Mikie2times

I got Miami slightly below us, New England slightly above us. The Jets seem way overrated by my ratings, that should correct itself in a couple weeks. What I like this early on is not many teams have lost in these rankings to teams worse then them. For only 2 weeks of stats, and very little true SOS, I'm very happy with the way these look.

I’ve been working on these ratings for awhile and will continue posting weekly updates. Theory- I come to my ratings by taking the total yards a team has accumulated, then dividing that number by the number of potential yards a team could gave gained. So if a team’s starts a drive on their own 30 yard line they could conceivably gain 70 yards on that drive. If they only gain 35 yards they would get a 50% rating, 70 would equal a 100% rating. Once I get these numbers I take the offensive and defensive ratings, and pit them against strength of schedule. The original net difference is never used, instead I take the strength of the defenses a team has faced, and adjust their original offensive rating based on the defensive SOS. I do the same process to the defense, the combined result is the teams overall power ranking. So as a whole the rankings are very accurate, but more importantly the offensive and defensive ratings are very accurate individually because they are also adjusted to there opponents. If any teams seem out of place remember it’s still very early in the year. I compared mine to Football Outsiders and we seem to have many of the same teams out of place. TEAM OFF IND 29.7% CHI 22.1% ATL 18.6% SD 13.2% PHI 12.8% SF 8.7% SEA 6.1% NYG 4.3% JAC 3.9% CIN 3.8% NYJ 3.6% NE 3.2% NO 2.0% HOU 0.8% DAL 0.2% MIN -0.4% DEN -2.4% ARI -3.9% GB -4.1% PIT -6.2% STL -6.7% WAS -7.0% MIA -7.4% BAL -8.4% KC -8.9% TB -9.1% CLE -9.3% TEN -11.7% BUF -14.7% CAR -18.4% OAK -19.3% DET -21.9% TEAM DEF BAL 20.5% SD 19.6% JAC 15.0% DET 12.4% DAL 10.6% NO 8.6% BUF 6.2% SF 4.7% CIN 3.6% ATL 3.1% PIT 2.7% MIN 2.5% CHI 2.1% KC 1.9% CAR 1.8% OAK 1.7% STL 1.3% PHI -0.2% SEA -1.0% NYJ -1.4% ARI -2.0% WAS -3.6% DEN -4.0% MIA -4.6% NE -5.4% GB -6.0% TB -6.6% IND -7.6% NYG -7.7% CLE -8.3% TEN -15.0% HOU -30.8% TEAM POWER SD 32.7% CHI 24.1% IND 22.1% ATL 21.7% JAC 18.9% SF 13.4% PHI 12.7% BAL 12.1% DAL 10.8% NO 10.5% CIN 7.4% SEA 5.1% NYJ 2.2% MIN 2.1% NE -2.2% NYG -3.4% PIT -3.5% STL -5.4% ARI -5.9% DEN -6.4% KC -7.0% BUF -8.6% DET -9.5% GB -10.1% WAS -10.6% MIA -12.0% TB -15.7% CAR -16.6% CLE -17.6% OAK -17.6% TEN -26.7% HOU -30.1%

This place is about as bipolar as it gets. I remember a time not to long ago when you would get destroyed for saying anything bad about Willis. I know because I got destroyed for saying something bad about Willis. JP is coming off a HORRIBLE year, I say that because he has shown a great deal of improvement, but it's still a great deal of improvement off a horrible year. He's young, his future is looking much better then last season, but the original comments of this thread were far from unreasonable. A game winning drive would be a huge step toward his development.

Great post, I've often thought the same thing, especially if those lyrics have some sort of meaning in my life. It's not my favorite genre by any means, but I think some here are looking at rap way to seriously. Most rappers don't make their songs intending to send you on some spiritual awakening. It's supposed to be fun, and not taken very seriously. The rappers who do take the lyrics seriously usually do a pretty good job at it.

I don't know, I think we need to look at our HFA in terms of how good the team has been. We had a chance at playing decent ball at the Ralph the last few years. When we played away we had no chance. Buffalo's desperate for a winner, when we start to win the Ralph will once again be one of the most difficult places to play in the NFL.

I can't remember a game that had this big a difference in hidden yardage. -Moorman downs 5 inside the 20 -Miami loses 60 yards in sacks -Roscoe averages almost 14.4 on 5 punt returns. -Wire blocks a punt Counting it all and we probably had about 150 yard difference in field position. When you only gain 171 total yards that can make a big difference in the outcome of the game. We should be very strong in hidden yardage this year, but an advantage this big is way above the norm. More reason to stay level headed with expectations.

It's probably more overcompensation then anything else. You see it a lot with mobile QB's. Coaches try and keep these guys in the pocket to keep the structure of the play. Also remember while the yards might not be piling up on the ground, he's also probably hung in for a few throws he wouldn't have last year.

