Mikie2times

So about that feeling..........

Look at the 10 yard line about the 30 second mark of the Video. Not the best view, I used 3 views to come to this conclusion. One was directly behind Fitz, matched up the angles etc.

No link, I slow motioned half the NFL replay. Just wanted to see how individual players were doing regarding assignments. I watched that final play about 6 times in super slow. It was that close, and you can tell the Oakland defender had disengaged his rush, he became aware Fitz was releasing and he was trying like hell to get inside the hash. He leaps forward in effort to get the extra six inches to a foot he needed, in the midst of it Wood just drive block him like OL are taught on a jumping DL right in the gut. His legs cut out from under him as he losses balance and Wood plants him into the ground. The pass was 100% low enough to have been tipped. Saw it from 3 angles. Hell of a play by Wood which is why I wanted to bring it up. I'm certain it would have been deflected if it weren't for his effort.

Usually during a game a player or several players will make plays that don't get recorded in the stat book. Plays that will decide who wins and losses. We noticed Jones knocking the the fade route out of Chris Johnson's hands. That is the type of play I'm referring to. Without that play we lose the game. Wood made the same type of play and I haven't seen anybody on the forums comment on it. On the final 4th down play Fitz shimmies slightly to his left and ends up releasing the pass maybe 6 inches outside the left hash. Nelson catches it maybe a foot inside the left hash. In the midst of being wide open many people failed to see how close it was from a 38-35 win to a 35-31 loss. Wood engages the Oakland defender (a very lengthy individual, did not write his name down) directly on the left hash. Wood is shielding the interior of the hash with slightly inside position. As Fitz releases the ball Oakland's defender leaps in the air trying to get directly in the passing lane, a feat he would have easily accomplished if Wood did not make such a solid play. As he leaps Wood sticks him hard in his stomach, it take his legs out from under him, and he drives him into the ground. With the force he applied on that block Oakland's defender missed knocking the ball down by about 6 inches. If he doesn't finish that block the way he did and with the force applied the Raiders win.

No matter what goes down Sunday: Translation: if we win or lose We will give them hell: Translation: we will play as hard as we possibly can I can just see the BB material right now. Men, were playing a team who disrespected you. They said no matter what happens in the game they will play as hard as they can. I would rather they slap your mothers then have the audacity to say such things. Now lets go eat some humans! Rar!!!! This can't be construed into BB material if you tried.

I'm not sold, not by a long shot. New England is much, much better then us. But in sports that doesn't always decide the winner. Sometimes motivation transcends talent. I don't need to cite the countless examples of this happening over the years. It happens all the time, in every sport. That is the feeling I have about this game.

My glass is half empty and filled with piss. I'm not a very positive person. I live expecting the worst, if life takes one of it's collective dumps on me I role with it in stride. Brave I know, but that's how I am. So please consider that before reading the rest of my post. I have a weird feeling about Sunday. Emotion in sports is a funny thing. BB is a master at getting his troops ready to play. I don't expect New England will come at us with anything less then 100%. But even in the dominance they have shown over us, the league, this season, I feel this could be one of those moments in sports in which a team (The Bills) dials up the intensity to level the other team simply can't match. The streak is past being well known at this point. Many of these guys have heard it subtly for several years. At this point, with us 2-0, the streak and New England's dominance over us has been discussed more in depth then any Patriot match up I remember. Each team is not separated by the distance most think. Any given Sunday, game of inches, one play. These are cliches, but they became that way for a reason. That is how much each game is usually decided by. A feverish intensity level, one that is born from being told you can't win, your not good enough. The us against the world mentality. It provides motivation that people naturally can't create by themselves. If we can start of well that is a huge part of it.

Sit in coverage, sit underneath. Force him to take his shots down field. Mix up man, zone, combo, and zone blitz. Hit him when you can, if it's a little late so be it, just be smart about it. Don't do it on 3rd, 2nd and 2, ya, let him know he might still get rocked even if he gets it out in 1 second. Go for it more on 4th down, we saw it the undefeated year. Teams started to realize they had to do nontraditional things. Lot's of evidence suggests coaches are way to conservative with how they approach 4th downs. What do we have to lose. Outside our own 40 we need to consider more of a 4 down game plan. That will help us control the ball more, limit possessions. Less possessions the better.

