Florida Bills Fanatic

I'm not big on Addison but I also wasn't big on T Y Hilton. Addison has been compared to Hilton by some people. If Addison can have a career like Hilton, I'd sign up for that at pick #27. I was wrong on Hilton and I may be wrong on Addison too.

This sounds like an agent trying to get his guy off a bad team and onto a real contender. I'll believe it when I see it.

Darius was a major disappointment for me. The guy was a beast at Alabama and did crap in Buffalo and was even worse after he got paid.

Just another indication that the Cheatriots are continuing to unravel. A bad roster and a head coach that may be past his "use by date". I am really enjoying their struggles but what I enjoy more is how their obnoxious fans have crawled back in their hole. It's awesome.

These kinds of comparisons are difficult at best. Drafting position plays a huge part (drafting first vs 32nd). Drafting to a very good roster vs drafting to a train wreck can make the player's contribution look worse than it really was. I look at longevity in the league as a fair indicator of a player's overall value. Players move around the league for a variety of reasons but the good contributors seem to be able to catch on with other teams and have long careers. For me, I only need to look at the win/loss record to know who has done the better job.

Looks like most of the activity that was identified was on day two or three guys. It is still good information that may tell us which position groups that interest them for the middle and late rounds. I still believe that MLB, WR, and DE/DL will be picked in the first three rounds (order will depend on the value at the time of the pick). If a really good OT falls to 27, they probably won't pass on him.

I agree with you, Graham can play. Great post!

Excellent analysis. I'm not sure that the Bills are as freaked out over the o-line as many of us are. I agree that they will add to the o-line but it may happen in round 4 or later. We also should not be surprised if a DE is taken among the first three picks. I think the Bills are still concerned about their inability to get to the passer with a four man rush. I think they will be looking for a guy that is quick off the edge. None of the current incumbents (except Miller) are quick off the ball. McD was not a big blitz guy in Carolina, hasn't been one in Buffalo, and probably doesn't want to become one now. WR and LB are more widely viewed as obvious needs. With the free agent moves already made by Beane for WR, he may be looking at some day two guys that need some development. He may believe that the worthwhile guys will already be gone by pick 27. I just have a (sick) feeling that Campbell or Sanders are going to be their early target. It's almost like when many of us knew that Oliver wasn't going to get past the Bills at 9 overall. I didn't like the pick then and I still don't like it now.

There is a number 4. what would it be like if the Bills had a running back that could actually function well in pass protection. All of this is conjecture, Knox is not the primary receiver on many plays. He was used a lot to clear zones or create congestion for underneath crossing routes. The Bills don't use their TE as a featured receiver of choice. Knox is a match up problem for many defenses but it seems that they use that to effect the coverage of other guys. When plays break down, Knox appears to be at his best. He has shown a knack for finding a hole in the defense and getting himself in Allen's line of sight. Some of his biggest plays have come on broken plays.

When I look at the WR's that will be available at pick #27, I don't see a difference with the guys that will be available on day two of the draft. I'll bet a lot of other teams will see it that way as well. DT is a fairly deep group in the draft and good players will be available in rounds 3, 4, and 5. Good players in o-line, edge rushers, and MLB are not as plentiful. Looking at what the Bills have done with free agents, I don't expect them to draft any interior o-line guys early. I think pick #27 will be a pick of opportunity (assuming that a player that they like falls, as they often do). With all that said, Beane will get a MLB, WR, DT/Edge, and OL. The order will be driven by the value available at the time of selection (BPA in a position of need). I just need to keep telling myself not to get crazy upset when they draft someone that does not fit into the fans' view of the world.

Coaches are the teachers but not all students are great students. Not all Chiefs rookies were big contributors. I don't equate all playing time with good contributions.

Sometimes rookies struggle with the complexity of the playbook on both sides of the ball. Shakir and Elam may not have had a sufficient grasp of the playbook or had some other deficiency that was seen repetitively in practice. The coaching staff is in a better position to know better than any fan.

I agree. If this happens, it could give Beane a future opportunity to trade a CB to fill a real need or to clear some cap space.

They had a plan but he didn't have the capability. You learn and move on. They'll keep him for some depth and ST but he will not be the starting MLB.

Bernard is not a guy that can play the middle in the McD defense. He lacks both the speed and length to do the things that this defensive scheme requires. If he was remotely capable of playing the position, Kline would not have been brought back last season. If you doubt this, go back and watch Bernard's performance replacing Edmunds. He was pathetic. Beane and McD saw this and they will take steps to protect the most important position on the defense.

