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Everything posted by Mikie2times
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Sort of? If he was drinking he was not allowed to have his firearm. I imagine he decided to bring it even though he knew he would likely be drinking. I don't think many people leave for a Bills tailgate undecided on that topic.
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It's amazing how far off you're on this. His drives ended in a higher TD% than any QB. I'm eating lunch at work, if you really want the TD's I can do that for you. But it's a waste of time. His % of TD drives was the highest of any QB. His points per possession were the highest of any QB. These are stats remember, not open to opinion outside of debating the merits of the stats. Sorry if it doesn't fit your narrative.
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Most of Manuel and Taylor's drives ended in TD's, I wasn't going to penalize players for Kickers missing FG's. Which did happen, which is why it's a % stat. I can convert it into TD% if you wish.
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Yards per play is total rushing and passing yards, minus sack yards, divided by attempts. Taylor 43 Attempts, 335 Yards, 7.8 Yards Per Play, FG attempted or better on 7 of 9 drives= 77.8% Manuel 39 Attempts, 328 Yards, 8.4 Yards Per Play, FG attempted or better on 7 of 13 drives= 53.8% Cassell 17 Attempts, 82 Yards, 4.8 Yards Per Play, FG attempted or better on 2 of 4 drives= 50.0% I really hope Cassell is't in the mix. I understand he has taken a back seat so the coaches can see what they have in EJ and Taylor, but I just don't see him getting his Yards Per Play near 7.0, which Taylor and Manuel are both comfortably in. Taylor really seems to have a knack for sustaining drives. Leading 7 out of 9 drives into scoring range is pretty impressive and most those were TD's. EJ has also done well in this area including a game winning drive and by far the strongest job in the deep passing game.
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Tyrod has the legs, big play ability, make something out of nothing ability. Cassel has the short passing game, veteran experience. Most knowledge and accuracy. Manuel has the best arm, is probably the best 2 minute guy. Those are just strengths. They all have weaknesses. It's hard to say how you can rate any much better or worse. Given the element of the enhanced running game with Taylor and the fact that he's never actually failed yet as a starter, his age, I really think he will get the nod.
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Do We Have Any Bernie Sanders Supporters Among Us?
Mikie2times replied to Rob's House's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I'm 33, so I didn't understand that time as well as understand this time. I imagine I would have disapproved based on similar logic. I'm right on monetary policy and left on social policy and sure as hell don't affiliate myself with either side. I actually don't support Bernie's monetary policy at all. I would have never made a vote again if it wasn't for Sanders bringing up the two issues I care about most, Citizens United and Glass Steagal. At this time I support a system that can be won by a republican or democrat with no gross favors owed, I don't care which side the candidate is. I also support an economy that is stable, which can't happen right now. Nothing has changed since 2008, a time we almost went into a depression if not for a bailout. Nobody cares. Interest rates are stuck at 0% for an ungodly period of time. We have brought the global economy to it's knees as a result of policy and we just keep replaying the same story. Bernie has been ahead of wall street and predicting too big to fail scenarios before the Fed or economists did. He was grilling Greenspan in 2003. You must keep missing words. "I want publicly funded elections with low maximum donations" The Koch brothers wouldn't be able to donate over 100 million dollars. Hillary would not be able to raise 45 million dollars. If the cap is 2,500, nobody can be as influential as they can now. Sure, the whole thing will always be shady. But what happening now is just arrogant. -
Do We Have Any Bernie Sanders Supporters Among Us?
