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Everything posted by Mikie2times
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Something I have been pondering
Mikie2times replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Your original claim was Moorman could run a 4.2 or 4.3, so by that standard we know only one player in Deon Sanders running as fast as your conservative number for Moorman. So lets even go with 4.4 or lower, now your still only talking about 4 to 5 guys per draft class, if that. The point is your original claim that he could run that fast based on his track performance is wrong. Only 4 or 5 of the fastest players in the draft, many of which are conference champions in the 100M, run under a 4.4. Truth is he probably runs between 4.4 and 4.5, which is just about what I said he did in the post that started this in the first place Edit: That speed would still make Moorman the fastest kicker in the NFL hands down. (cant hate on Moorman to much) -
Something I have been pondering
Mikie2times replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Your using your 40 time as a comparison to Brian Moorman, so you must ask the question, How am I supposed to know the conditions in which you ran your time? Was it electronically/manually timed, wind/no wind, outdoor/indoor, fast/slow surface? All those variables can add tenths of a second on and off your 40, and with a 4.2 and 4.5 being the difference between somebody who is lighting fast and has average NFL speed I would say those variables matter. I would imagine 90% of the football/ track athletes in high school claim a 4.5 or lower. Hell I ran several sub 4.5's a few years back timed by my x football coach, then when I went to Nike’s football camp, who hosted similar conditions as the NFL combine and my best time was a blazing 4.74. You see college players run under 4.2 at their local pro day only to run 4.4 or worse at the combine, and this isn't an exception to the rule, it's what happened about 95% of the time. It's all about the conditions in which the 40 was run, and still to this day out of the 1000's of players to run at the combine Deon Sanders run of 4.28 is still the standard. You’re trying to tell me that Moorman can run with Deon Sanders, in his prime? If that’s the case you can site every track accomplishment Moorman has 1000 times over, I'll still risk 1000$ to your 1$ that Deon kills Moorman in a rcae and walk away with an easy buck every time. Moorman is fast but anybody coming in under a 4.4 at the combine would beat him by several steps. EDIT: Ben Johnson's 50m time, and 60m time in his world record 100M run would have also set the world record in those respective events. -
Something I have been pondering
Mikie2times replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Ben Johnson set the record in 100M, at the time he was using steroids heavily. The record was later stricken from the books, but that didn’t stop timing officials from breaking down the fastest 100 in the history of man. He ran the first 50M in 5.52 seconds, 60M in 6.37, how fast did he run the first 40 yards of that race? 4.38 seconds. This tells us two things, one is that the NFL 40 times we hear so loosely thrown around are not accurate, and two, Brian Moorman doesn't sniff a 4.2 driving in a race car. As I said, he probably runs the NFL version of a 4.5, in reality probably more like a 4.7. -
Something I have been pondering
Mikie2times replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I would be willing to bet my life he doesn't run a 4.2 or 4.3, that's as fast as Nate and Terrance, and after watching him run on a couple broken plays he is not as fast as those two. Fast for a punter yes, as fast as two CB's that competed in the NFL's fastest man challenge? No way. -
Who are the top five teams in the NFL?
