Backintheday544

I look at the weight of a poll. As I remember correctly you didn’t even know what that was. i look at the cross tabs when available. I look more at trends in polls than singular polls. You just pick and choose what fits your world view. If it doesn’t fit that? It’s “corrupt” or “false” You need to start figuring now there’s a more likely than not chance Trump is going to lose. And it’s not because of cheating, it’s not because voter fraud.

Does it matter who the source is you believe whatever you’re told anyway. You should research false consensus effect.

This Swift Boat stuff against Walz is hilarious. Trump just campaigned for a guy who pretended to be shot in Afghanistan. https://www.newsweek.com/tim-sheehys-changing-story-about-getting-shot-1887752 In a campaign video in December, Sheehy cited a gunshot wound he received in combat that he said left a bullet in his right arm as evidence of his toughness. "I got thick skin — though it's not thick enough. I have a bullet stuck in this arm still from Afghanistan," he said. However, according to a record filed in U.S. District Court for the District of Montana, after a family visit to Montana's Glacier National Park, Sheehy told a National Park Service ranger in October 2015, more than a year after he left active duty, that he accidentally shot himself in the right arm that day when his Colt .45 revolver fell and discharged while he was loading his vehicle in the park. If every MAGA on here doesn’t call for him to drop out of the Senate race then we will know they’re just a bunch of hypocrites.

He said how the polls moving Harris is just recency bias. You posted the tweet. Unfortunately that’s just wrong as his only claim for it is 2 outlier polls. All other polls are showing Harris gaining support. He said he was abducted by aliens. Right there is two things he’s wrong about.

Im sorry your calling them a joke but then post a guy who was abducted by aliens

538 ranks the pollsters and NYTimes / Sienna is #1 RankPollster538 Rating1.The New York Times/Siena College(3.0★★★)2.ABC News/The Washington Post(3.0★★★)3.Marquette University Law School(3.0★★★)4.YouGov(2.9★★★)5.Monmouth University Polling Institute(2.9★★★)6.Marist College(2.9★★★)7.Suffolk University(2.9★★★)8.Data Orbital(2.9★★★)9.Emerson College(2.9★★★)10.University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion(2.9★★★)11.Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion(2.8★★★)12.Selzer & Co.(2.8★★★)13.University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab(2.8★★★)14.SurveyUSA(2.8★★★)15.Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research(2.8★★★)16.Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership(2.8★★★)17.Ipsos(2.8★★★)18.MassINC Polling Group(2.8★★★)19.Quinnipiac University(2.8★★★)20.Siena College(2.7★★★)21.AtlasIntel(2.7★★★)22.Echelon Insights(2.7★★★)23.The Washington Post/George Mason University(2.7★★★)24.Data for Progress(2.7★★★)25.East Carolina University Center for Survey Research(2.6★★★)

1) I wouldn’t trust Rasmussen. They don’t release their methodology and sites like 538 took them off their aggregation. 2) there is not more than 3 states for this election. If Harris wins PA-MI-WI she’s at 270 without any other help.

The are getting desperate now. Trump is becoming more unhinged. The posted on here going crazy. It’s understandable. Us Bills fans know what it’s like to get defeated when you thought the game was won. Mayne next cycle the Republicans can nominate someone who is less crazy.

You can probably use the same address.

He made a mistake. We all know he was on a helicopter with Kobe.

Harris attacking the border issue. Trump has nothing now: Lol there’s been 2 polls good for Trump and 1 was Rasmussen. New NV poll with Harris up almost 6 https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/new-nevada-poll-sees-harris-with-biggest-lead-over-trump-yet

You know it! Probably in the Caymans.

Im really disappointed in this board on the Tupac thing. With all the conspiracies here, this is such a low hanging fruit. Kamala is obviously part of the Illuminati. The Illuminati knows Tupac is alive. Kamala, being sooooo dumb, let it slip that Tupac is alive.