Mikie2times replied to Rob's House's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
GG, I'm saying the exact opposite. I thought I was clear in my point. Perhaps not. I care that a corporation can create a Super PAC and spend unlimited amount of money toward a campaign without even having to put a name down. I want publicly funded elections with low maximum donations. Publicly funded only by citizens and not corporations. How much did the Koch brothers spend in Wisconsin and Michigan to smash unions? Politics about unions aside. If the public doesn't want them fine, if two brothers don't want them and they can make that happen the system is broken. They literally bought two candidates, funded them beyond a competitive playing field and stacked the political system to fit their own personal agenda. That's what they will keep doing. Ya, the people still decide, but sort of hard to compete when your outspent 10 to 1. -
Schefter: Shady to return week 1
Mikie2times replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Very happy he isn't in worse shape, but very concerned still. Hamstring and Groins can linger for an entire season. You watch a player and all year and they don't produce the same, they say they feel good. The season ends and then they say "ya, the Hamstring was bothering me all season". Happens so much. If he's even at a 5%-10% risk of re-injury for the opener I wouldn't play him. I wouldn't consider playing him until he has zero doubt he is 100% with no needles. I don't care if it takes 3-4 weeks into the season. We need him at 100% and it's a very long season. -
Lets take a socialistic policy like SS. Personally, I would rather not have SS. I feel like I can spend my money and save my money better than any other entity as it pertains to my goals. Having said that I don't exactly see that playing out in the general population. Many if not most Americans struggle to fight the urge to balance credit debt. Forget about retirement. I can't think of many situations in which people have said, up, my 401k, savings, and pension is just so high I don't know when I should retire. It's more like, well, I want to retire soon, how the hell am I going to live off anything but SS? People don't save in mass and regardless if I feel I can, or you feel you can, most can't. Without SS we would have a millions and millions of 65+ year old people either homeless or working minimum wage until death. That doesn't sit well with me. Even if I do want complete control of my money, not at that cost. Hell, I don't like a lot of Bernie's Policy, but the things I do like I view as absolutely essential to restoring the political system and that is something that no candidate running on either side can offer me.
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Do We Have Any Bernie Sanders Supporters Among Us?
Mikie2times replied to Rob's House's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I don't deserve relief from debt I've incurred, I would like future generations to have better options. I prefer just to get the fed out of it completely as competition would lower cost, but since every loan is backed by the fed, it doesn't exactly take cut throat underwriting to get approved for large student loans, so schools have zero reason to maintain stable prices. Unfortunately Bernie wants the government even more involved in it. Still, his plan would allow for people to not be hamstrung by the this type of debt when they start life if they wish to seek out a higher education. You are a person, a corporation is not a person. Democracy is based on public funded elections. The concept of each persons voice represented to the fullest extent and equally heard. Limitation on campaign donations should be in place and only individual people/not corporations should be allowed to contribute. If that's not in place elections are not equal or based on the voice of the people. They become based on the voice of the people who have the most money. That is not a democracy. How many bubbles have we seen since Reagan/Greenspan economics? Tech, housing, and coming soon, a living hell....Ya, the stock market should be reaching all time highs. That's logical in an economy with no measurable growth. Maybe they just don't give a crap backed up by 0% interest rates for 7-8 years and knowing exactly what will happen when the next bubble hits. Too big to fail bailout. Wall Street does not fear risk. Glass-Steagall existed for a really smart reason. Unfortunately not smart enough to overcome the potential to make big money fast even if that put the entire global economy at risk. -
I think Dareus is double teamed excessively regardless of the scheme. That said, for a man that gets nose tackle like double team rates, he is exceptionally fast and can either blow up the middle pocket or destroy a run play 3 yards back. Perhaps in Ryans scheme He needs to stay in anchor role. Too much penetration might create problems with gap responsibility. I could see why that designation would be frustrating to Dareus if that is indeed whats happening. That brings up all sorts of other concerns regarding his future but it's far too early to tell what his final role will be. Rex is a good coach and good coaches put players in a position to maximize the skills they have. Dareus being aggressive is in everybody's best interests and we need to find a way to position him where he can play that way.
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Communism and Socialism are not the same thing. Not a weird country. When a party or parties does not represent any of the ideals they pretend to stand for what decisions are left to be made? He's my father in law. My Dad passed away two weeks ago and was very similar to my Father in Law in his republican principles. Which is fine, I long for the days when real democrats and real republicans even had a voice to debate with. The whole system is destroyed in so many ways. The only reason I'm even discussing politics is one of the candidates is discussing issues that have concerned me for years and he's putting his money where is mouth is. As for Hillary and the establishment, wait until the debates. They will do everything possible to destroy him, I have no doubt. But he is going to do very well in the debates and force Hillary into some bad positions no politicians are even willing to discuss right now.
