
Backintheday544
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Everything posted by Backintheday544
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MAGA Chaos in North Carolina
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Crazy we didn’t even make it to the second page until the whataboutism starts. -
MAGA Chaos in North Carolina
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Loving this map with NC wrapped up now. Trumps plan to defend GA and PA while ignoring significant spending elsewhere is looking even worse and worse. -
MAGA Chaos in North Carolina
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Don’t know how true that is since the rumor is it’s a sex thing. -
MAGA Chaos in North Carolina
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
He can drop out by tonight. Can only be replaced by someone not in the primary. If he drops out today, any votes for him on ballots already done go to who replace him. -
2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Sources with direct knowledge have spoken with Carolina Journal on the condition of anonymity and said that Robinson is under pressure from staff and members of the Trump campaign to withdraw from the governor’s race due to the nature of the story, which they say involves activity on adult websites in 2000s https://www.carolinajournal.com/robinson-under-pressure-to-withdraw-from-gubernatorial-race/ It’s like Republicans just want Dems to win. -
Harris gets Western PA teamsters! https://triblive.com/news/politics-election/western-pa-teamsters-endorse-kamala-harris-breaking-with-national-union/
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To give a liberal and right leaning side of the audits to see if this is an issue: The Heritage Foundation’s analysis of legal actions regarding election conduct found only 24 instances of noncitizens voting between 2003 and 2023. A study conducted by the Brennan Center for Justice analyzing 23.5 million votes across 42 jurisdictions in the 2016 general election concluded that there were approximately 30 instances of noncitizens casting votes. https://www.heritage.org/voterfraud/search?combine=citizenship&state=All&year=&case_type=All&fraud_type=All&page=0 https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/noncitizen-voting-missing-millions Let’s not forget all the Republicans in 2020 saying there was election fraud and looking through everything. Surely there were many referrals of illegals voting for criminal prosecution….. oh no there were not.
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Fire
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KAMALA INTERVIEWS! Goes as badly as you’d expect
Backintheday544 replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Great interview. When asked tough questions she didn’t throw a hissy fit like other presidential candidates. -
Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Thisnis Republicans were talking about. I think it’ll be hilarious that the poll watchers get so busy watching they forget to vote. Plus no need to cheat. Even with Republican voter suppression Harris has a nice lead. Hopefully we can get Antifa members and Haitians out side every country poll station. -
We won’t know until Nov, but if I was a Republican right now, I’d be mad they couldn’t find a better option than Trump (who was never going to get more than 47 percent of the electorate) and would be worried about the position my candidate is in right now.
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2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
538 has Harris with net positive favorability for the first time: Kamala Harris at +0.1 (first time entering the positive since July 2021) Donald Trump at -9.9 Tim Walz at +3.8 JD Vance at -10.8 Thats a huge difference to 2016 where Hilary polled well but was a net unfavorable around 10. -
Undecideds seem to be gravitating to her as polling shows. We even see the post debate bump that you so nicely pointed out. She said what she will do there and the undecideds said yes please. While the most coherent thing Trump has said is I hate Taylor Swift, Harris is giving the people a message that’s resonating with them.
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Trump 2024?
Backintheday544 replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113154156175795473 Trump thinks he has a shot at winning New York. Everyone encourage him!!!! Hopefully he will pull money from GA, PA and NC for NY. Go win yourself NY Trump, you can do it! -
2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Probably want to quit on McCormick. No way he’s winning. Right leaning poll that has Trump +2 in PA has McCormick down 4/5. https://insideradvantage.com/pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-50-48-casey-ahead-of-mccormick-by-four-points/ If he needs a Trump +2 to still be losing by 4/5 points, he would need a huge change to have any chance. -
If I'm Harris, day 1 as President I commission a statute for whoever got Trump to agree to that June debate. Whoever it was changed the course of our country's history.
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2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Another big national poll drops! +5 harris -
2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Right wing poll with Harris +3!!! Last poll was Trump +2 They had Biden +4 last election. -
2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You didn’t include anything. You showed who conducted the poll and their sample. Nowhere did you refute their methodology. If you’d like to refuse their methodology go ahead. Until then it looks like you just didn’t like who conducted the poll. That number represents 6 percent of Americans. It’s not far fetched. Here’s other research for you: Claim 1: Kobach wrongly takes issue with a 2006 Brennan Center study showing 11% of American citizens do not possess government issued photo ID. In 2006, the Brennan Center published the results of a telephone survey conducted by the Opinion Research Corporation (ORC), an independent market research firm, on the number of voting-age Americans who have government-issued photo ID and proof of citizenship. 11% of all respondents to that survey did not have ready access to government-issued photo ID; the percentages of those without ID were even higher for certain demographic groups. Kobach summarily dismisses the hard numbers without offering any reason to doubt the Brennan Center and ORC findings, other than that he finds them “implausible.” ORC is a respected, global provider of market research, providing polling and research to CNN, among many other partners and clients. Mr. Kobach’s intuition is not a substitute for sound research. What is more, Kobach fails to note that the Brennan Center’s findings are consistent with every independent study we have identified before and since: The 2001 Carter-Ford Commission on Election Reform found that between 6–11 percent of voting-age citizens lack driver’s license or alternate state-issued photo ID. A 2007 Indiana survey found that roughly 13 percent of registered Indiana voters lack an Indiana driver’s license or an alternate Indiana-issued photo ID. In a 2009 study in Indiana, Professors Matt Barreto, Stephen Nuño, and Gabriel Sanchez found that election restrictions like voter ID laws have the greatest impact on the elderly, racial and ethnic minorities, immigrants, those with less educational attainment and lower incomes. The professors found that of the citizen adult population, 81.4% of all white eligible adults had access to a driver’s license, whereas only 55.2% of black eligible adults had the same access. Indeed, study after study has similarly concluded that burdens to voting have a large and disparate impact on individuals with fewer resources, less education, smaller social networks, and those who are institutionally isolated. The 2007 study, Voter ID Requirements and the Disenfranchisement of Latino, Black, and Asian Voters, based on exit polls from the 2006 elections in California, New Mexico, and Washington State, found that minority voters are less likely than whites to be able to present photo identification. Many citizens who believe they have valid and sufficient photo IDs often do not. A national survey conducted after the November 2008 election found that 95% of respondents claimed to have a driver’s license, but 16% of those respondents lacked a license that was both current and valid. So of the of Americans who possess a photo ID, many lack proper identification that would enable to them to vote in elections under the new laws passed in Wisconsin, Kansas, Texas, South Carolina, and under legislation pending in many more states. Additional studies and research findings on voter ID are collected here. https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/debunking-misinformation-photo-id -
I HATE JOE ROGAN tweet in coming.
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2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Oh sorry I forgot that people you don’t like are automatically wrong. Very American of you Comrade. -
2024 Elections - House - Senate - States
Backintheday544 replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Nearly 21 million Americans do not have a valid unexpired ID: https://cdce.umd.edu/sites/cdce.umd.edu/files/pubs/Voter ID 2023 survey Key Results Jan 2024 (1).pdf Do you want to disenfranchise them? Do you want to create an illegal poll tax by forcing them to pay for an ID? You most not actually be American. -
#alllivesmatter
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Trumps abortion ban killing people