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Everything posted by ComradeKayAdams
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Global warming err Climate change HOAX
ComradeKayAdams replied to Very wide right's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
What exactly are the solutions to climate change that don't involve some form of a large-scale government-influenced initiative? This is an honest, sincere question for the message board. 259 pages of this thread are too many to peruse. Any specific articles, links, books, or YouTube videos I should check out? I'd be very open to free market solutions if there are good ones out there. -
I think it's waaaaaay too early to declare winners and losers in the coronavirus medical response. Too many factors and too many unknowns that need to play themselves out. Right now the clear winner might be South Korea, for example, which also happens to have universal health care. Any perceived failures among the medical responses from Europe's countries probably go beyond the simple fact that they have socialized medicine. It's important to note that pretty much every other major developed country outside the US has a healthy social safey net that includes universal health care. The rest of the world is looking in horror at the fact that we just sent 10 million Americans to the unemployment lines in the past two weeks (and eventually over 30% of our work force by some worst-case estimates) when our country has an employment status-based health care system with huge health care costs. Furthermore, the rest of the world is offering generous socal welfare goodies to get their citizens through this crisis like large UBI's and rent/mortgage payment suspensions. Oh yeah, they also don't have the enormous student debt bubble that we have looming over our economy. Oh yeah, and 59% of Americans were living paycheck to paycheck BEFORE this crisis began (source: Charles Schwab's 2019 Modern Wealth Index Survey). Our weird American economic system of "socialism for the rich, rugged individualism for the poor" (MLK quote) wasn't constructed to withstand a shut-down like this. And we hate anything associated with the label "socialism" so much that we may not even be politically capable of offering temporary socialism relief to avert a catastrophic social and economic disaster.
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It's a good start, but I see the infamous Lychee and Dog Meat Festival in Yulin is still set to take place at the end of June. I will not be happy if this is allowed to continue... China needs to ban this and all wet markets IMMEDIATELY.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
ComradeKayAdams replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Well I'm glad everyone here at least seems to understand the dangerous potential for crony capitalism in the coronavirus bailout bill. When the time comes, will we put away partisan bickering and push every single elected politician for the necessarily strict oversight? I have my doubts, but maybe I'm being too cynical. Regarding your statements on the need for more individual responsibility: there's no doubt a lot of truth to it for many Americans. But I also think you are generalizing too much here to the point that you may be ignoring the fundamental flaws with our current economic system. It’s hard for many to financially prepare for emergencies like this pandemic when wage growth isn’t keeping up with costs of living, health care, education, etc… -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Ok, well thanks for the advice which I am taking up by defecting to the Green Party, but just so you know I don’t reject capitalism and I have a feeling that we don’t agree on the same definition of socialism here either. I like capitalism with a healthy social safety net and a few key regulatory limits on otherwise laissez faire business and bank interactions. I also don’t have a problem with the existence of billionaires. My problem with some of them is the way they use their wealth to corrupt government, the media, and the military for their own benefit while simultaneously exploiting the working and middle classes. Don’t worry! Joe Biden won’t be capitulating in any meaningful way to progressives because he has said so very bluntly and repeatedly. Best of luck with the under-40, Latino, and white working class voting blocs. I can try and keep you updated on what percentage of the Bernie voting coalition I think will stick with Biden, based on my experiences and connections with the Sanders campaign. Right now I’d say a solid 80%, though that’s still double the attrition percentage from 2016. The coronavirus, however, presents such a huge unknown for society and for the economy that predictions at this moment in time seem pointless… You and me, 1915 Buffalo Bill Cody Fan! Howie’s campaign may be as unconventional as your use of punctuation, but together we can help him defeat Trump and Biden on November 3. Then we can celebrate with a big bowl of delicious TRUMPOLINI (I’m vegan, so no cheese please). -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Hi Bill, I have some free time tonight, so I will try to answer all your questions. I think the establishment Dems pander to progressives only in a very selective way. When it comes to most issues of civil liberties, I think they do a good job of giving us what we want and going to battle for us in promoting these positions. However, curiously enough when it comes to issues like social welfare programs or Wall Street regulations or progressive tax codes at the very high limit or the military-industrial complex or foreign policy or the environment, I don’t think they come even close to compromising with us. Keep in mind I am referring to how politicians actually vote and govern, not to what they say behind microphones. The reason for this discrepancy of support between issues? As you have probably figured out by now from my rants, my opinion is that it comes down solely to their corporate donors and how these politicians themselves benefit financially from these particular policy stances. Maybe you know a lot more about Cuomo than I do right now? I kind of stopped following him so closely since his days battling Cynthia Nixon. If he’s been pivoting more toward true progressive ideas, that is news to me and might actually make him an even more salable alternative to Biden at the convention. He’s connected to the Kennedy dynasty, too, which gives him a lot of cachet with low information voters. Oh yeah, here’s a fun fact for y’all: his dad Mario (a Bills fan, BTW) was a big national name back in 1988 and was the leading candidate to replace Jessie Jackson at the national convention if Dukakis couldn’t finish off Jackson during the primaries. History possibly repeating itself, in a way??? I would have liked the Democratic Party to have moved away from Obama and Bill Clinton and gone back to their FDR and LBJ roots. This sounds too radical to many message board readers here, but it’s not seen as remotely radical to Millenials (my people!), Generation Z, and citizens of modern Western democratic countries. I’m also somewhat to the political right of your stereotypical Bernie supporter on a number of issues like PC culture, second amendment, late-term abortion, Russiagate, Ukrainegate, border control, and nuclear energy. I’m also to the extreme left of them on a select few issues like the drug war, animal rights, and many aspects of environmental protections. As you can see, choosing a political party to belong to isn’t as simple for me as it is for others. That’s also probably why it’s easier for me to quit the Dems than it is for other Bernie supporters. Overall, I do still think of Bernie Sanders as an honest politician and a good person. I have no regrets volunteering for his campaign this past year. At the national level, I think history will view him more as an influential political iconoclast like Eugene Debs than just another presidential candidate has-been like George McGovern. I don’t think Bernie ever had the killer political instincts to defeat the party establishment and become president like Trump did. Bernie listened to a lot of bad advice from certain campaign insiders and did not do a good job of sifting through the typical ideological purity test nonsense that progressives tend to engage in so to unite the different factions of the movement. One example: I have insider knowledge that a certain high-up campaign manager personally dislikes Tulsi Gabbard and pressured Bernie to reject her endorsement because she is seen as too far-right for the movement…a bunch of high school mean girls nonsense that Bernie didn’t quell. I hope any of this was remotely interesting to anyone? Yikes I type too much… -
Mock with Dobbins in second...
