Backintheday544

I don’t subscribe to Nate Silver so I haven’t seen it. Can you copy and paste the write up?

I figured yall were covering 2 with digging into the Secret Service failed due to DEI thing yall have been discussing so I just focused on the polls since they just came out.

He didn’t die. We’re not going to get fun legislation like the Brady bill after the Regan assassination attempt. The only thing really left is 1) what effect will it have on the election (which we can only see thru polls) or 2) come up with crazy conspiracy theories

If you look back in the thread, several people said this wrapped up the election for Trump. We will see how other polls come out, but I think it just shows the Trump contingent is pretty set at that 44-47 percent range when it’s Biden v Trump.

First polls out post assassination attempt and…….. no Trump boost: https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-no-poll-boost-after-assassination-attempt-us-election-1925680 Here’s the poll: https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/democratic-voters-remain-divided-over-ditching-biden 46/45 Trump. 2 percent margin of error. Prior Morning consult polls: Trump +2,Trump +2, Trump +2, Trump +1 (defending order by date)

Thanks! Fixed it.

This should be on every TV station

Didn’t see you complaining about this Palin ad:

You can watch Vance’s story in this movie: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hillbilly_Elegy_(film)

If you don't want to beleive 538, then you're welcome to look at a map and polls. Assuming all the normal Dems and Republicans stay, Biden's clearest path to victory is MI, WI, and PA. 538's average of the polls out there is Trump +0.6. (the recent was Trump+3 and a Biden +5) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/ WI is Trump +1.3. The ones from July (Trump +1, Trump +2, Trump +2, Biden +3, Biden +2) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/ PA is Trump +3.1 (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/) Most recent is Trump +7, Trump +3. All within the margin of error.

538 historically has been pretty good. They were one of the few that started calling the sway to Trump in 2016.

Your candidate isn’t even projected to win by 538 right now against a senile geriatric. A chunk of your party are Never Trumpers.

You all promised us lefties a blood bath in 2022. Nothing is pointing to a bloodbath currently.

Feel like Dems are doing pretty good. Even with a disastrous debate and an assassination attempt, 538s algorithm still has Biden winning more than losing. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ When’s the last time the Republicans won a popular vote? Midterms were a huge success for Dems. I think the Dems will be just fine in Nov. (Edit I should note 538 doesn’t take into account the assassination as no polls are out yet post attempt)

And the ones that said he was conservative. Strange none said he was Dem, dem leaning anything. The only Dem thing yall have is a $15 donation to an org he unsubscribed to shortly after:

And his classmates who have come out saying he was very conservative? Dem operatives? I appreciate your concern, but I'm doing just fine. It's important to stay focused on the facts and not let emotions dictate the conversation. Let's discuss the issue at hand constructively and look at actual facts instead of how you feel.

Sorry but I’m not a Republican so you know wasn’t me.

Tell that to the dude who died. Doesn’t mean he’s a Dem. There’s plenty of reasons a Republican gun owner would shoot at Trump. Republicans don’t like pedophiles and a bunch of court documents released with Trump being named a pedo. Republicans like Project 2025 and Trump tried to disavow it. theres plenty of reasons a Republican would be mad at Trump.

Name one thing about him that points to Dem that’s been released so far other than your Feels

I just follow the ideology of Trump, post Iowa school shooting: “It’s just horrible, so surprising to see it here. But have to get over it, we have to move forward,” he added. Plus it’s not me, it’s the news. I don’t control news headlines. And we got Republican in Republican crime if you want to use racist whistles more.

Honestly, probably the best outcome for both parties. This case wasn’t going to be heard before the election due to a Trump appointed judge. This will allow SC to appeal to the 11th circuit who has been pretty critical of Cannon and I’m sure the SC will also request to recuse Cannon from the case. I think, Shoes, shoes where’s my shoes

Does he? Because the news cycle has already moved on from the assassination and it’s not the top story on CNN or Fox News.

He was convicted of 34 felonies and shot?

Why would Republicans do that? This is Republican on Republican crime. They have no one to be mad at but themselves. Dems didn’t riot at the Pelosi assassination attempt and that was Republican on Dem crime. Republicans just listen to people like Rep Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson who just said recently, “Some folks need killing” (he’s a Republican)

Biden never called for the Second Amendment people to stop a political opponent, https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-fuels-a-media-furor-again-with-second-amendment-comments-on-clinton.amp “If she gets to pick her judges, nothing you can do, folks. Although the Second Amendment people, maybe there is, I don’t know. But I’ll tell you what, that will be a horrible day.”