JD Vance campaigning for Kamala now:

I’m tempted to toss $5 on Trump announcing he’s dumping JD Vance for Hannibal Lecter.

MAGA where being closed minded to ideas that don’t align with yours is a badge of honor. Imagine being so scared of the liberals, you need to create a separate message board and then block any new ideas on this one from getting to you.

Does Trump actually know the difference between asylum seekers and insane asylums? If someone explained it to him, would that change his mind in immigration?

Harris Team Fact Checked It: Donald Trump’s Very Good, Very Normal Press Conference Split Screen: Joy and Freedom vs. Whatever the Hell That Was Donald Trump took a break from taking a break to put on some pants and host a p̶r̶e̶s̶s̶ ̶c̶o̶n̶f̶e̶r̶e̶n̶c̶e̶ public meltdown. We have a lot to say about it. Here are some initial thoughts – with more to come. He hasn’t campaigned all week. He isn’t going to a single swing state this week. But he sure is mad Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are getting big crowds across the battlegrounds. The facts were hard to track and harder to find in Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago meltdown this afternoon. He lied. He attacked the media. He made excuses for why he’s off the campaign trail. We’re here to help because his staff clearly isn’t. But first, an important reminder on the question Donald didn’t answer: how he will vote on the Florida abortion referendum. (He has been ducking this question since April.) We worked to pin down reality so Donald Trump, bless his heart, doesn’t have to. Here are the facts: We had 12,000 and 15,000 people in Wisconsin and Michigan yesterday, respectively (Not 2,000.) The ABC debate is September 10th. Not the 25th. People have spoken to bigger crowds than Donald Trump. (Obama, Clinton, literally anyone at Lollapalooza, Coachella, the World Cup…) January 6th was decidedly nothing like MLK’s “I Have a Dream” speech. And Trump did not get a bigger crowd than Martin Luther King Jr. on that historic day. There was famously not a “peaceful transfer” of power after the 2020 election, which Donald Trump fought to overturn. (Famously.) Five police officers died because of January 6th. Donald Trump said he was off the trail this week because of the Democratic convention. (That convention is not happening this week.) Trump said they have commercials at a level no one else does. (He is being drastically outspent on the airwaves.) Governor Josh Shapiro is actually a great guy. Project 2025 author Tom Homan, the “father” of Trump’s cruel child separation policy, is not a person to praise. Jewish people should not “have their head examined” for not supporting him. (That’s actually antisemitic.) Trump said he was not complaining. He in fact very much was. Trump does not know the difference between asylum seekers and an insane asylum. Donald Trump does not “cherish” the Constitution. Abortion is not “less of an issue” for voters. It is not “subdued.” It is not a “small issue” for voters, despite how much Donald Trump wants it to be. Donald Trump did not answer the abortion question “very well in the debate.” Everybody did not want Roe v. Wade overturned. The American people do not support states banning abortion. After-birth abortion does not exist. Minnesota and Virginia are not the same. Donald Trump doesn’t know what progressive means. Kamala Harris does not want to take away everyone’s guns. Tim Walz is a gun owner. Vice President Harris does not support an arms embargo on Israel. Donald Trump could not remember Tim Walz’s name. Donald Trump’s tax cuts are not the biggest in history. We don’t know what “the transgender became such a big thing” is supposed to mean. Donald Trump will cut Social Security – just like he proposed every year he was in office. Government was not weaponized against Trump and Steve Bannon. Mail ballots are secure. We agree – Elon IS a different kind of guy. There are no polls that say Donald Trump is going to win in a landslide. The MAGA base is not 75% of the country.

I’ve really like living in VA over Buffalo. ——- Voters: How do you think you can get more black people to vote for you Mr. Trump Trump:

Honestly, he seemed more like he has really bad ADHD. He can't stay on one topic for more than a couple seconds, jumps here to there without a coherent transition. Either way, embarrassing.