Mikie2times

If I said you have a 65% chance of doubling your money and a 35% of losing it all, one outcome, like a coin flip, would you say yes? Maybe when your 20, probably not when your 60. That's the root of the problem with some of these guys. Staley looked at the decision as a +3% win probability in a binary way. Where another way to look at it, still from a statistical perspective, is you're electing to create a 17% swing in win% based on one play by going for it. Is that something worth doing midway through the 3rd quarter in a 3 point game? Further, is that worth doing vs a team that really wasn't doing much offensively without the refs help? Last part bringing more of the old school football mind into it. I really would like to think right answer exists in the middle of it all.

I think this is correct

Cool. Look, the Bills have played 3 meaningful games with the Patriots the last two years. I do not consider the 2nd game last year as meaningful. By that time we basically had the division locked and New England was down to 2nd string players. We could be 3-0 in those games or 0-3. All of them were close and decided in final minutes. Even in the last game which for some reason people seem to feel we completely exercised the demon, we converted a 4th and 1 on an incredible play by Josh late in the 4th. Fail to convert on that play and New England has the ball and is driving for the W. This is after outgaining them by 140 yards and being +2 in the turnover column. It would be completely out of the context of how these games have gone for anybody to assume it won't come down to a couple plays late in the game on Saturday. Further, for anybody to assume we have established some sort of supremacy, our biggest edge just got fired in Miami. For some reason Bill could never figure Flores while Buffalo handled them with ease. It feels as if we have the edge, yes, but people consistently overestimate by how much.

At the end of the day I'm fine with it. So much of our offense comes from Josh doing what Josh does with broken plays. We have a ton of weapons and didn't exactly set the world on fire. If he leaves it's next man up.

With the wind, Buffalo 24 and the Jets 10 Against the wind, Buffalo 3 and the Jets 0 I honestly think the wind will eventually become a massive advantage for this team as it was for the 90's Bills. Allen just plays worse, his competition can't even function. Think Baltimore last year, New England, Jets game......

I don't think any of us live long enough to see the 2007 Patriot's +315 broken. Beat the Giants and they go down as the best team of all time in any sport.

I wouldn't be so sure. We released him after he had a rather solid season for us, jut not worth the cost. We weren't going to pay a premium for a guy whose primary skill was run defense. Miami decided to really pay a premium for that and I feel it's likely because they thought he could be more than a one dimensional player. Jets inherited that premium. Most teams are not looking for rotational DE's for run defense. They want them for pass rushing. That said Shaq was always impossible to move off his spot, he just had very little speed and edge rush to his game. Very one trick pony, think 3-4 DE in the early 2000's, something Rex Ryan might covet.

Allen is a very unique player and difficult to evaluate through conventional methods. I think his closest comps are Russell Wilson, Deshaun Watson, Randall Cunningham, Cam Newton/Daunte Culpepper (in the best years they had), some Steve Young. If they all had DNA mixed and you sprinkled in some Brett Favre that's what we are dealing with. Allen is likely the most gifted of these guys just based on his physical stature and capability which is saying something. What is unique about all of these guys is they're mostly passing scramblers, not a scrambling passers. When it comes to QB's who are a true threat on the ground they generally have to develop more in the passing game. They aren't as dangerous in the passing game as a whole nor are they in scramble drills. Think guys like Michael Vick or Lamar Jackson or Vince Young. Allen is trying to pass. If you flush him he is still trying to pass. If you clearly give him the option to run he will gash you. He's not a guy that just dinks and dunks down the field or will generally have the ball out at the top of his drop. He's one of the all time freak athletes to play the QB position and a lot of what he generates is not by design. He is responsible for so much as it relates to how we generate points. Probably more so on an individual basis than any player in the NFL provides for his team.

He was actually a beast at setting the edge in the run game. I would be fine with him coming back. They're all apples, Shaq is an orange. He's a hell of a run defender. You can't move the guy. That's why I would like to see him back.

The best slot, we can booze, get fat, and still not suck at work Monday.

Nobody wants Monday, horrible decision by the NFL to slot playoff games for Monday.

