mramefa

I think running two TEs is actually a very good move for the pats and people here are overlooking how much it could help them. Cam has actually had the best success in his career throwing to TEs, with Greg Olsen leading the Panthers in receiving four years straight from 2013-2016. Greg Olsen also had by far the five best years of his career with Cam throwing to him (https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/O/OlseGr00.htm). From my perspective, Cam is best as a scrambling, run-option QB, and good TEs can help a lot those schemes.

Yet the second Fitzpatrick came in for Rosen, it looked like a different offense. How do you explain that?

Another option is to name it after Ralph Malph from Happy Days

Yeah, they did

Fair point. The math just shows it’s improbable that the high density of patriots players opting out is totally random (assuming players make decisions independently of each other). A player revolt against Belichick is another plausible explanation.

The patriots are doing something fundamentally different in their approach. Let me support that with some statistics. Right now there are 25 players opting out, 6 on the pats (source: https://www.nfl.com/news/list-of-nfl-players-to-opt-out-of-2020-season). If all players opt out with equal probability, there is a 1/32 chance each is on the pats. The total number of players on the pats opting out would be binomially distributed, with 25 coin flips, and success with probability 1/32 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution). The probability of 6 or more successes (i.e., players opting out) is p<1*10e-4 (https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx). Therefore having this many opt-outs on the pats randomly occurring would happen 1 in 10,000 times. Also come on, it's the pats.

He only had 25k guaranteed (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/baltimore-ravens/deanthony-thomas-14535/), but gets 150k for the opt out. Could he have been told he would have to fight for a spot on the team? Could have been a calculated financial decision, especially taking risks into account.

Two economists walk down the street and seeing a $20 bill lying on the sidewalk. The first economist says, "Look at that $20 bill." The second says, "That can't really be a $20 bill lying there, because if it were, someone would have picked it up already." So they walk on, leaving the $20 bill undisturbed.

If that’s true, then how did Wilson complete less than 60% of his passes each of his first three years in college?

de·prav·i·ty /dəˈpravədē/ noun moral corruption; wickedness.

One very important data point is that Belichick has seen more of Stidham than anyone else, and thinks Stidham can get it done at the NFL level. Based on that I'd bet he is at least somewhat successful.

I respect your right to this opinion, even though I think it is dumb.

What do you think the magic is for????

First they came for the alcohol, and I did not speak out— Because I did not drink alcohol.

The combine order for throwing absolutely changed the perception of Fromm. Fromm threw right after Eason, who clocked in at 59mph and was the fastest thrower in the combine. Fromm clocked in at 53mph, which is reasonable for the NFL. Watson threw 45mph in comparison... Among the other top prospects this draft, only Herbert threw a little faster than Fromm (55/54mph). Here's what the data shows: Year: 2020 Jacob Eason Washington 59 (Left) 59 (Right) Jake Luton Oregon State 59 (Left) 56 (Right) Steven Montez Colorado 58 (Left) 59 (Right) Kevin Davidson Princeton 57 (Left) 56 (Right) Justin Herbert Oregon 55 (Left) 54 (Right) James Morgan Florida International 54 (Left) 54 (Right) Jordan Love Utah State 54 (Left) 53 (Right) Jalen Hurts Oklahoma 54 (Left) 51 (Right) Jake Fromm Georgia 53 (Left) 53 (Right) Nate Stanley Iowa 52 (Left) 54 (Right) Anthony Gordon Washington State 52 (Left) 51 (Right) Brian Lewerke Michigan State 51 (Left) 49 (Right) Cole McDonald Hawaii 51 (Left) 47 (Right) Shea Patterson Michigan 50 (Left) 51 (Right) Kelly Bryant Missouri 47 (Left) 45 (Right) Joe Burrow – did not throw Tua Tagovailoa – did not throw

There were six starters last year, that Beane brought in as free agents: 1. Mitch Morse 2. Jon Feliciano 3. Quinton Spain 4. John Brown 5. Cole Beasley 6. Frank Gore (first half of the season) None of those free agent signings were from Carolina. In fact, when Beane has brought in Carolina players as free agents, they have tended to do worse here.

He acts like a crazy person, too. https://www.businessinsider.com/jets-robby-anderson-arrested-9-charges-sexual-threats-police-2018-1?amp

Here are the 15 quarterbacks with the most 4th quarter comebacks in NFL history (https://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/comebacks_career.htm). Not a bad list 1 Peyton Manning 43 1998-2015 2TM View Comebacks 2 Tom Brady 36 2000-2019 nwe View Comebacks 3 Drew Brees 35 2001-2019 2TM View Comebacks 4 Johnny Unitas+ 34 1956-1973 2TM View Comebacks 5 Dan Marino+ 33 1983-1999 mia View Comebacks 6 John Elway+ 31 1983-1998 den View Comebacks Ben Roethlisberger 31 2004-2019 pit View Comebacks 8 Matt Ryan 30 2008-2019 atl View Comebacks 9 Fran Tarkenton+ 29 1961-1978 2TM View Comebacks Vinny Testaverde 29 1987-2007 7TM View Comebacks 11 Brett Favre+ 28 1991-2010 4TM View Comebacks Matthew Stafford 28 2009-2019 det View Comebacks 13 Eli Manning 27 2004-2019 nyg View Comebacks Philip Rivers 27 2004-2019 sdg View Comebacks 15 Joe Montana+ 26 1979-1994 2TM View Co

Gus Edwards I think

I'd guess he's one of the two Bills players above the average line, at ~255lb. Impressive that Kelce is noticeably faster at a slightly bigger size, though.

I just saw an interesting post from NFL Next Gen Stats, showing the weight and top speed (MPH) for a number of offensive players in the NFL this year (credit: https://twitter.com/NextGenStats/status/1217540824809914368). From the graph you'll notice that a lot of the guys near the Pareto curve in size vs speed are among the most effective offensive players in the league (i.e. nobody as big is faster, or nobody as fast is bigger). Some standout names here are Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, Christian Mccaffrey, Travis Kelce, and Odell Beckham Jr. On the Bills, there's just a single player who's substantially above average for these metrics: Josh Allen. In fact, only two other Bills players are barely over the average line, and the rest are all below. For me, this is a clear indication that the Bills could benefit tremendously by adding top athletes to the offense.

He tried out for the Kansas City MLS team back around 2011. This attempt at a cross pretty much sums up how it went: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xhHNodHq5CU&feature=youtu.be&t=69

You need to be locked in the day before a game. Let's see what players are listed: Cody Ford Jordan Philips Ed Oliver Shaq Lawson Vincent Taylor Did a single one of those guys have a good game??? Coincidence???

The best case scenario is that the Bills draw the best teams possible, and shut them all down on their way to the SB.