022 Defense: 19.3 EPA in 2024 vs 8.6 EPA in 2022 OFF 4.9 DEF -10.7 OVR -5.8 Look at where we fall on this chart since week 8 on plays that don't involve turnovers. I don't think the take that 2024 is better is unreasonable. The offense is signifgantly better especially in the run game. The defense, while worse, is not so bad it totally erases the gap in offenses. At the same time the defense has been very suspect in 2024. Remove turnovers and the gap in performance is almost as big as the offensive difference from 2024 to 2022. That isn't to say turnovers don't matter, they certainly matter, but how you play without them certainly matters as well. I don't know if you can overcome that. The 2024 team is just not as complete, even when looking at the 2nd half of the season. Many think injuries will show a big improvement in the postseason. I'm not going to debate that concept. I do think we can disrupt the Ravens. I like a team that is getting the level of disrespect our team is. At which point, I also like how we match up with KC. So regardless of the answer to this thing I think we have a path.
  23. Statistically they're not better which means objectively they're aren't better. If you want to say your feelings are X that is fine, perhaps they're subjectively better, but what you feel means nothing to what is real and isn't real.
  24. It's not even a conversation, statistically it's no comparison. We are one incredible Ty Johnson TD pass on 4th down from Denver having the ball down 3 in the 3rd quarter. The entire game swung on that single play. We had the Patriots come into Buffalo and largely dominant the game as other cellar dwellers have against us only for turnovers to eventually swing it in our favor. This team is very flawed, as was the one in 2022. It lacks top end talent, made up for with a HOF QB and a weak division. Paper tiger both seasons. The 4th DVOA rank is the lowest we have had in the 2020's
  25. Hindsight is the great equalizer. If we get stomped by the Ravens, we will look back and claim the Rams game or the first Ravens game was a lot more telling than we initially believed. The reality is this is a flawed team, just as the 2022 team was. A HOF QB does a lot to make a flawed team look a lot better. Some differences exist between the two squads but it would be nearly impossible to say one is signifgantly better. Just like it would be impossible to say what will come from the Ravens game this year (which I give us more of a chance in than the Bengals game).
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