Backintheday544

Kamala ahead in the polls under Nate Silver’s averaging: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

When the mind goes it goes fast.

Him or his campaign has yet to deny the allegations.

https://polymarket.com/elections Kamala up 6, Trump down 5 today on Polymarket. this did not go over well in the betting market plus all the bad polls for Trump.

Trump pulled from speaking when Project 2025 comes up You understand she didn’t attend that event right? That was an old folks home that out on their own rally.

When don’t know what the joke is, you’re the joke. in this case @Unforgiven

Old man can’t remember which water bottle is his.

It’s weird to call people weird for pointing out others being weird.

Predict it has Kamala winning for this first time: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

Sorry I had to crop the couch out to get it past the censors.

I think often unplayed so far this election cycle is Trumps tax cuts and jobs act. In order to pass thru reconciliation they had to make the individual provisions expire in 2025. They opted to make corporate tax cuts permanent. Republicans had a chance to help either corporations or people and they chose corporations. Vote Trump in and he will do it again. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election Alright I take back my Trump wins today if the election is today. Predict It has Kamala winning for the first time.

No, I’d liken it to wearing a Josh Allen jersey to a Bills game.

I mean if the election were held today, I think the data shows Trump would win today. But if looking at today, I’d think the Senate splits 50/50 and the Dems either win the house or the Republicans have a very narrow majority. That’ll keep anything from getting passed in reconciliation and nothing will get to the Senate floor. Plus last Trump term we saw how inept he was at getting bills passed, so I don’t think that’s an issue. If he wants to rule through executive order he can, but I’d expect Republican blow back on that and most of them to get caught up in court challenges. Plus with EOs they can just get reversed with the next Dem president like Biden did with a bunch of Trumps last time.

Huh? Y’all. They’re adults wearing diapers who I presume do not have incontinence issues. That’s weird.

I thought this was a post to post weird people. The OPs direction in the OP was a bit unclear and unintelligible.

I hate to pop a bubble in the bubble you live in. But doing things like ignoring Nate Silver because you don’t like what he says, ignoring how national polls are going because you don’t like what they say. Ignoring and disregarded basically anything you don’t like or that doesn’t hit in your narrative is ridiculous. JD Cance has one of the worst approval ratings for a VP in history. This isn’t me telling you that because it’s how I feel. It’s me telling you what polls of American are saying. Your Vance Bubble thing is what you’re living in if you think he’s liked outside of a subset of the Republican Party. Heres a good write up by the Hill as well giving Republican senators view of Vance: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4799235-trump-vance-republican-senators-divided/amp/ But go ahead and live in your bubble. Im just hoping hearing different perspectives and seeing how polling is trending real time will make you understand this election wasn’t stolen and that the signs were all there for another Trump loss.

If you’re happy with how the lead Republicans had being totally gone now, then good job. I’m your mind they did nothing wrong. If you were a sensible Republican you could see the American population has started to significantly shift against you and you need to do things to stop it. Easiest thing to fix would be getting rid of JD Vance. Polling for Trump dropped with adding Vance, which was at the same time as the RNC. So they fumbled a chance to get positive momentum. Any reasonable person can see money is now flowing to Dems and out pacing Republicans. Dem enthusiasm is now up when it was low. Trump can’t sell out a 7,000 person arena. If changes aren’t made to the Trump campaign, they’re on a losing trajectory.

Member when it looked like Trump was going to be President again and now it’s a basic toss up? How he had the best month in politics ever just to see all his gains go down the drain faster than people he hires for his cabinet get fired? Harris is doing what she needs to. Shes shifted the polls to a winnable election and now less than 100 days until the vote has the momentum. Will it be enough? We will find out in Nov but it’s hilarious how poorly the Republican Party has fumbled this.

Great analysis by Nate: