No_Matter_What

Certainly not Bijan Johnson:)

You misspelled his name:)

1. Salary cap is a real thing and we have borrowed from the future quite a lot already (Beane knows this and was super conservative this offseason). 2. We overpaid for Von Miller, in a sense that he would've come cheaper (He is still great player though). 3. We might never win a SB even with Josh, since you also need a lots of luck a some franchises just don't have it (I already made a peace with it and try to enjoy every season nevertheless). These are some major ones from the top of my head. Many others were already mentioned. Edit: I'll add 4 somewhat related to 1 and 2: Diggs' and Miller's contracts are both one year too long and will cause us some cap trouble in two years (or even next year, if we don't win it all and Diggs won't take it well).

Harris, Sherfield and Allen don't count for sure. We don't know about Edwards yet but I am pretty sure Beane knows what is in stake and made sure he won't count. https://overthecap.com/compensatory-picks

Yes. And it looks more and more likely we get it, unless we sign a FA for over $2.5m. We signed 2 who qualify (McGovern, Harty) and let go 3 (Edmunds, Keenum, Singletary).

Yeah something has to be wrong there, it sounds really weird.

Nice summary, and I fully agree with the bolded. I think its worth adding that not all FAs count AFAIK, only those whose contract ended, not those who were cut. Or something like this. Yes, and this is a good source for this information: https://overthecap.com/compensatory-picks

This is great, I hope it stays that way. Extra 3 round pick always helps. If I were Beane I would be really careful who to sign now since it has to be worth it, which is unlikely.

I think Beane knows that and he is only traded if we get some WR or maybe OL upgrade in return.

Educated guess, I guess? I just think that people here don't believe that Bills FO can evolve. Yes they invested little bit more in the defense in the past, but I think that they now see what most people on this board see. I can't exclude that they will draft LB in round 1, if there is a value, but I am pretty sure that they overall focus will be offense. Just my opinion of course.

I don't understand why people worry so much about WR room being set. There is like 85%+ chance that we draft WR in rounds 1-3 imo. I doesn't guarantee that WR room will be upgraded but FO will try for sure.

Assuming that "up to" means he is in fact over the threshold I hope it does and also hope we don't sign anyone, unless it is really worth it. 3rd round comp pick is too much of a value to be lost for random UFA. Also sad to see Motor go.

Some people are saying that anything under $1.75M doesn't count, and that (hoperfully) includes Sherfield, and more than likely Johnson. If true, we are still 2/2 and basically waiting for Motor's deal.

Some comments directly in your post. If I understand it correctly Beane said $9M prior releasing of McK and prior Dane's contract change. That makes sense, and would mean we have about $12.5M right now. Since you need about $10 more for season itself (rookies, PS players, in season moves and 53man roster rule), we have very little space in fact. Just for one extra $3M FA and couple of vet mins. We definitely don't have $7-8M for FA without additional restructires.

Random question: anybody knows anything about Daiyan Henley, LB from Washington State? I've seen him mocked to us in the first (!) on some local forum, and don't remember ever seeing his name mentioned on TBD before...

Hmmm. It's on Sportrac and they have it much better than tweets above: https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/jordan-poyer-12500/ It says 10M guaranteed, 3.6M cap hit this year, 6.2M cap hit next year, and only 750k dead cap if released. There are some incentives too. If true, this is the best deal Beane has ever done lol.

I really doubt he will get bigger just beacuse we released him

Btw this looks like we are going to get a WR somehow very soon. I doubt we are going to enter the draft with just 4 NFL receivers on the roster.

It was always a possibility once we kept/restructured Hines and added Harty, but I didn’t think it will happen before TC (and I know he was due some $300k or so today). Wish him all the best. He was a good Bill.

I hope that anyone who mentions this as an example how our division rivals are getting better also mentions that Miami just lost him lol

I just posted this in another thread. I fully agree. And I like it TBH. I know most people here don't care about the cap or think it can always be manipulated but at some point we need to make it work with cheap guys as starters. We have top secondary so we have to survive having young LB next to Milano.

Apparently Dodson signed for $2M. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/tyrel-dodson-29586/ I wouldn't be surprised if we didn't sign any LB at this point and waited for the draft. And I can also imagine that we won't draft anyone high and roll with Bernard or Dodson as starting LB.

Agreed, it is a good sign that it will not be something his agent is proud of. But what would you think in fact means? I've seen even numbers like $10M AAV floating around, which seems way to much to me. I hope it is $7M or so. Also, it was reported as 2yr deal, but we've seen in the past that it actually can be 1yr deal with void year.

Ok, so its really just number of players in/out and ONLY IF you lose more players than you sign then you start looking at the contracts? So let's say we only lose Edmunds for that crazy contract and sign some random RB for 6/2 and we get nothing? If that is the case I agree with @HappyDays that once you know 3rd round is in play for someone like Edmunds you should start considering "playing comp pick game". Not saying that you should do anything to get that comp pick, just take it into equation. If we don't get it because we lose 3 players and sign 3 players I'd say it could be a mistake. If we sign 5 FAs who qualify then like you said its all moot point.

I know, you misread my post. I wrote $10M for rookies, PS players, 52/53 player and some in season moves, and I meant all these things together. $2M rookies $4M PS players $1.7M 52/53 player (not counted now, counted once the season starts) $3M bacis buffer for season Hence ~$10M total.