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2011/week-2-dvoa-ratings By far the most accurate on the internet. 6th overall, adjusted to 13th using other historical data and certain preseason statistics. I would say both are accurate. We played as the 6th best team considering performance and schedule combined, but long term a 13th ranking seems accurate. I hope we can flirt with 10 or below.

My Grandfather had Alzheimers before he passed. Married over 60 years to my Grandmother who literally looked like she could barely move at the end of it. I expected she would go shortly after. She was just so frail. She could barely function anymore. They loved each other as much as someone can love another, but to deal with that condition everyday, especially towards the end. It was like she was just as sick as my Grandfather was. She's been alive, happy, and healthy now for over 5 years. I would venture to say it has to be the hardest thing a couple can experience. Not having your physical body right is one thing, when the mind goes it's much, much worse. Keep helping people like you are. We need more people like you assisting people like her. Encouraging them, and letting them know that while hard to imagine, life is a blessing, and you can still enjoy the time your blessed with. I'm concerned cases will only be elevated with the baby boomer generation. That demographic and subsequent ones dabbled in substances outside of just Alcohol more readily then the WW2 generation. Obviously that would lead me to believe the likelihood of developing the disease will only grow for subsequent generations.

Sounds like a law firm

Ugh, vomit. Jesus that is ridiculous. I saw 10-6 as a heck of a challenge. It might have to be 11-5. Still very early, but I feel pretty confident the Wild Card competition boils down to SD/OAK/PIT/BAL/NE/NYJ. 3 of which will win the division. Nice to talk about, but a long way to go.

I agree, much more then people give it credit for. Not only do I see them as the only other major wild card contender but it also puts us at 2-0 in the conference.

I grew to a pretty sizable amount of clients in MLB this year and I released my games at about 3am each night when the line is very volatile. One of the sites I work with is based in France, so most were Europeans and awake when I was releasing the games. I always specified to use 5 dimes. For two straight months I beat the number when I woke up. I'm not that good I assure you of that. But 5 dimes was getting hit within a short time frame with a high amount of volume and money at volatile time. They adjust quickly in that situation. Some of these sites track online books in extreme detail, so if you see a big shift quickly it's usually a result of a syndicate or a high dollar player, but not always. Like I said, sometimes they just play mind games trying to draw in more action. Most people feel a quick shift is a result of what I said, a syndicate or high dollar player, and obviously players wan't to follow smart money. Ultimately trailing like this ensures you won't get ideal value, your reacting after the move, the goal is to react prior. So to a degree these sites can provide valuable information as to smart money movements, some people call them steam plays. Public money line movement is much more subtle and slow. But at the same time your reacting after the fact, which ensures your not getting the best number. The only real way to beat it long term is by just being able to predict the games better then the final number released. It's not anymore complicated then that, although as we all know, that in itself is very, very difficult.

That is very accurate, people often really analyze these public betting % numbers. I've worked with them a lot on excel and the only value they hold is on high profile events. Your not going to see many soft lines to the majority of the market in a high profile event. They would rather be soft to the sharper players then the whole market, IE Super Bowl. But ultimately if your trying to read into line movements and betting %'s your certainly reacting to the market vs beating it. Most books actually pre-release the card to several experienced players before they even get released to the general public so they can anticipate what direction syndicates and sharp players will go in. Then they can properly position themselves against the rest of the market, subtly picking sides on certain games. By picking sides we might be talking about high vig or 1/2 a point, but that really adds up over time.

I run a sports service, it's grown a bit the last year so I thought to chime in on the debate. Oddsmakers do take sides on games to maximize profit. Happens all the time. Sometimes a disproportionate amount of wagers to one side will result in no movement. Certainly that is not a 100% indicator that they decided to side with the team getting the least action, but it can be an indicator. Sometimes oddsmakers simply move a number .5 to 1 point with no action to justify the movement, they just want people to perceive that syndicates, big players, etc are moving the number. They know people over analyze these data trends, citing "sharp" money. Splitting action is how they survive, picking sides is how they thrive.