Mikie2times replied to ATBNG's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
(Assuming an unhealthy Big Ben) 1. Colts 2. Denver 3. Carolina 4. Chargers 5. Atlanta (Assuming a healthy Big Ben) 1. Colts 2. Denver 3. Pittsburgh 4 Carolina 5. Chargers NFC Sleeper: Dallas AFC Sleeper: Jaguars -
IF the Bills make the playoffs
Mikie2times replied to Kelly the Dog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Thats the way I read it -
IF the Bills make the playoffs
Mikie2times replied to Kelly the Dog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Good post Kelly, I was going to bring this up in a post later. I spent all last week posting about how we should start JP because I thought we had no chance at the playoffs. In reality I still don't think we have much of a shot, but if, and this is a huge if, JP can carry over his play against KC into the rest of the year, we very well could be in this thing down the stretch. For now I'm not worried about tiebreakers, because to have any chance we need to keep winning to keep up with the Patriots soft schedule. This week is huge, but the Chargers are at times capable of giving away games, with a lot of luck and solid play from JP against a weak secondary we might just get lucky. The Chargers are a big peace of the puzzle so we need to get it down this Sunday. Past that we still have to take on some powerhouses, but most of which are at home, and the Ralph in December is brutal on away teams. Also keep in mind that when we play the Bengal’s late in the year they might be resting some starters. As Kelly points out, if we did pull the miracle we would be assured of hosting a first round game. Would any Wild Card team want to come to Buffalo that time of year for the playoffs? How about a warm climate Florida team like Jacksonville? The point is that the Bills would probably have a legit shot in the first round. Let's hope for a miracle, it must start Sunday. -
Something I have been pondering
Mikie2times replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not sure but he excelled at track in college, and probably runs about a 4.5 or so. Not blazing by NFL standards but most likely the NFL's fastest punter by a large margin. I agree with John, at least once this season we should run a fake with Moorman. He did a great job improvising last year, and on a planed call might even find more room to work with. -
Damn Note to self, don't smoke, listen to free bird, and spontaneously post on the wall at the same time.
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Free Bird By solo I mean any extended part in the song with no lyrics, with a focus on the lead.
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Seriously No denying those two had some serious chemistry back in the day; it was a great pick up by Dallas.
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Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I wouldn't exactly say the Pac-10 is a small conference compared to the Big Ten. If you look at rivals.com about the recruiting history the last three years of the Big Ten and Pac 10 the Pac-10 averages higher overall talent compared to the big 10, and the Pac 10 has produced the best team in college football since Miami in USC. I'm saying this about Watson having witnessed it living in Wolverine country my whole life, the guy takes plays off, and is a real underachiever. Just not the kind of player I want near the Bills. If Ngata is the same way then the same goes for him, I just haven't heard or seen anything to indicate that. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Watson is an overweight underachiever, as has been labled as lazy by most scouting services. Possibly Wright but I still like Ngatas future the best of the three. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't think we can count on Sam Adams another season. Two straight years we have evidence of him playing outside the system, and it's obvious that kills our defense. Even if we kept him who on that list is the type of OL eating DT we need to compliment Sam? I suggested Ngata and Grady Jackson as next year’s duo, but regardless this is still very early even for speculating. I imagine the direction we go with the first pick will certainly be influenced if we can get one more 1st for Nate. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It likely all those Tackles would be gone by the time I have us taking a Tackle (between 20-30 in trade for Nate). I just don't think we should wait for one second to get our DT, it's far too important to these teams immediate chances, and we don't have a lot of options in FA. -
In the NFL teams this year average 4.69 kickoffs per game, and 4.76 punts. Combine that with penalties and NFL has plenty of areas for teams to gain that small advantage. I created a stat to account for the Grey Area yardage these areas represent. All I did was take the average kickoff and punts per game as shown above, and multiplied it by the yardage differential of each team stats and its opponents on ST. I then included average loss of yardage per game from penalties compared to the league average. Grey area yardage becomes even more important when you look at how yardage relates to points. In the NFL 15.9 yards gets you one point on average, of course red zone efficiency, turnover, etc play a roll but it's a fairly accurate formula to estimate a teams points scored. This is how teams faired, I translated the yardage into points as previously mentioned, I will also list the amount of grey yards it averages to per game. Sorry if the charts hard to read, I did my best. Team Grey Yards......... Grey Points Buffalo 46.79.................2.943 Dallas 42.58..................2.682 Washington 21.52..................1.354 Denver 17.89..................1.125 NY Giants 17.49..................1.100 Carolina 15.77...................0.992 Minnesota 14.27................... 0.898 Houston 13.36.....................0.840 San Diego 13.22.....................0.832 San Francisco 12.38................... 0.778 NY Jets 12.15......................0.764 Chicago 7.81......................0.491 Indianapolis 7.02.....................0.441 Cleveland 6.98......................0.439 Cincinnati 5.29......................0.333 Atlanta 2.24..................... 0.141 Tennessee 1.20................... .0.075 Pittsburgh -0.04....................-0.002 Jacksonville -7.97................... -0.501 Oakland -8.41....................-0.529 New England -8.54................... -0.537 Seattle -11.25.................. -0.707 Detroit -11.77................. ..-0.740 Philadelphia -12.5..................... -0.789 Green Bay -18.78................ -1.181 Tampa Bay -19.34................. -1.216 Baltimore -20.18.................. -1.269 Miami -21.16................... -1.331 New Orleans -33.95..................-2.135 Kansas City -37.42................. -2.354 St. Louis -38.62................. -2.429 Arizona - 38.90................. -2.447
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Penn State, head to head gives it to them.