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Do We Have Any Bernie Sanders Supporters Among Us?
Mikie2times replied to Rob's House's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I'm with Bernie. I make a little less than double the median income for my area. Which isn't a wealthy area, nor am I. Functional and above water, yes. About 47,000 in debt on student loans. I don't want a hand out or student loan forgiveness. I want Citizens United overturned. I want that overturned probably more than any other wish I have regarding politics I would like to see more Wall Street regulation, roll it back pre Greenspan. Less involvement by the Federal Bank (don't know if I will get this out of Bernie especially in these times). I also want student loan reform, I feel the whole program is designed to do nothing as far as maintaining or reducing tuition rates. I don't feel any of the peoples interests matter anymore. We have an election, Republicans believe in this, Democrats that, both nominees run campaigns on the principles that represent the party. A bunch of back and forth ensues among voters. Neither party will ever honor what they run on. They can',t they owe too many favors to too many people and if they didn't they wouldn't win. I don't agree with everything Bernie stands for. I'm actually a capitalistic person, monetarily conservative. Unfortunately actual capitalism is dead in this country and it doesn't matter if your liberal or conservative, both sides have played spin the needle with interest rates and as a result I expect we will probably see the worst economic event since the great depression. At least Bernie discusses the madness. Nobody else will and if nobody changes these things our political system and these conversations will never matter again. -
Tyrod Taylor to start Week 2 preseason
Mikie2times replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I have no issue with your post, I thought TT played great. As it stands right now I would name him the starter and I've been saying that since the day we signed him. -
Tyrod Taylor to start Week 2 preseason
Mikie2times replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I have never liked EJ as a starter, I posted tons of threads analyzing his play at FSU when we drafted him. It was one preseason game and his line was the best in that one preseason game. That said it does nothing to make me feel any better that he is the man for the job. -
Tyrod Taylor to start Week 2 preseason
Mikie2times replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I've been using that metric for 7-8 years now and I'm comfortable with the way it is, but I do respect and appreciate the feedback. In your scenario that is correct, B) would win. That said, the difference between A) and B) is A's) attempts had a 0% chance to result in an incomplete pass. That aspect is what really powers the production rate of Running QB's without it ever showing up in the stat sheets in a correct way. A) will likely be more consistent in his production on account of that. You could almost look at it as a measure of volatility in data. A pass for 50 yards would really swing B), can we expect B) to consistently deliver that 50 yard pass into his metric? Likely not. With A) a higher expectation exists to produce that type of line on a game to game basis. Ultimately yards are yards and while teams deviate based on efficiency levels as far as converting yards to points, most NFL teams will stay right around 15 yards per point. When you see a high deviation in that stat it's usually a result of turnovers or high QB efficiency (Brady/Rodgers elites). I like Taylor's metrics when you include his running data. Similar to other QB's who bring mobility into the equation, the passing number just don't properly weight the performance they bring. Some might view passing yards to be more valuable. No statistical evidence exists that suggests that. No correlations exist between higher amounts of passing yards and lower yards per point values. The only correlations you see with lower yard per point values are with turnovers, ST, and the very, very few elite QB's and that aspect is more a product of RZ efficiency vs anything else. -
Tyrod Taylor to start Week 2 preseason
Mikie2times replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Probably not. But I don't understand the logic. Unless people think Cassel can light up the middle of field in the 15-20 yard zone, which is probably TT's biggest weakness, which is probably all QB's biggest weakness, what are we even talking about? Both can make plays in the deep passing game, both can make plays in the short passing game. Only TT opens up the entire playbook. Only TT forces players out of coverage or rushing and into Spy's. If people want to start Cassel based on a marginally better short passing game and give up on all the additional elements TT brings to this offense I don't see it being more productive for us. -
Ronald Darby - how will he do?