I guess it really doesn't matter to me. All three present challenges that could knock us out of the wild card round. Then again, even more so than last year, I feel we can beat anybody in AFC. So can we put a string of W's against top teams together or not? I know one things for sure. After all the ups and downs of this season, it's nice to be hitting some stride now. Lets not Pittsburgh Steelers this last game and forget we still have some work left.

When's the last time he did anything.....😥

I have one major concern over the next two weeks and it's Covid. We have seen it render some teams to be less than a shadow of themselves and to lose the division that way would be devastating.

I'm so happy for this Dolphins run. Might just allow them to not fix the Tua situation for one more year.

Given he has not talked that negatively about Edmunds and does seem to know what he's talking about one can only conclude that he is in fact Tremaine Edmunds.

The threads already too big, your junk would get lost

I remember a few months back, one poster put up "Are the Pats a real threat?" as the subject line. Most laughed off the topic all together. Then this week, leading up to the rematch very few people gave the Bills a chance. The swing in sentiment really drives home just how inconsistent the season has been. That said, I think the Bills have finally showed us all phases in 2021 with such a quality win at this point in the season. It's been hard to get a read on this team for a lot of reasons. Fundamental ones like ability to run and stop the run, pass block, then situational ones, like consistency, winning closer games, winning against better teams. So far we had the KC win and that was about it as far as upper echelon W's. Then we had a lot of close losses. We needed a win in a game that really mattered against a good team and that's what we got. It was, as far as I could see, the best performance of the year by this team. We didn't punt, I think that says enough about the level of dominance. So are we a flawed team? 100%, we can struggle with both sides of the run game and the OL has really put us at risk at times. Can flawed teams win Super Bowls? Sure, plenty of examples of teams getting hot late that never reached those heights in the regular season. Can flawed teams lose against teams they shouldn't? Sure, we saw it prevent a playoff birth against the Steelers back up's and grant us one by the graces of Andy Daltons magical arm. Lastly, can flawed teams become more inconsistent where they're consistently praised in the media? Hell yes. Make no mistake, we took most teams best punch this year. It was not like 2020. Nothing was going to be given to us this year and defenses were going to scheme the hell out of Josh's 2020 tape. In sum, don't forget what you have seen because it matters. The Patriots game was huge, but it doesn't erase what we have seen. Let us also not forget that we were the trendy SB pick for a lot of this season and just because it became less trendy doesn't mean it wasn't with good reason. While a lot of people on the board are pondering who they rather wouldn't see in the playoffs, I have a good feeling most opposing fans have us on that list. I certainly wouldn't want to play us.

He compensates with his writing because he was born in the smallest state.

I know it's getting frustrating with the Beasley threads. Exclude him from the conversation then. McKenzie is the best YAC WR on this team in short spaces and the best jet sweep/reverse WR on this team. Despite his small size, he is not easy to tackle and he is exceptionally quick. We really don't have another player like him. Since he gives us a dimension we really don't have, yes, I would love to see him used more and brought back next season.

It's called the Akron Beacon Journal d-bag 😆

BB has said his whole career the thing he hates most is playing a QB that can run and break defenses down with his legs. Welcome Josh Allen, a big portion of Allen's game is doing exactly what BB hates most. He's probably the best in the NFL at it.

I think we made it the first read in many situations today and it let to a lot of consistency in moving the ball.

McDermott has shown something today has hasn't before in just pure aggressiveness. Most of this is predetermined. It's been clear anything even close on 4th down and we are going. Then compliments so far to Josh utilizing his check downs. He's almost going there as a primary read, it's given us consistency moving the ball. Obviously the defense is playing lights out as well, but the two concepts above are really good to see. These are things we could be better at that have hurt us in this and previous years.

I have watched a few games recently (happened in Bears game tonight) where a play is ruled one way on the field. It appears obvious the coach will challenge and win. Instead of allowing this process to take place the refs decide to overturn the original call preventing the coaches challenge from occurring and changing the ruling on the play. In both cases a few things were clear. The initial ruling on the field was not being debated by the officials. An outside entity was instructing the official to change the initial call. Play by play announcers commented "it looks like New York or the eye in the sky stepped in on that one". In both instances I will say it enhanced the quality of the game as it prevented a challenge that shouldn't have to occur, that said, did I miss something? At what point did the NFL say they would have booth reviews in real time along with coaches challenges?