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Well then you should have made the heading Texas/USC, home team is always listed on the right. Frankly it wouldn't suprise me to see the public overate Texas that much either, wait until the end of the year and this one probably is more like a pick em. When it gets to that point USC is a good play.
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Texas -7? USC to the bank, the Big 12 sucks this year. (enter BlueFire in 3...2...1... )
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If we make the passing game our priority on the road LT will have 200 yards against this defense. Winging the ball all over the field might get us more points, but I guarantee it will also result in the Chargers getting more points, and if this goes into a shoot out we have no prayer. I don't expect Willis to have big numbers but in order to have a chance in this one we need to control the clock. I agree that we need to take some shots down field but it's even more important that we keep the Chargers offense off the field as much as possible.
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Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Gandy is serviceable, and I still have us going with a LT in a pick we will acquire from trading Nate Clements. When you look at what’s available in FA at LT, our best option right now is to get a LT in the draft (assuming DT is taken care of) and let him and Gandy fight it out next year. Gandy probably beats out a rookie as rookie LT's usually take at least a year to get used to the NFL but past that Gandy could shift into a T/G back up role and the drafted player could be our future book end. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's difficult to project Wayne as a true #1 but having Lee will not allow teams to treat him as a true #1 so I it probably wouldn't become an issue. I have us cutting Moulds, but I probably should have thrown a big asterisk next to it saying that it's only because of his cap implifications. This offense would certainly miss Moulds, and if we let him go it would be a mistake to assume a journeymen type WR could fill the void. If Lee becomes the focus of coordinators he likely struggles out the gate for awhile and these slow starts have been killing us the last few years. The FA options include Givens, Wayne, Randell-El, and Joe Jurevicous, and out of that group Wayne brings the most explosiveness to the table. His contract figures to be large but we could try and structure it in a way that allows us to fit him in next year as his numbers wouldn't be a problem down the road as our dead cap hits fall off. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I agree that Baker might pan out, and in the original post I suggested we play him now to find out if he is the future. If that doesn't work out then the 2nd round is not to early to go FS as long as we address T and DT in the 1st. I have us trading Nate allowing us tp get that DT and LT in round 1, and if that doesn't happen then I agree we have more pressing needs then a FS in the 2nd. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
D'Brickashaw Ferguson is the guy you’re thinking of, and it would be hard to see him fall past the top 3 picks. I expect the Bills to be anywhere from 8-16, and if we trade Nate it will probably net us a pick between 20-30. At 8-16 DT makes a lot of sense and Ngata should be available for us in that range. After that a deep LT class might allow us to pick up a future bookend if Nate gets us back in the first round. A few of the LT prospects may end up being RT’s at the next level, but a player like Marcus McNeill is not one of those guys. He’s one of the more polished LT’s in the draft, but a few other guys might have enough upside to let McNeil fall down to us. -
Becoming a contender in 2006
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What’s been a bigger problem for this team, the interior line or Aaron Schobel? The goal for next year should be to get younger at certain positions, purge any massive contracts, and upgrade the talent in the places we need it the most. If you don't want Schobel anymore then suggest a viable solution at DT, and DE, and don't just say FA's because the market is thin at both those positions. Also how do you figure we do anything with Schobel after TD just extended him last season?