I don't credit Marv with scouting, not the draft or free agency. To think he could come in at his age, after being out for this long, in a role he's never had, and be responsible for scouting................... It's a stretch. Lot's of credit should go to the talent evaluators. The biggest thing I credit Marv for is his humbleness and philosophies. He might not have found the Daunte Whitners of the world, but his views on character is what led our scouts to these type of players. His willingness to humble himself to our scouts, and others allowed us to pull the trigger on these recommendations. TD would rather make a decision and be wrong, then allow somebody else to make the decision for him. We were going to live and die with every call TD made. Marv is willing to look at his scouts, and the time they spend, and say you might just be more knowledgeable then me in this area. It may be unorthodox to have this many on the food chain, but who's to say it's not the best structure? It takes a rare breed to be the Don of all this, but that's exactly what Marv is.

Hey blue, I mean no disrespect in that, I'm sure he did have a big impact on Vince Young. I just judge coaches on game day. To me Mack Brown is Lloyd Carr, both have immense talent, both have national championships. But I don't think either is great on game day, and the success they had is more a product of recruiting then coaching.

Mack Brown cant win the big game, but Vince Young could.

Think about the role our safety’s had within the system we played the last couple years. The whole system was predicated on the blitz, and it was pretty much guaranteed if we didn't get pressure we were screwed. Vincent and Milloy were aging by the snap, and lost the game speed needed from that position. I contend that the defensive system we had was not created by morons. It was created because we didn't have the athleticism at safety to play straight up ball. We had savvy vets who could read plays, and help younger players, but there legs couldn't keep up with there minds. Jauron and Marv didn't want to play this style of defense, so we upgraded early at a position that isn't the popular for upgrading early. Over the course of the season I think we will see how bad it really was, and the difference two sub 4.45 athletes can make as the last line of defense.

Doesn't hurt my feelings. Fug Charlie Weis, BB, and the 100 pounds of breast they have between each other.

Turnovers, and big plays killed the Irish. It's still premature but thoughts of Ohio State/Michigan being undefeated the last week are starting to pop into my head. I'm no fan of the Buckeyes but I don't like that match up in Columbus. Superior coaching for Ohio State, and Hennie reminds me to much of a college version of Drew Bledosoe.

I thought the same thing but it was Bo knows.

Good call, "Just give it to them" is what started it with me.

Cincinnati Bearcats +29 Michigan at Notre Damn Under 50 Miami Hurricanes +160

That's exactly it. Brown was 6-2, 232 and was the fastest player on the field in almost every game he played. He's had several people give interviews that he never worked out. That size is huge by TODAYS RB standard. It's crazy to think how far ahead of his time Brown was. Transplant 60's Jim Brown in todays game and he's still one of the best in the NFL.

I think some are talking as if Thailog was a good person that did a bad thing. NO good person could do the things described in those articles. Bad people can be funny, nice, and caring. They can love there children, and they can love there family. Kelly probably had a lot of those traits and qualities at times. I pray god gives those children the strength to understand this one day. Perhaps to forgive him for what he did. But as someone who only knew him on a message forum nothing he contributed online speaks as loud as what happend that day.

Him and Jim Brown. Both put up some of the best numbers ever despite no supporting cast.

To me Willis is just outside the elite backs in the NFL and the 4th and 1 symbolizes that. On the 4th down he made an excellent cut which was the only reason he had a chance at the first to begin with. That's the great vision coming out, which has probably been his greatest strength following the injury. Despite the fact that Flower got blown up Willis just didn't have the acceleration to finish up that run. It opened and closed very fast, but the best backs in the league would have made that first down. The expectation level for Willis around here is that of a top 5 back. The player that Willis was at Miami would meet those expectations. We really didn't know what we were getting with him, so when he came out his second year on fire most of us thought he was back. We also thought that eventually he would completely recover. I refuse to believe he will ever COMPLETLY recover. But the good new is we still have a top 10 back, and that makes us better off then most the teams in this league.

I was just about to start a thread on the subject. Vermeil became one of my favorite announcers as the game wore on. The amount of credibility he brings, and his ability to communicate are excellent. I always looked at jaws as one of the more credible guys on ESPN. His past experience with Vermeil only adds to the chemistry. As for Nesseler I think he's underrated as a play by play guy. I hope he does more pro football. The other crew was horrendous. At times Kornheisier sounded like his mic wasn't on, and Theisman was his usual overbearing dusch bag self. I also never really cared for Mike Terico as a play by play man.

I'm from that area, what are you looking for? Bar, club, old music, new music, Irish music, young crowd, old crowd, chill, gay, lesbian, fat girls, hot girls...... I can recommend a few places with some more info.

Any success Buffalo has had the last decade has lasted about two seconds. I don't understand what people expect the media to do. The Bruschi ball washing last year was rather pathetic, but this obsessive outlook so many have about being disrespected is more fabrication then reality. When we had something going for us in the early 90's, and when Flutie was around the national media was all over us. The Bills were on national TV with Patriot like frequency. The year we crushed New England for the opener, many at ESPN were calling us the best team in football. By week 2 we reached #2 in the power rankings. By the time reality set in thousands of Bills fans were left devastated. What we look like is a team that has posted one of the worst records in football the last 5 years. That has a brand new offense, defense, and an unproven QB. Respect will come when we earn it.

I hope the next time Kanya West is on TRL he calls out LABillz.

Jost got back, I've been gone all day and was looking forward to the tivo. I was pissed, so thanks for the update.