Mikie2times

The oldest guy on your list is AJ Brown and he's 28 and an absolute blue chip #1. Six of those players are 26 or younger. Terry will be 30 this year. It's not black and white to them. I agree you do the deal because they have a real chance this year but perhaps they don't have as much concern over the window they will have with Daniels being Year 2.

I'm glad Spencer participated in the tug-of-war competition where you could literally see players vertebra splinter in the right lighting.

Terry is great, but he is arguably more in the middle tier of #1's vs the top 5-10. If he gets 30 million plus, now he is in the top 10 if not higher and will turn 30 this year. To me, it's not a no brainer. They should do it, but I understand why it's not a done deal. Hell, Terry could be looking for 32-35, which would be Top 3. Similar to the Cook situation IMO where they both might want the deal done, but the money / circumstances are just making it a bit outside the comfort zone of one or both.

Totally agree. Both will be 30 this year, both have been extremely productive for multiple years. In the open market both would get double what they will be paid this year. This is the last big multi year pay day for both and both stand to lose 50 million+ over multiple years if they get seriously hurt. You really can't or shouldn't be blaming these guys. A lot of times sure, they will take the team friendly deal as Beane has done so many times, but it's not just because of the team. Its more about the risk of injury. The concept of team is a factor but it's a sliding scale and takes a huge second to self interests.

Just playa playin 😆

@HappyDays has reported he signed with Buffalo.

It would have taken an additional 3 minutes to correct that, if you don't have issue fair enough. I don't care for it on a Bills fan forum. Here is your unreviewed corrected version 1 minute later 🛑 “Three Strikes Against the Chiefs”? Why That Narrative Doesn’t Hold Up in 2025 The claim that the 2025 Kansas City Chiefs are doomed due to historical red flags — perfect record in one-score games, three straight Super Bowl appearances, and a blowout loss in the big game — sounds compelling on the surface. But when you look at the actual facts of Kansas City’s 2024 campaign, the argument doesn’t just fall apart — it misses the point entirely. ❌ Strike One? The One-Score Game “Luck” Fallacy Claim: 11 one-score wins = inevitable regression. Reality: The Chiefs were 15-2 in the regular season and 2-1 in the postseason, finishing 17-3 overall — and their one-score wins weren’t “lucky” squeakers from a mediocre team. Kansas City never scored more than 30 points in regulation all season yet still went 15-1 with starters. That’s not luck — that’s dominance in execution, defense, and game control. Their +59 point differential doesn’t tell the whole story. They held 15 opponents under 24 points, and went undefeated at home — a first since 2003. Their clutch wins weren’t from fluky comebacks. They led wire-to-wire or controlled most of those games with elite situational defense and special teams. Context matters: Unlike the 2022 Vikings or 2015 Panthers, the Chiefs had league-best coaching, a championship-caliber defense, and a Hall of Fame QB. Their wins didn’t rely on coin flips — they relied on execution under pressure. ❌ Strike Two? Three Straight Super Bowl Appearances = Decline? Claim: No team has made three straight Super Bowls and won the third. Reality: No team has ever entered its third straight Super Bowl with Kansas City’s resume of active dominance. The Chiefs: Went 15-1 with starters. Won the AFC West for the ninth consecutive time. Hosted the AFC Championship for the seventh straight year. Became the first team in history to go back-to-back and then return for a third Super Bowl — something the Dolphins, Patriots, and Bills didn’t do. Went undefeated at home, won 10 conference games, and beat both Buffalo and Baltimore en route to the Super Bowl. Translation: They’re not limping into the history books — they’re rewriting them. ❌ Strike Three? A Blowout Loss = Collapse? Claim: Teams who get blown out in the Super Bowl rarely bounce back. Reality: Kansas City’s 40-22 loss to Philly looks bad on paper — but dig into the context: Kansas City turned the ball over three times in the first half, including a pick-six and a red zone interception. They were down 24-0 before halftime — not because they were overmatched, but because of executional miscues. Mahomes still finished with 3 TDs and 300+ yards. The Chiefs outscored the Eagles 22-16 in the second half, even with Philly pulling starters. This team has bounced back before: Lost Super Bowl LV → Back in the Super Bowl two years later. Lost 2021 AFC title game → Back-to-back titles in 2022 and 2023. A one-game loss — even in the Super Bowl — doesn’t negate a 17-3 season where they handled elite competition weekly.