In McD's defensive scheme, a MLB that can run sideline to sideline and provide pass coverage in the middle of the field is a necessity. Nobody on the current roster is that guy. I expect this to be a very high priority for the Bills in the draft (round one or two). As the Bills fill more holes in free agency, it is becoming more clear where they expect the draft to go. We have all watched Beane work this process for a few years, so we shouldn't be surprised by any of this.

This guy is a really complete back. He is a powerful runner with some burst, excellent in pass protection and has been underestimated as a receiver. Beane has greatly improved the RB room. Beane is also putting the Bills in a position to be flexible in the draft. At this point the only glaring hole is at MLB. Drafting WR, OL, DL, or TE remain important but not "show stopping" critical. Beane is doing what he has done in previous years to use free agency to set up for the draft. I really like this latest move.

Both Henry and D Hop are nearing the end of the road. They are not worth high draft picks to a team that has a big QB contract and needs to have low paid contributors on the roster to manage the cap. When Beane says that nothing big will happen in free agency this year, I believe him. He is not going to mortgage the future any further. The only way a big name guy ends up being added to the Bills will probably be a free agent that isn't getting good offers and signs on a one year prove it deal. Neither Henry nor Hopkins fit that scenario. While dreamers on this site continue to fantasize about what seems like every player in the league, Beane is managing the Bills to compete every year.

I went to London to see the Bills vs Jacksonville. There were six of us. We got our tickets through the NFL. The tickets cost was a little higher but we had our tickets before we left the US. We booked our own hotels and flights. We stayed there for a week. We did encounter a number of people that bought their tickets through some resale sites and got scammed. There were also scalpers selling tickets outside the stadium (I don't recommend using them). If you're going to spend the money to travel to the UK, don't cut corners on the tickets. Picking your own hotel lets you locate conveniently to the things you want to do when you are there. We made sure that we were located near the subway to make travel easy. That turned out to be a good strategy.

Foreman, Damian Harris and some other FA's could provide some better power running inside without breaking the bank. The Bills can't keep using Allen for their power running game. Nothing slows down a pass rush better than strong running between the tackles. It will also put some credibility in the play action pass plays. I don't think Lombardi Lenny is a viable answer at this stage of his career. I don't think he is a process guy either.

He is going to miss the 2023 season and return for 2024.

Davis wasn't the same after having the high ankle sprain. If the Bills had another comparable guy, he would not have been rushed back to play. The Bills really need to have at least four guys that can play ( cover for injuries, illness, and game plan flexibility ). Diggs and Davis are two with Shakir likely to become the third. Free agents this year don't have the answer IMHO. They need another guy in the draft that can push Davis and Shakir for playing time. If they don't draft a receiver in the either the first or second rounds, I'll be surprised.

For anyone who never had a serious back injury or back surgery, it is no joke. To return from surgery in a short period of time and compete as a starter in the NFL, is a significant accomplishment. We rightfully focus on the times he was beaten but we should not completely disregard the times he absolutely destroyed a defender. There just weren't enough of those plays. I have thought that quickly getting away from the running game put the o-line at a huge disadvantage in several games. This made Brown and others look worse than they actually were. Allen's propensity to hold the ball too long also skews the data. As many have said over the last few weeks, getting help on the o-line, improving the receiver room, better play calling, and a commitment to running the ball will all work together to create improved offensive performance. Brown wasn't great but swapping him out isn't the silver bullet that some believe it to be.

Actually, it would have taken inept shortsightedness by the FO. Even though Wagner had a good season, he has just about run out the string. Why is he being released from a bad roster? The answer to that may tell us all we need to know. At this stage of his career, he isn't the guy that takes away the intermediate pass routes in the center of the field. This is an important function in the scheme run by the Bills' defense. Edmunds is the guy that lets the Bills do many of the things that they do in pass coverage. The Edmunds haters would do well to watch a bunch of all 22 video of the Bills defense before making some of these pronouncements.

Excellent analysis! Given the unpredictable nature of NFL personnel moves, we may actually see elements from both of your options. I'm probably more optimistic than most of the people posting comments on this site. I do think that the play of several Bills ( White, Dawkins, Brown, Poyer, Oliver, Phillips, Davis, etc. ) were effected by past and current injuries. Contrary to the thoughts of some, I believe Beane will make the right moves to keep the team moving forward. I have also seen the cap growth projections for 2024 and 2025. These will factor into Beane's actions during this off season.