
Backintheday544
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Everything posted by Backintheday544
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Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I would point out that their mid September 2020 poll looked good for Dems (tie for President, +3 D for Senate). However, that poll had more Republicans saying their mind was made up, while Democratic support had more people who could change their mind. Seems like a month later that ended up happening. This poll is the opposite. More Dems have made up their mind. 11% of Dems could be persuaded to change while 16% of Republicans could be persuaded. -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Iowas best pollster who got 2020 dead on. A 14 point shift to Harris in a red state….wow -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Huge poll for Harris!!! 37R/33D/29I so a +4 Republican lean to only get a +2 lead. OUCH and MOE is 3.4. So even with the huge lean, Harris well within MOE. -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Appears Trump has conceded and called Walz the future vice president: Good election cycle yall but Trump is never wrong. -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Harris is like the Dolphins playing the Broncos last year. Ofcourse the Dolphins want to play them again and again. Run that score up! -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Indiana 2020 was +17. Now D backed pollster has +10 Indiana General Election: Presidential 🟥 Trump 52% 🟦 Harris 42% (R+10) 8/26-9/2 by Lake Research Partners (Partisan 🔵) (1.2/3 rating) 600 LV I feel our younger generation cares more about school shootings than pets being eaten, but that’s just me. -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Craziest bad news poll for Trump drops: https://talkbusiness.net/2024/09/poll-trump-has-commanding-lead-over-harris-in-arkansas/ Hes +15 in Arkansas. A state he won +28 in 2020. -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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Says the guy who loves the Republican leaning polls.
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new survey https://jewishdems.org/jdca-polling-home-page/current-jewish-electorate-research/ ago GBAO Strategies / Jewish Democratic Council of America (D) - Poll of Jewish Voters 800 RV | 8/27-9/1 | MOE: 3.5% 🔵 Harris: 72% (+47) 🔴 Trump: 25% In April, they had Biden 67-26 among Jewish voters. Netanyahu Favorability 🔵 Favorable: 30% (-33) 🔴 Unfavorable: 63% 92% believe someone can be both pro-Israel and critical of the Israeli government. 87% support Biden and Harris’s efforts towards a ceasefire and hostage release. You keep saying the focus groups are turning towards Trump. Every focus group I saw has overwhelmingly started gone Harris.
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Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
500,000 votes where the election was decided by 50,000 last time. I’ll take it. I don’t think anyone conceded the male vote. Camo hats, guns, Walz, male votes going. Now we did concede the incel vote but that’s ok. -
https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/presidential-debate-voter-poll/ WaPost interviewed 25 swing state uncommitted voters and critically have before and after results. 2 went from lean Trump to lean Harris. 2 went from lean Trump to neither or no response. 1 went from neither to lean Harris. 5 went from lean Harris to definitely Harris. Notably, not a single person moved towards Trump
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Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The odds of that are 0%. -
Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
No one tell Tommy. Let him be surprised on Election Day! -
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Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Im sorry basic logic escapes you. Do you Google how to stick a Trump ***** up your ass if you don’t intend to do it? -
Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Only one way to tell and that’ll be when we get the actual voter registration updates. 9.1 million likes now for Swift. Last election was won by 50,000 votes. Of 0.5 percent of those 9.1 million registered to vote in the right states, great!!! We don’t need huge numbers. We just need a very small fraction of Taylor supports to vote who weren’t going to vote, switch from Trump to Harris, or sit out and not vote Trump. your samples aren’t the same either: your sample: entire US my sample: people not registered to cote So ofcourse a larger population will have more searches than a smaller population. Great way to point out water is wet there. -
Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
There’s most likely a high correlation. I can’t imagine people are just searching for fun how do I register to vote. Im sorry you had a bad day and your candidate was exposed and he’s likely to lose the election last night. It’ll be ok. 8 years of Kamala will make everyone better off. Just sit back, and relax. -
Taylor Swift
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It’s like Trump was in a debate or something. Probably a lot of did Trump lose the debate is Trump senile. How do you register to vote? Well the first thing is to probably Google, how to register to vote. So the point is more people were looking online how to register to vote, which would lead more people to registering. how many people are Google how do I register to vote and don’t want to register to vote?