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No_Matter_What

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Everything posted by No_Matter_What

  1. I think many posters will be really disappointed (again) this offseason, esp. those who expect some big name signing. I am no cap expert and I am be missing something but I've made some calculations yesterday and I'd be really surprised if we make some big moves. Yes you can do magic with the cap if you want to kick the can down the road, but Beane doesn't seem like an all in guy. Thus I expect maybe 2 big restructures but nothing more extraordinary. I am working with Sportrac data so feel free to correct me. My main idea is that we will bolster IOL no matter what so I expect big FA signing there. Right now Sportrac says we are 1.3M over the cap. Let's assume Morse retires (7,6M savings), we cut Beasley (6.1M), Klein (5,2), Sweeney (1M) and all fringe/PS players who are counted now (except let's say Hodgins, Stevenson and Cam Lewis), plus we restructure Diggs (6M) and White (6,5M). That leaves us with 35 players signed and 38,5M cap space. Then let's say we sign Brandon Scherff (8M cap hit - I guess he will command 11AAV but I'll only state only first year cap hit), Bates (3,5M), Phillips (4M), Zimmer (1,5M), Dodson (0,9M), Hughes (or similar vet, 2,5M), QB FA (3M), RB FA (1M), TE FA (2,5M), WR FA (3M), cheap DE FA (1,5), T.Jones (or similar 1M) and 6 draft picks (WR, IOL, CB, TE, LB, DE - together 7,3M). I count 6 rookies since it is unlikely that more will make the team. That is together almost 40M. You just need to fill the roster somehow. So I'd say top OL FA and thats it. Maybe you can save money here and there (Star, Feliciano) and take more expensive WR or CB or something but I really doubt we will be able to make a big splash for top CB or top DE. Or maybe we could but at the expense of top OL which I think should be a priority. Also, as follows from the above, I would be shocked if we keep Beasley or Klein, unless they take significant pay cuts. Finally, looking at our cap situation going forward, I think we need to get rid of Edmunds. I actually like him, and I think this defense will be much worse without him (unless we get some stud somehow), but I don't see how we can also pay him going forward, together with Allen, White, Diggs, Milano, Johnson, Oliver and Knox (and I'd pay the last two). So he is the odd man out in my book. Therefore, I'd really consider trading him now if there is a potential suitor. I doubt Bills see it this way though. If they do, I'd trade him, draft LB high (rounds 1-3) instead of CB and sign more expensive CB FA.
  2. I'd like to know but I promised to myself I will never visit chiefsplanet again.
  3. Stop running. Just kick the FG and be done with it.
  4. Absolutely this, it's not even close. At that moment I felt happier than ever before watching Bills (I've been a fan for 6 years).
  5. I think we are generally on the same page about our needs and which positions to draft early in 2022, but I disagree with the bolded. It's not only you but many people on this board say the same - enough of early picks on defense, let's go offense this time. I think it is completely irrelevant what we drafted in the past. We have current team, look at it and draft accordingly. I don't care if we draft 3 CBs in the first round in a row if it's somehow best for the team each year. But I do agree now is the time to draft WR and OL early. It's much bigger need than anything on defense (except CB, who would I draft also in first 3 rounds).
  6. He can't pick anybody named London due to obvious conflict of interest
  7. I am surprised that so many people consider as no. 1 priority anything else than OL. Yes we need to solve CB situation, I'd love to have an impact pass rusher, we could use more speed at RB, we should have TE2 option, we need youth at WR position, but all of that is imo much less important than OL. Seems to me that people are fooled by how it worked last couple of games and forgot what was the main reason we lost to Steelers or Jags and how OL weak OL was in general. Once you have QB then OL is the single most important unit on the field. Good OL makes everyone better. It makes Josh's life easier. Imagine what he could do behing top OL. I'd do anything to make them better next year. Both stating five and depth need to get better. I assume that Morse retires. If not, even better, but I wouldn't count on it. So here's what I would do: 1. Sign best IOL available in FA. If that means overpaying Scherff, so be it. I know we are tight in cap space, but this is one thing I'd do for sure. If not Scherff then Norwell or Jensen or whatever, just sign an IOL starter. 2. Re-sign Bates. If they really believe in him then make it 3year contract or so. Unless we get someone better I guess he becomes starting center. 3. Draft best IOL available in rounds 1-3, ideally in round 2 (round 1 WR or CB depending what we do in FA). Hopefully this guy will be better than any guard we have right now. Alternatively, if round 1 is too high for IOL, but there is OT available (Penning?), draft him and move Dawkins inside or to LT or whatever. If it makes line better, do it. 4. Draft one more IOL in later rounds. 5. Decide which 2 of Feliciano/Boettger/Ford are best in terms of quality/value/cap hit and keep them. Or maybe if there is another cheap FA better then all of them, keep only one and let 2 walk. 6. If Morse somehow doesn't retire then keep him and release one more guard. So my OL next year: Dawkins - top FA - Bates - draft pick - Brown (depth Williams as swing tackle, Doyle and 2 of Feliciano/Ford/Boettger/late draft pick/value FA) If Morse stays Bates goes to bench. If we draft OT in first just re-shuffle starting lineup somehow.
