Mikie2times

I have never liked EJ as a starter, I posted tons of threads analyzing his play at FSU when we drafted him. It was one preseason game and his line was the best in that one preseason game. That said it does nothing to make me feel any better that he is the man for the job.

I've been using that metric for 7-8 years now and I'm comfortable with the way it is, but I do respect and appreciate the feedback. In your scenario that is correct, B) would win. That said, the difference between A) and B) is A's) attempts had a 0% chance to result in an incomplete pass. That aspect is what really powers the production rate of Running QB's without it ever showing up in the stat sheets in a correct way. A) will likely be more consistent in his production on account of that. You could almost look at it as a measure of volatility in data. A pass for 50 yards would really swing B), can we expect B) to consistently deliver that 50 yard pass into his metric? Likely not. With A) a higher expectation exists to produce that type of line on a game to game basis. Ultimately yards are yards and while teams deviate based on efficiency levels as far as converting yards to points, most NFL teams will stay right around 15 yards per point. When you see a high deviation in that stat it's usually a result of turnovers or high QB efficiency (Brady/Rodgers elites). I like Taylor's metrics when you include his running data. Similar to other QB's who bring mobility into the equation, the passing number just don't properly weight the performance they bring. Some might view passing yards to be more valuable. No statistical evidence exists that suggests that. No correlations exist between higher amounts of passing yards and lower yards per point values. The only correlations you see with lower yard per point values are with turnovers, ST, and the very, very few elite QB's and that aspect is more a product of RZ efficiency vs anything else.

Probably not. But I don't understand the logic. Unless people think Cassel can light up the middle of field in the 15-20 yard zone, which is probably TT's biggest weakness, which is probably all QB's biggest weakness, what are we even talking about? Both can make plays in the deep passing game, both can make plays in the short passing game. Only TT opens up the entire playbook. Only TT forces players out of coverage or rushing and into Spy's. If people want to start Cassel based on a marginally better short passing game and give up on all the additional elements TT brings to this offense I don't see it being more productive for us.

It's an incorrectly spelled word.

3 Main catches that people are focusing on in regards to Darby. One involved Funchess on a go route with a stutter step. Ball was placed on the outside shoulder, Funchess is 6"4. Ginn on a deep pass almost identical play to the Funchess play but the position of the ball placement was almost impossible to defend against. Absolutely the perfect ball placement on the outside shoulder down the sideline. Lastly, Kelvin Benjamin TD reception. 6"5, slight push off by Benjamin. Realistically Darby probably will struggle in that match up most his career based on size. Good news, Darby had reasonable positioning on each pass. The ball placement was just that good. Right now he is struggling to find the ball, I would be much more concerned if he was struggling to find his man, but he had solid positioning all night. I'm almost certain Rex did not care and likely even encouraged match up issues with larger WR's. Carolina has more than most, but in the regular season we will see Darby on the small WR's and Gilmore on the bigger targets. At least until LM comes back. Darby got a real wake up call today and that's a great thing to have happen the first game of the preseason, especially under the conditions I mentioned. Namely he was in position all night. He just got a great taste of how elite the talent is at this level. We liked him this year as a nickle corner and it's easy to see how great he would be in that role from day 1. Very fluid in his movement, great acceleration, and top end speed. That said we will have to start him until LM comes back, but the results will not be as bad as the results ended up tonight. He will learn a ton from this experience and he has a lot of time until week 1. Even at that point, he will have a lot of growth over the course of the season. The situation isn't the best given we play in a system with island corners, but I don't expect the first two weeks to be as dire as it felt like they would today.

Bernie Sanders is for real. My father in law is as hard core of a Republican as I've ever met and he donated to Bernie. Check out his funding, his voting history, his vision, and how he intends on accomplishing it. We don't need a Democrat or a Republican, we need somebody to change the system itself. He is the only candidate on either ballet that can do that. He refuses to say anything negative about his opponents, he refuses to take anything outside of private citizen funding for his campaign. Once it gets to the debates he's going to surge.

If you read a Taylor quote from after the game he says, "we had some run/pass option plays and I saw some lanes open so I took them". I think people are seeing his runs tonight as improvisation. Perhaps to some extent that is true, but most of it isn't. Most quarterbacks don't have "run/pass" option plays outside of college. Baltimore didn't have a single play in it's entire playbook that fit Taylor's style. Roman has an entire system meant for it. I like him to win the competition. As for injury concerns, the guy is very difficult to square up and seems to have a natural feel for pending contact. You can tell he gets very small and low to the ground when contact is looming. I don't think it will be an issue for him.