You cant always trust AI

Ever notice most people that say "I'm not a racist" as the first sentence are usually racist. I just found it funny that your first words were "I wrote this" and then followed a post that was clearly written by AI. Nothing wrong with it I guess? I think most here would prefer authenticity in posts. AI can spit out anything in seconds. Hard to sort out the "original" content from everything else. I responded to your post below. 🔥 Why History Doesn’t Apply to the 2025 Chiefs: The Myth of the “Three Strikes” Curse The Kansas City Chiefs are being written off by pundits and trend-watchers who claim that “history says” their reign is about to end. Their argument? The Chiefs fall under three dangerous historical patterns: undefeated in one-score games, three straight Super Bowl appearances, and a blowout loss in the big game. But here’s the truth: history only rhymes — it doesn’t repeat. And more importantly, this Chiefs team is nothing like the historical comparisons being tossed around. Let’s dismantle this narrative piece by piece: ⚠️ Red Flag #1: Undefeated in One-Score Games — “They Got Lucky!” The Argument: Going 11-0 in one-score games means regression is inevitable. Past teams like the 2022 Vikings, 2015 Panthers, and 1998 Falcons all fell off after similar records. The Flaw in the Argument: This assumes all one-score wins are the same. They’re not. You need to ask: why were the Chiefs winning all those close games? Patrick Mahomes + Andy Reid: This isn’t a team relying on luck or bounces. This is the best late-game QB in NFL history paired with one of the greatest playcallers ever. They win close because they execute when it matters. Situational dominance: The 2024 Chiefs led the league in 2nd-half defensive DVOA and were 1st in EPA per play in the 4th quarter. That’s not randomness — that’s clutch execution. The Vikings comparison falls flat: The 2022 Vikings were outscored on the season. The Chiefs had a +131 point differential in 2024. They weren't sneaking by teams — they were dominating and finishing. What it actually means: The Chiefs win close because they’re better prepared and better coached — not because of coin-flip luck. 🏆 Red Flag #2: Three Straight Super Bowl Appearances — “They’re Due to Burn Out” The Argument: No team has made it to four straight Super Bowls and won it. The Bills, Dolphins, and Patriots all fell off eventually. The Flaw in the Argument: Those teams didn't have the continuity or modern era advantages that KC has: Mahomes isn’t Jim Kelly, Bob Griese, or even Brady at this stage. He’s entering his prime, not aging out. He’s faster, healthier, and has already rebuilt a receiving corps mid-dynasty — and still made the Super Bowl. NFL is different in 2025: There’s a salary cap floor, more protected QBs, and fewer dynasty-killers (like devastating injuries or retirement exoduses). The Chiefs have adapted faster and better than any of their peers. They got younger and faster this offseason. Rashee Rice suspension? They added Hollywood Brown and drafted Xavier Worthy. Defensive continuity is elite, and Chris Jones is still a top-3 interior force. They're not clinging to a fading core — they’re evolving on the fly. What it actually means: The Chiefs are reloading, not declining. None of the previous three-peat Super Bowl teams were this balanced, this stable, or this well-led in Year 4. 💥 Red Flag #3: Losing the Super Bowl by 14+ — “Teams Don’t Bounce Back” The Argument: Teams that get blown out in the Super Bowl usually collapse the next year. The Giants, Raiders, and Panthers all missed the playoffs. Even the 2021 Chiefs “only” made the AFC title game. The Flaw in the Argument: Blowout losses tell you more about how the game played out than the team’s overall strength. The 2025 Super Bowl was a bad matchup, not a bad team. Philadelphias front seven overwhelmed KC’s offensive line — but that’s fixable. They've already added depth and speed at tackle. Mahomes was pressured 44% of dropbacks — you fix protection, you change the game. The loss fuels hunger. Kansas City has rebounded from disappointment before: Lost the 2018 AFC title game → Won the Super Bowl the next year. Lost the 2020 Super Bowl → Returned to AFC title game. Lost 2021 AFC title game → Back-to-back champs in 2022 and 2023. What it actually means: A blowout loss motivates Mahomes and Reid. History shows this team thrives after defeat — it doesn’t fall apart. 📊 Combined Odds: History Has Never Faced This Team That prediction post suggests “combined odds” that give KC a 0–3% chance to win the Super Bowl. Laughable. You’re telling me a Mahomes/Reid team — with the best defense of their dynasty, multiple vertical weapons, elite coaching continuity, and a proven bounce-back record — has no shot? Vegas disagrees. So does every executive in the league. 💡 The X-Factor: Patrick Mahomes Changes the Math Mahomes is 15-3 in the playoffs. Has never failed to make the AFC title game as a starter. Since 2018: 74-22 record, 5 AFC Championships, 3 Super Bowl rings. He's already defied every trend that history has tried to place on him. Why would this year be different? 🔁 Summary: Why This Narrative is Flawed Red FlagHistory SuggestsWhy Chiefs Are Different Undefeated in 1-score gamesRegression to meanMahomes/Reid dominate late-game situations 3 straight Super Bowl runsTeams declineChiefs are reloading, not aging Super Bowl blowout lossMiss playoffs or early exitChiefs rebound stronger after defeat every time 🧠 Final Word History says the Chiefs should fall. But history also said Mahomes couldn’t win a Super Bowl with a rebuilding O-line. History said no QB could reach six straight conference title games. History said dynasties don’t survive the cap era. Mahomes and the Chiefs don’t just ignore history — they rewrite it. If you're betting against them? You’re not reading the trends — you're ignoring the exception that’s become the rule.