I used to create a lot of the playoff threads and scenarios years ago but it’s been awhile since we had the chance to bring it up. I will update this thread during the season with rankings and scenarios so you can keep track of us ending the playoff drought. One thing is for sure, this will not be an easy path, and if we make it we earned it. With New England and the Jets being AFC East front runners (rightfully so) we will only have 1 wild card spot left. Baltimore or Pittsburgh will be formidable contenders for us to overtake them and earn that spot. Certainly way more scenarios exist, but that is how I see it playing out as of now. Since we play neither our Conference record will be critical. It’s nice to start 2-0 in that regard. I feel 10-6 is what we need to hit, these are the games left and how I see it breaking down. San Diego A – West Coast trips have not fared well for us. The Chargers play better as the season progresses. This will be a very difficult game. New York Jets H/A- We can beat the Jets. Sanchez is capable of implosion; the offense does not impress me. We tend to split the series with them historically. I certainly expect us to be within a TD in at least one if not both of the games in the 4th quarter. We need to finish it off. Dallas A- The Cowboys could be tricky. Great passing teams scare me. It’s more winnable then SD. They have some uncertainty with injuries. They could be streaking by then or could be going in another direction. Giants A- They have potential to play great football or lay an egg. I view this as a must win, especially when you compare this match up to some of the other teams listed. New England H/A- This is probably the best team in the league. We do get them again on the final week. We have potential for them to have locked up HF by then. A split is possible with some favorable bounces. Maybe the gods step in week 3 and ensure it. That would be monumental to our playoff aspirations. Philadelphia H- Another one of the best teams in football. I can see us being competitive in this game but it will be a major challenge. I think we need 3 out of 8 from this group. If you can pick 3 cupcakes scenario’s from this group you see things differently then I do. Again we will have to earn it. The rest….. Cincinnati A Miami H/A Denver H Tennessee H Washington H These are likely not playoff teams, again, that could change, but as it stands it looks like we should be favored in 5 of 6 of these. When you look at the first grouping, we will not be favored in any of them. Winning even 3 from the first group will be a solid achievement for this team. If they do so they need to win 5 of 6 from the remaining games I show to finish 10-6. Long road ahead, but it’s nice to be able to even consider the possibility.

New England is better then us. So first we need to lower the amount of possessions per team. With each increased possession variation becomes smaller and smaller. We wan't variance, randomness, whatever you wan't to call it. Offensively that means possessing the ball as long as possible. They will dial in on the run expecting this. We need to have a full arsenal of 4-6 yard passes to mix in with the run. Sort of play New England offensive football right back at them with more emphasis on the run. Don't abandon the big play completely. But take your shots in big ways. I don't wan't to see a ton of 15-20 yard passes in the air which have high INT's/short field turn around potential. I wan't to see 5-6 yard run passes and 40+ yard passes. If you get picked off turn it into a punt interception. We can't have turnovers, we might be able to survive one, but no short field turnovers. I would have a few new wrinkles to the Wild Bill package. Sprinkle in a ST's surprise. Either Fake punt or trick onside kick. Go for it on 4th down more then normal. Outside your own 40, less then 3 I'm going. Place a special emphasis on 4th down situations of 0-5 yards this week. Come out heavily prepared vs New England's 4th down/short yardage packages. On defense concede the run and the deep ball, not drastically, but force NE to execute outside of the short passing game and TE's. That is what they feel most comfortable in and it's all about forcing them out of that comfort zone. I double the TE. I tell my corners to sit on short routes. Focus most my pressure over the Center and Guards. Brady seems to only get rattled from interior pressure. Take my shots on Brady as far as drawing personal fouls. Minimize the damage, for example 2nd and 2 on the 20, no reckless or careless shots in regards to down and distance. Play smart. The goal is to win the game, it's professional football, I don't want to injure him, but if hitting him and taking 15 yards a few times takes him from 400 yards passing to 250, we have to do anything possible to hit him. In my experience watching him he only fails when he's pressured. After losing a gazillion straight we have to hit him at all costs. Don't let him have the ball last.

Love the captain hindsight episode. Classic. Hell, what does South Park do that isn't. That show will be on another 20 years.

Ya, my wife and I were rolling on the ground when we first watched that. Be warned, highly addicting.

Sorry. I should have used something with puppies or kittens.