Mikie2times replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's an incorrectly spelled word. -
3 Main catches that people are focusing on in regards to Darby. One involved Funchess on a go route with a stutter step. Ball was placed on the outside shoulder, Funchess is 6"4. Ginn on a deep pass almost identical play to the Funchess play but the position of the ball placement was almost impossible to defend against. Absolutely the perfect ball placement on the outside shoulder down the sideline. Lastly, Kelvin Benjamin TD reception. 6"5, slight push off by Benjamin. Realistically Darby probably will struggle in that match up most his career based on size. Good news, Darby had reasonable positioning on each pass. The ball placement was just that good. Right now he is struggling to find the ball, I would be much more concerned if he was struggling to find his man, but he had solid positioning all night. I'm almost certain Rex did not care and likely even encouraged match up issues with larger WR's. Carolina has more than most, but in the regular season we will see Darby on the small WR's and Gilmore on the bigger targets. At least until LM comes back. Darby got a real wake up call today and that's a great thing to have happen the first game of the preseason, especially under the conditions I mentioned. Namely he was in position all night. He just got a great taste of how elite the talent is at this level. We liked him this year as a nickle corner and it's easy to see how great he would be in that role from day 1. Very fluid in his movement, great acceleration, and top end speed. That said we will have to start him until LM comes back, but the results will not be as bad as the results ended up tonight. He will learn a ton from this experience and he has a lot of time until week 1. Even at that point, he will have a lot of growth over the course of the season. The situation isn't the best given we play in a system with island corners, but I don't expect the first two weeks to be as dire as it felt like they would today.
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Bernie Sanders is for real. My father in law is as hard core of a Republican as I've ever met and he donated to Bernie. Check out his funding, his voting history, his vision, and how he intends on accomplishing it. We don't need a Democrat or a Republican, we need somebody to change the system itself. He is the only candidate on either ballet that can do that. He refuses to say anything negative about his opponents, he refuses to take anything outside of private citizen funding for his campaign. Once it gets to the debates he's going to surge.
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Tyrod Taylor to start Week 2 preseason
Mikie2times replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If you read a Taylor quote from after the game he says, "we had some run/pass option plays and I saw some lanes open so I took them". I think people are seeing his runs tonight as improvisation. Perhaps to some extent that is true, but most of it isn't. Most quarterbacks don't have "run/pass" option plays outside of college. Baltimore didn't have a single play in it's entire playbook that fit Taylor's style. Roman has an entire system meant for it. I like him to win the competition. As for injury concerns, the guy is very difficult to square up and seems to have a natural feel for pending contact. You can tell he gets very small and low to the ground when contact is looming. I don't think it will be an issue for him. -
Tyrod Taylor to start Week 2 preseason
Mikie2times replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
In regards to yards per attempt averages in this game... (Passing yards+Rushing Yards+Sack Yards/Passing Attempts+Rushing Attempts+Sacks) Manuel 7.09 on 11 attempts Taylor 6.86 on 14 attempts Cassell 5.63 on 8 attempts Simms 3.00 on 5 attempts Realistically, Manuel did play the best. It's just very hard for people to see that. One could say well he had a 51 yard pass going into that data. But it was a perfectly thrown ball and he's probably the only guy on the roster that can make that throw. Factor in the drops and he should have been north of 9.0 YPA. Manuel played better then people are giving him credit. Another consideration, more attempts, more stabilization in data. So Taylor gets a bump in that regard as likely having the most stabilized stat line of the 4 in this particular sample. I like what my eyes saw out of Cassell but I don't like this line. He won't improve it with his legs. I don't see him besting EJ in the long passing game. His best area for growth over EJ and Taylor seems to be in the 10-20 yard passing window but Roman throws passes in that box at one of the lowest clips in the NFL. Plus if you go with Cassell you lose all running ability from the QB spot. I don't like that limitation and I don't think Roman does either. -
I would blame the Bills more than CJ if he's going to get labeled a bust. He was picked too early. A lot of mocks had him mid teens. Under that criteria, he would probably just fit the mold of average rate of production for that draft slot. He had one great year, a couple good ones. Injuries have plagued him. He has certainly spent some years in the wrong system. NO was the perfect fit system wise, I was very curious to see what he could do in NO. Hope it's not bad.