Looks like some AI emojis unless you're actually my mom

In normal contexts it refers to the achieving a % of the yards on each down to keep a team on schedule for a first down. Like 40% of the yardage required on first, 60% on second down, 100% on third down.

I’m not sure how that graph defines “clutch”. I think points scored is critical in the postseason where with general performance on bigger samples advanced stats are perfectly reasonable. In game winning drives in the playoffs, did you score or not? That is all the matters. As far as I recall Josh has had 4 drives, 2 vs Houston, 2 the last two years vs KC. He got three to tie the game vs Houston. Punted on the first OT drive. Missed FG vs KC and then turnover on downs vs KC. The rest of that work has to be 13 seconds. As far as executing ( scoring the required points to tie or take the lead) on drives under 2 minutes. I would be very hard pressed to believe anybody is better than those two. I’m sure it is clearly displayed in number of occurrences, % if successful outcomes and other stats.

What are you trying to debate here?

I don't have enough context to say we are among the fewest, but I have been arguing for a long time the injury concerns for the Bills are grossly overstated. I'm still hearing the "we just can't play them healthy (KC)", based on Benford. Yes, he matters, A LOT. But we aren't going to play them with 11 starters healthy on both sides of the ball and our offensive luck with injuries has been elite. Allen has never been hurt when guys like Burrow and Jackson have and ultimately wrecked those teams seasons. We could have far worse luck. Rapp is walking concussion waiting to happen. Benford was a walking concussion waiting to happen last year. Bernard and Milano have each developed a fairly clear history. Do you expect these guys to last a full year? Maybe one or two will, but the history of these players is extensive at this point. This isn't "bad luck" it's bad planning if you don't have viable alternatives. Excuses need to go away.

He's former Bill