In regards to yards per attempt averages in this game... (Passing yards+Rushing Yards+Sack Yards/Passing Attempts+Rushing Attempts+Sacks) Manuel 7.09 on 11 attempts Taylor 6.86 on 14 attempts Cassell 5.63 on 8 attempts Simms 3.00 on 5 attempts Realistically, Manuel did play the best. It's just very hard for people to see that. One could say well he had a 51 yard pass going into that data. But it was a perfectly thrown ball and he's probably the only guy on the roster that can make that throw. Factor in the drops and he should have been north of 9.0 YPA. Manuel played better then people are giving him credit. Another consideration, more attempts, more stabilization in data. So Taylor gets a bump in that regard as likely having the most stabilized stat line of the 4 in this particular sample. I like what my eyes saw out of Cassell but I don't like this line. He won't improve it with his legs. I don't see him besting EJ in the long passing game. His best area for growth over EJ and Taylor seems to be in the 10-20 yard passing window but Roman throws passes in that box at one of the lowest clips in the NFL. Plus if you go with Cassell you lose all running ability from the QB spot. I don't like that limitation and I don't think Roman does either.

I would blame the Bills more than CJ if he's going to get labeled a bust. He was picked too early. A lot of mocks had him mid teens. Under that criteria, he would probably just fit the mold of average rate of production for that draft slot. He had one great year, a couple good ones. Injuries have plagued him. He has certainly spent some years in the wrong system. NO was the perfect fit system wise, I was very curious to see what he could do in NO. Hope it's not bad.

Take the total amount of plays for every QB in the NFL, add the running yards and the passing yards together and divide. When your done come back and tell me how Kaep ranked last year. I suppose your going to call yards per attempt, the highest correlated statistic to points scored in the NFL crap as well.

I think any of us would take 19 TD's/10 INT's, 14th Total QBR, 639 yards rushing with a 6.1 AVG. Luck was only one ranking higher in total QBR and Kaep was higher rated than Newton. If we get anywhere near that production we will certainly make the playoffs. This notion of teams "figuring out" Taylor is not based on Romans offense which has a ton of wiggle room for a mobile QB based on a scheme that isn't afraid to fully utilize the QB or the RB in the natural run game.

Brady can look average if you can pressure him which is why Rex has done so well against him. We have the best coach in the NFL to defend against him and likely the best defensive personnel to play against him. If you look historically Seattle has one of the top 10 defenses of all time. I'm not going to say we have the best defense in the NFL so long as Seattle has it's core intact. But I do think we have the best defense and strategy in the NFL to beat Brady.

The read option at the start of the 2nd quarter is why I think he will start. People keep saying teams will figure him out and he won't be able to run. Kaepernick doesn't exactly throw a football thru a a tire with accuracy. Great arm sure. TT has enough arm. On that read option he picked up 20+ yards in about 4 seconds and it looked like it had the ease of a high school game. His legs are going to be used for much more then scrambles. His read option forces some serious stress on defenses which already has to worry about McCoy and 4 YAC oriented WR's. I've called for him to start since we signed him and I'll stick to it.

Not sure about him, but a lot of 31-38 year old out of state Bills fans that started following football as kids during the best of the Kelly years. I think most learned to appreciate more than just those teams, but everything the team and the fans represented. Once you become a Bills fan you just don't stop. In state or out. As far his comments, I don't know. I think Buffalo from the outside in seems like it could be a difficult but rewarding place to play. Difficult from a lack of huge market exposure but huge market expectations, rewarding from how revered Bills players can become locally. You can play good football and retire for a lot of teams and fade off into the distance. Most Bills that play good football become legends.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/05/sports/football/05romer.html?_r=0 NFL teams won't one punt that often one day. Somebody needs to have the balls to go all in. That is what is stopping somebody from trying it. If a team didn't do well, based on that or not, just about everybody would be fired.

Would be interesting if they start EJ next. I actually think that is the best strategic move to get the most competition.

I hate his announcing so much but his kick return in the 94 playoff game vs the Raiders is still one of my all time favorite Bills plays. It was just a weird play, we needed, coldest game in Bills history. I don't want to remember this guy for his announcing. Mute.

If this was baseball we would have a pretty good rotation.

Freddy has the 16th highest cap hit, we would save 2.7 million. I want him to be on this team when they break the playoff drought. That's why I would be a bad CEO.

Current odds on Bills starting QB? Meh -115 Hate the Pass +105 Good Guy +175

EJ isn't good because he's a bad person

As for Darby Game 1, I will take him against Hilton. Not Johnson. Week 2, he matches up well with New England's wide outs. Hopefully McKelvin is back again and Darby can keep developing. With the way he stays with his man he would be a great Nickle corner this year as he develops. I'm not sure if Rex switches corners, but I'm not overly worried about Darby vs speed right now. I am worried about Darby vs size.

Frank Gifford is dead, wait!!! He's....alivawaitasecond. Nope. Not alive.

Rookie CB playing his first game on an island style defense against some very good WR's. Darby will make me nervous all year against guys like Kelvin Benjamin. I like the fact that he's in position, the rest will come in time with good coaching and more experience.

Taylor can throw a football over a mountain