  8. I'll have a look on everything later, but as for the Bills - I love it. Top WR prospect with speed falling due to injury? Count me in. Best IOL/CB available in rounds 2/3 and let's roll.
  9. Alpha, I generally love your thoughts and input but I really dislike this one. Barkley is hure risk injury wise and no way I'd pay whatever he costs with our cap situation. We need OL, OL and more OL for Josh.
  10. Biggest need is CB. Biggest priority overall is OL though.
  11. Guys thank you for your posts, @beebe thank you for the thread. Being not from US, my only chance to "meet" with Chiefs fans was chiefsplanet, and as many have stated that is the worst fan forum I've ever seen (and I lurk quite a lot of others occasionally). Judging just from that web, I really thought that Chiefs fans were a bunch of arrogant, entitled and generally not good people. That was additional reason for me to hate this loss - I hate the arrogance of those fans that comes with it. I know that I shouldn't care, but unfortunately I do. But you made me feel much better about it, finding out that most Chiefs fans are nice people. Oh and I decided not to go to chiefsplanet anymore, lol.
  12. That would be fine with me. Tough AFC West could help us finish ahead of Kansas next year... EDIT: @CorkScrewHill @Billznut great minds...
  13. Not true and also not possible under current scheduling format. 3 years in row is max and that's what happened with Titans.
  14. Well I anticipate (and hope for) something totally different. I liked Cole and he was great for us but I'd move on. Get younger and faster (and/or cheaper).
  15. Why would he leave to work with much lesser QB, whoever it will be?
  16. I miss wait and see option. I would love to know if Beane would miss that option in the poll too lol
  17. That's painful to watch.
  18. Let's hope its actually Bills at Rams season opener. EDIT: Or Bills at Bengals lol.
  19. I didn't read the whole thread, so apologize if this was already posted. I am sure there are plenty of ways how to improve current rules, which are clearly not fair. But if NFL is lazy to adopt something more complicated, I really like what I read from Adam Schein on nfl.com today - just get rid of cointoss, and add overtime possession into the initial pregame coinflip. Whoever gets the ball in second half (or first, for that matter), gets it in the overtime. It is still not 100% fair, but at least you know what happens when overtime comes and you can adjust your strategy. But like I said, I am sure there are still much better ways how to solve this.
  20. A tear? I shed many of them, after the game and couple times on Monday.
  21. I don't know which one of your posts to quote but you are essentially saying the same all the time and it does not make sense. What does not being "good enough" means in your book? What I see is a regime which came after 20 years of mediocrity and built a powerhouse. We were in PO 4 of last 5 seasons, last two we were without doubt a top 4 team in the league, and we just lost in brutal fashion to a team which is now the biggest favorite to win it all. We are a great team, we just were (so far) not good/lucky enough to win it all. But we are, and with this regime most likely will be, in contention for the next decade. I don't understand how that is not "good enough" for any fan. It can only be not good enough for fans who "expect" us to win SB each year, which is quite silly as perfectly described by @BullBuchanan. There are 32 teams in the league, no matter how good GM is, there is no way whatsoever how to build a team that has more than 20% chance to win it all (and I think I am being generous here). As for drafting, you keep saying how Beane is again not "good enough". Can you please have a look at other teams, and list 5 GMS who have drafted better last 4 years or so? You do realize that nobody hits on all of their picks? He missed some, everybody does. But he drafted Allen, Edmunds, Phillips, T.Johnson, Oliver, Knox, Singletary, Davis, Bass, Rousseau, Brown, etc. You might not agree that he hit on all of them, but the fact is that they - together with guys from 2017 draft which were all extended by Beane and some notable free agents signed by or traded for by Beane (Diggs, Morse, Williams, Bates, Addison) - create the core of team which owns the division and is 34-15 over last 3 seasons (I think its 4th best record but I need to double check). Oh and by the way, we are one of only 4 teams in the league who went into the playoffs for the last 3 years. And even if there were let's say 3-4 teams who draft better or even have better GMS overall - do you really want fire Beane because of that and try to find somebody better? Because that is what you say when you claim that we "should be striving for elite". That makes no sense. You have a top 5 guy and you want better? Really? And finally, like @Alphadawg7 has written - if not for 13 second mental breakdown of defensive coaches, right now we would be getting ready for AFCCG at home vs Bengals as huge favorites. That is the team Beane built. How is that not good enough? I have no problem to point out Beane's mistakes, he certainly made a few. But overall he is a great GM and saying anything else at this point seems rather weird to me.
  22. Oh and while we are talking about narratives - so its edge rusher now huh? 6-8 weeks ago this board was full of people claiming that OL is the major problem, and how everybody except Beane knew it from the beginning. Now I count almost zero posts talking about OL, and suddenly we are back talking about edge rushers and CB2. I am not saying Beane did everything right. My point is that people are moving goalposts after every single game and blame him for underestimating just about every unit, depending on the outcome of each specific game. He is not playing Madden unfortunately.
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