Mikie2times

SDS commissioned me to write overly complicated Bills content in different historical eras......

I asked ChatGPT to change the post a little Gentlemen and fellow enthusiasts of the game, I beseech your attention as I present my findings on the Super Bowl endeavors of the past septenary. A revelation of utmost import has emerged - the delicate balance betwixt offense and defense holds the key to triumphant conquest in this grand sporting spectacle. Pray, let us commence with an examination of the most points conceded during these Super Bowl escapades. The average doth tally at a daunting 30.14 points. Yet, lo and behold, the zenith of excellence was reached in 2020, wherein a mere 26 points were permitted. Recall, if you will, the Denver Broncos of 2015, their defense a paragon of mastery, the last victors to hoist the Super Bowl crown without succumbing to more than three touchdowns throughout the playoffs. Now, let us delve into the profound metrics that lay afore us. I have delved deep into the Expected Points Added (EPA) performance of both the offensive and defensive factions, and I have unearthed intriguing patterns that demand elucidation. Only two teams in these bygone years exceeded the EPA thresholds: the Rams on offense and the Eagles on defense. However, what doth bewilder is the remarkable occurrence when one side faltered, the other rose valiantly to the fore, compensating for their comrades' lackluster showing. Such a symphony of resilience showcases the essence of interdependent support during times of tribulation. Yet, I must draw your attention to the plight of the EPA, for a negative or feeble offensive EPA doth signal dire straits. To mine astonishment, in the span of 49 regular season encounters from 2020 to 2022, our team hath languished in such wretchedness on but four occasions. These rare moments were mollified by the resplendent exhibitions of our stalwart defense, who steadfastly rectified any offensive frailties. Likewise, a defensive EPA amounting to 20 or more is deemed lamentable. Fret not, for our team hath partaken in such ignominy but thrice in these bygone years. Marvelous it is to perceive that, when our defense stumbled, our offense delivered veritable masterstrokes, surmounting all odds and transcending adversity. What tidings doth this portend for our team's audacious quest for Super Bowl supremacy? Verily, the collective strength of our entire ensemble is paramount. We must uplift one another, eschew catastrophic misadventures, and ensure that both factions achieve exaltation. It is essential to note that, barring a solitary year of aberration, our defense hath remained stalwart. Nonetheless, to vie for the Super Bowl with genuine prospects, we must restrict our defense from amassing an EPA exceeding 15, lest our prodigious quarterback, Josh Allen, work prodigious wonders. Though the notion of constraining our adversaries to fewer than three touchdowns throughout an entire playoff odyssey may prove fantastical, we must strive to maintain a delicate equilibrium and shield both sides from grievous foibles. History doth impart wisdom, revealing that triumphant Super Bowl assemblages have weathered encounters wherein one faction bore the burden or resorted to unconventional stratagems for amassing points. Their triumphs hinged upon overcoming such arduous tribulations, aided by the unyielding support of their compatriots. Let us rally with unbridled ardor behind our cherished team as they strive for Super Bowl glory, cognizant that a harmonious and mutually supportive performance shall forge the path to hallowed triumph. Together, let us script indelible chapters on this voyage toward gridiron supremacy! I eagerly await your cogitations upon these revelations. How, pray tell,

They allowed 24 points to the Chiefs and won by 3 and 23 to the Rams and lost by 3. Then 23 to the Chiefs the next year and lost by 3. If anything, I think you're making the argument that they haven't been able to score enough. My work emails suck 😂

I rambled.... We will have to overcome 30 points in the playoffs to win a Super Bowl (more likely than not) The narrative on whose fault it is when we have to drop that 30 will likely come down to how the offense plays We can't implode on either side of the ball, which we have on both sides in all but 2021 As much as people blame the defense, the offense should not be getting a pass either

In the last 7 Super Bowl runs, the winning team had to overcome an average of 30.14 points when you look at the most points they allowed during that run. The lowest total was 26 in 2020. 2015 was the Broncos elite defense and the last team to win a Super Bowl without allowing more than 3 TD's during the playoffs. 2022= 35 Points 2021= 27 Points 2020= 26 Points 2019= 31 Points 2018= 31 Points 2017= 33 Points 2016= 28 Points When you look at EPA performance on Offense and Defense, only the Rams (offense) and the Eagles (defense) in the above 7 year sample had any games that resulted in either of the below EPA thresholds being hit. Each of them had 1 game qualify during the run they had. In each situation the opposite side of the ball played well enough to make up the difference Rams (Offense -6.76 Defense -4.46) Eagles ( Offense 29.26 Defense 27.61) An EPA (Expected Points) that is negative or worse on offense is very poor. We only had 4 such occurrences in 49 regular season games from 2020-2022 2022 our lowest offensive EPA in the playoff came against the Dolphins at -2.41 other side of the ball Defense (-15.56 dominating) 2021 our lowest offensive EPA in the playoff came against the Chiefs at 25.24 other side of the ball Defense (32.62 Turd) 2020 our lowest offensive EPA in the playoff came against the Chiefs at -3.61 other side of the ball Defense (30.34 Turd) An EPA (Expected Points) at 20 or greater is very poor. We only had 3 such occurrences in 49 regular season games from 2020-2022 2022 our highest defensive EPA in the playoff came against the Bengals at 22.03 other side of the ball Offense (3.52 Turd) 2021 our highest defensive EPA in the playoff came against the Chiefs at 32.62 other side of the ball Offense (25.24 dominating) 2020 our highest defensive EPA in the playoff came against the Chiefs at 30.34 other side of the ball Offense (-3.61 Turd) When you look at the Super Bowl teams one thing becomes really obvious. Every year they had to have at least one game in which the offense had to carry it or they had to manufacture points. They also had to avoid the catastrophic meltdown on either side of the ball and if they underperformed on one side they needed to be good enough to make it up on the other. In most of the years you look at, at least one game existed where you would say that teams offense failed them or defense failed them. That wasn't said because the other side of the ball picked them up and nobody remembered how it all played out, just that it did. VERY similar to how the narrative on this team wasn't about our defense being awful in the playoffs after 2021 year, when in fact it was the most awful according to EPA of all the awful in that game. The offense erased that thought in most of us. Just like the defense erased that thought about the offense in our divisional game against the Ravens. All we remembered is we won. Again the next year in our home game against Miami, with a -15 defensive EPA. This isn't just about our defense. This is about the team collectively being good enough to pick each other up, to avoid the meltdown. Which thus far has not happened on both sides of the ball outside 2021. We can't allow more than about a 15 EPA on defense to have a shot. Not unless Josh goes off. But for those that think the path would most likely be to hold our our opponents under 3 TD's for an entire playoff run? That isn't going to happen.

