CincyBillsFan

The Ravens took their foot off the pedal. It was 24 - 10 at half and 38 - 10 at the end of the 3rd quarter.

Yea but two of those wins came against the top seeds in each conference with a combined 30 - 3 record (I don't count KC's last game where they played their water boy). After last nights result that 48 - 42 win at Detroit is looking very impressive. The fact is that when the games mattered the Bills lost 3 games each to a division winner and on the road.

Also while he did throw 3 INT's in the game, Cleveland's Winston lit the Bronco's D up in Denver to the tune of 500 yards passing and 4 TD's. And let's not forget the Indy game, again in Denver, where the Bronco's could only manage 193 total yards of offense but the Colts had that embarrassing Taylor fumble when he dropped the ball 6 inches before cruising into the end zone to score a TD that would have put Indy up 20 - 7 late in the 3rd quarter. BTW both these games were in the 2nd half of the season.

It's wishful thinking on the part of the ESPN "experts". As others have noted playing at home matching our strength against Denver's is not a bad matchup in the playoffs where everyone is at least a solid team. As for Surtain, I suspect he'll stick to Cooper and we'll Detroit Denver's butt. Also, doesn't man coverage lead to some big QB runs?

The Lions dominating win over the Vikings in which late in the 4th quarter Minn still hasn't scored a TD also helps Allen's case for MVP. That victory at Detroit where Allen had a fantastic game looks even better today.

I think their dark horse MVP campaigns are done.

Well so far tonight the dark horse MVP campaigns of Goff & Darnold are going down the toilet.

Both Goff & Darnold are struggling.

The fear of the Bengal's borders on the psychotic. They have won 5 in a row against bad to average football teams and they needed a fair amount of luck to secure 3 of those 5 wins. Check out the QB's they've faced over this span: Dorian Thompson Robinson (no TD's & 6 INT's); Cooper Rush; Mason Rudolf/Will Levis (4 INT's in that game), Bo Nix (rookie) and Russel Wilson. Wilson has been awful over the Steelers 4 game losing streak with 4 TD's & 4 TO's including a pick 6 and 2 RZ INT's. Wait until the Bengal's D gets a taste of Allen after facing the crap they've faced at QB during their winning streak.

Well the punter is probably the only sure thing.

Yes it is. But if I'm a voter and twice I've awarded Jackson the MVP for his regular season play only to see him flame out in the playoffs that same season I'm going to think long and hard before giving him a 3rd MVP until he shows that it translates to his post season success.

Hell if Miami wins against a Jet's team running for the bus harder then a hippo runs for water, the Bengals don't get in.

IMO there was no chance that the Jet's player would intercept that ball. Or to put it differently if Coleman isn't there that ball sails over the Jets players hand and is caught by Johnson for the TD. Also don't forget that Allen hand signaled Coleman to that spot in the end zone. Earlier Coleman had signaled to Allen to get the ball higher on a similar play. Allen got the ball higher to Coleman who was exactly where Allen wanted him to be be. The evidence is overwhelming that this TD had nothing to do with luck.

Have at it. But if analytics is working then it must show FUTURE outcomes. Describing the past is not very important.

Absolutely I want them to win. Of course don't put starters at risk to get the win but keeping NE from the #1 draft spot is hardly a reason not to want the Bills to get a record number of wins in a regular season.

Rank ordering QB impact on wins/losses using analytics. Unlike Baseball there are not enough data points and the data is to subjective/variable to provide much insight.

Not great but I have the feeling that this playoff season we will see the best Bills D in the Allen era.

Hopefully even though this did not appear on the stat sheet as a completion, the voters take a hard look at this play:

I have a lot of experience in data analysis and football is not a good place to apply it. Sure, you can get some insight but for something like this it's a significant overreach. After all how do you factor this into the calculations:

I'm not sure I've ever read anything this passive/aggressive before in my life. In one paragraph you manage to throw shade and love at Allen more then a dozen times. Damn, that's impressive. Allen was just as important to the Bills success in 2020 as he is today. Do you think the back-up QB beats Indy in the wildcard round that year? I don't. In 2020 it was conventional wisdom to play your HEALTHY starters for about a half in these types of games.

Yep and I remember they would often leave the starting O line in for the first series with the back-up QB. Then they also would take a seat.

Allen and the starting Bills offense (healthy players only) should play one to two series (a total of 10 - 15 mostly scripted plays) which would match what they do in one of the preseason games. It's important for an offense to stay sharp on it's timing. There is also a real benefit to the starters of practicing for a purpose the entire week. Keeping the practice routine constant is real important at this time of the year. Of course anyone dinged up doesn't play. There are a lot of HOF and soon to be HOF coaches that believed in playing their starters even longer then this in end of the season "meaningless" games. They would argue that the risk of suffering negative effects from playing the starters is not as great as the risk of not playing them.

I'm to lazy to look it up but I would be curious as to their preseason predictions on where the Bills & Ravens would finish this season.

Given who they've beaten and how they beat them I'm not sure I would call their 4 game streak "peaking". It's a nice win streak and it's kept them alive for the playoffs but it's not like they beat the Vikings, Ravens and Chargers in this run. To me the Bengals are an average team that has beaten three bad teams and one average team in their 4 game winning streak.

Agree but IMO the results of that last playoff game are the icing on the cake why I think this team will come out with their hair on fire against the Bengals.