I'm turning 30 soon so needs to be in perspective I was very young for WR, which certainly would be #1. 1. MCM 2. Just give it to em 3. Steelers back ups 4. Flutie Dolphins playoff game 5. MNF Dallas Sure I could name several more, but to be honest I rather wouldn't.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Lsmh7zX6w8&feature=related Sorry if this was posted already, I just couldn't believe the video. Highest ever hit recorded pound per square inch. Outperformed Sue in the other test they ran, Dareus is literally a freak of nature. How can't you be excited about this guys?

Hello everybody. I used to be very active on the forums. Slowed down a bit the last few years, just been busier then hell, but I expect to be more active again. It’s really great to see some of the same names I got used to over the years still posting. After watching the Monday night game just a few thoughts on Oakland. The name Oakland makes you think we could open 2-0, I’ve already read as much on the boards. I certainly hope Buffalo is ready for what’s to come. I don’t care how bad the Broncos are. Monday Night, at home, Denver is a very difficult place to play at. Oakland will present a lot of issues for what our perceived weaknesses are and week 2 will tell us more about this team then we could have imagined otherwise. The Oakland front is big, long, physical, and very aggressive. Can we run the ball? This is one of the better defensive lines in the NFL. Can we match the Raiders physicality? It’s clear they fully intend on transforming to the Raiders of yesterday. We have heard that before, but this team literally beat the piss out of Denver’s line as if it was a JV high school squad. We will need to play with extreme mental fortitude. Can we protect Fitz and will Fitz make good decisions? Denver is certainly prone to becoming one dimensional. After watching this game, Oakland is going to make a lot of teams one dimensional this year. The aggression in the run defense transcends to the passing game. Most QB’s resemble two personalities, one if they have time to throw and one without. The latter is what separates the best. Fitz can’t make mistakes, and the Bills offense must force this Oakland offense to beat them. Protection will obviously play a large roll in this department. Finally, how good is our defense, more specifically our run defense? McFadden is a beast. One of the few elite backs in the NFL, big, fast, powerful and agile. He will pound you for 4 quarters, can we meet the challenge in stopping the run? Again, can we be as physical as them? Before tonight, I allowed myself to visualize a 2-0 start (regrettably). How many years have we trained ourselves to not get caught up in 1 week with this team. Still, it’s a very likeable group. Perhaps the most I’ve seen in a decade. I really haven’t been this excited since Takeo’s first year. Just a lot of players, no huge names, guys care about each other. Our talent is underrated as we have several young players potentially set to break out. Nobody really knows how good we could be. In no way did I consider the Oakland game a defining test for this team. It’s week 2 for god sake, but after watching the Denver game, Oakland does just about everything well that the Bills were perceived to struggle in. How we perform will tell us a lot about our growth and what we can expect the next few weeks. It’s more then just a score, as I did not feel the Oakland/Denver score reflected how fully the Raiders dominated at the point of attack. If nothing else, I want to see Buffalo play with aggression and not get pushed around. Denver got so physically beaten by Oakland, I just can’t see that happening to us and still harbor grandiose thoughts about our drought ending.I want to see the Bills refuse to get pushed or bullied. It’s all about matching the Raiders physicality and intensity. Yes, I sure as hell want to get the win, obviously that’s what all of us want most. But if the Raiders physically manhandle us, well, that’s the complete opposite of the spectrum. That is what I fear the most. Should make for a hell of an entertaining opener, for those attending shake that stadium like the Dallas MNF game years ago, we need the 12th man in full force! Circle those wagons baby, Go Bills!

"I expect it. I think our players expect it. If you don't expect it, something's wrong with you. If you say I want to be a little better than last year, you ought to get out, that's wrong. I expect to win every one of them, I expect to be undefeated, that's the way I've always been and that's the way I'll always be." People are taking this way to seriously. Read between the lines. He's not predicting that will happen, he's just saying if your goals are not to win every game and make the playoffs/super bowl you have problems. That's his goal, that's the player's goals. The goal is not marginal improvement. What is he supposed to say? Well, given the youth, talent level, and pay roll, I don't expect us to make the playoffs, but I hope we can improve every week and at the least make it entertaining for the fans. That would go over very well with Bills nation.