This doesn't sound like CTE

I would rather see Tyreek Hill at a marina than sign Elliott

(Verse 1) Buffalo Bills, let me tell you a tale, Got Eric as their Assistant Head, they prevail. He brings the laughter, keeps the team light, But his strategies, they're dynamite. (Chorus) Eric W, leading the way, Buffalo Bills, ready to play. With his humor and coaching skills, They're aiming for the Super Bowl thrills. (Verse 2) From the field to the sidelines, he's got the touch, Bringing joy to the Bills, he means so much. He's got their back, guiding their stride, Buffalo Bills, with Eric, reach new highs. (Chorus) Eric W, leading the way, Buffalo Bills, ready to play. With his humor and coaching skills, They're aiming for the Super Bowl thrills. (Outro) So let's cheer for Buffalo, the team so strong, With Eric W, they can't go wrong. Together they'll conquer, with laughter and might, Buffalo Bills, shining in the NFL's spotlight.

Agree. I think it will look good with white, but not that grey.

I mean. We can get into speculation all we want. What is not speculation is we split the regular season last year and would have lost in our house if they had any semblance of a QB situation. We could argue that we could play significantly better than we did in the playoff game. We could argue that getting all these guys back healthy will make a huge difference. I think both are true and I certainly think we are better than Miami. That said, my initial feelings of this stuff just being click bait probably aren't accurate. They basically played us even last year.

He took it over because it was becoming clear his job was at risk if what happened in the playoffs happened again. Fans and media would have a field day. Look at them as is. Can you imagine if he let Frazier stay? He was smart in getting ahead of it and it was the right thing to do.

We ranked 1st last year, 2nd in 2021, 4th in 2020. 1st/1st/4th if you count playoffs. I trust the DVOA rankings more than any other, but the system tends to rate us too high as a result of what we have done against bottom 3rd teams. If you told me a team ranked 1st, 2nd, and 4th in DVOA over a three year span it would be hard to not win a Super Bowl. Almost impossible to have not gone to one. DVOA just doesn't work as well with how our team produces output. Good to see though, nothing I'm saying is to suggest we won't have a great year. As so many have said, it comes down to what we do in the playoffs.

I think Tyreek Hill is Antonio Brown.

Wrong guy. He was delivering food to a homeless shelter at that time.

One thing Beane has done tremendously well is attack contracts earlier.

Oddly specific 😂

I bought one yesterday 🙃

Guilty

San Diego State just played in the title game. NIL can also encourage players to stay in the college ranks longer. I don't think smaller schools will just phase out. What I don't like is I have no idea where anybody is anymore. Which sort of sucks. I liked to follow guys and that was easier when they stayed put. I don't mind the players getting money, but I hope we can get a better system in place.

Cleanse yourself 😂

I liked the Rex Ryan hire Stevie Watkins was a rare talent James Hardy was the big receiver we needed Should have drafted Rosen

I'm in the major minority here, but just because a guy is likeable, physical, and says the right things, hardly makes him a guy you will storm the beaches for. I don't know what kind of leader Josh is or isn't. But I think the people who are just assuming Beasley is throwing shade are no more likely to be right than the people who aren't. Personally, I don't see Josh as an Alpha type natural leader. A guy that takes command when the chips are down. Walks the sidelines holding people accountable when mistakes are made. He might have shown glimpses. But I don't see it being who he naturally is. I have seen what it looks like when somebody is just built that way and as I said, that quality has nothing to do with playing prowess. I do think a guy like Josh can grow into it more. It's like all things. Some of it is natural and some of it is developed.

I see nearly zero chance we would move on from him this season. That said, he can make next year very hot depending on how this year unfolds.

Allen is a very aggressive QB. If you look at when he really shined with Daboll, it's when we started dialing up a lot of underneath throws and check downs to the RB's. It gave the offense rhythm. It also opened up more of those aggressive downfield throws naturally. The 2021 playoff run was a perfect example of this. We basically gave Dorsey a Corvette and he wanted to add more horsepower when he couldn't drive it as is. It doesn't need to be faster. We don't need to build the most aggressive offense in football with Josh Allen. Josh will already make it that by himself. He is plenty fast, doesn't need any more horsepower. The million dollar question is how much of it was not having a solid version of Beasley underneath? But my issue with that logic is we also failed to utilize Knox and the RB's in the passing game. So then it becomes, was it Allen's elbow? I don't know about that. All I know is the vertical passing game played into all of our weaknesses with the offensive line and a QB who will make a mistake if you let him just rip it all game. I guess we will see this year if Dorsey can keep the car on the road.

"he smacked it and said good game, that doesn't mean anything"