Odds of winning the mega millions are 1 in 302,575,350. The odds of me (or you) making the NFL as a good QB are better than those odds. The odds of Josh Allen becoming a good NFL QB are far far better than those odds. The mega millions has percent odds of .000000000330. First round QBs succeed at a rate of slightly less than 50%. We will say 40% and add in the “Allen is a bust waiting to happen factor”, so let’s say Allen has a 1% chance of succeeding. The true odds are exponentially greater, but to appease your hatred of Allen we will call it 1%. You would have to continuously double the odds of hitting the lottery over 21 times to make it more likely to hit than Allen is to succeed.