ComradeKayAdams replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Hmmm.... I would maybe substitute CB with an LDE Lawson replacement here. Now normally I'm a BPA kind of gal, and I think Beane is a BPA kind of guy, but I - like you - think he should prioritize an RB Gore upgrade this year. Not too many draft picks are going to make this season's roster, so I would use a couple of these picks to trade up a bit to secure players whom Beane likes. Singletary is the McCoy-like lightning; the Bills still need some Lynch-like thunder. -
starters: Dawkins - Spain - Morse - Ford - Williams backups: Nsekhe, Long, Feliciano, Bates, Boettger, Salako This is a really solid group! They lack elite talent but have outstanding depth. Can the Bills even find a rookie OL starter in the draft outside the top 53 picks? Can any OL draft pick outside the top 85 picks even crack this roster's top 8?
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Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I personally know multiple Bernie supporters who will be voting for Trump in November. They seem to be motivated as much by dispassionate strategy as they are by anger toward the DNC. A sound Trump victory over Biden is supposed to be the second best outcome for progressives (aside from the obvious of Bernie beating both Biden and Trump) to try and take over a then weakened and humiliated Democratic Party. The pandemic fallout is also supposed to make the need for progressive policies like universal health care, student debt relief, and minimum wage hikes that much more obvious to the otherwise low-information, "orange man bad," Biden-voting Dem. I won't bother explaining their reasoning any further because I think it's foolish. The Democratic Party has proven to be corrupt to its ossified neoliberal core and beyond any internal reform. The latest example among many is the complete bipartisan support of the disgusting coronavirus bailout bill that was just passed. Even all of our so-called progressive Democrat heroes like Bernie Sanders, Liz Warren, Tulsi Gabbard, and The Squad could barely muster effective collective pushback beyond a few lame speeches. Feckless at best, complicit charlatans at worst. This was the most galling example of crony capitalism in American history with virtually no enforced oversight of the gigantic bailout money about to be siphoned off to large company CEO's over the next several years. This is worse than anything we saw in late 2008-early 2009. And then the hoi polloi were allotted $1200 checks to keep quiet for the time being. Maybe...or maybe not? My preferred strategy is to burn the Democratic Party down from the outside. Coordinate nation-wide worker strikes in the spring, organize grassroots protest movements in the summer, vote Green Party in the fall, and possibly organize a new People's Party beyond if the Green Party proves unwilling to try and actually win elections. Voting for a corrupt senile rapist war-mongering neoliberal low-key racist like Biden is only enabling the establishment Dems. Voting for Trump is only enabling a 40-year tradition of a failed Reaganomics libertarian economic philosophy that has hollowed out the middle and working classes, to the point that half of this entire country doesn't have enough savings to survive more than a month of a pandemic quarantine. Voting for the Green Party is at least a genuine vote for progressivism and can help them reach the critical 5% general election benchmark. I think I've now said all that I needed to say here in the "Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread." I don't care anymore what happens to this disgusting political party. I'll give the Republicans credit in that at least they are honest and upfront about who they are and what they believe. The Democrats no longer represent the working class and probably never will again. So I don't have a strong opinion on the Andrew Cuomo emergency option that has been bandied around the internet. But my advice to the Democrats is to go ahead and make the switch at the convention if your only public policy is beating Trump, as has been made obvious since Super Tuesday. I think Cuomo could conceivably stoke the necessary voting enthusiasm in the general election to win. I've long doubted Biden's ability to seal the deal, and that latest enthusiasm poll only reinforces my doubts. Force Biden to step down in July for "health reasons" or due to the Tara Reade controversy. The optics of wasting everyone's time during the primaries to undemocratically select a candidate at the convention are...well...not good, but at this point the bar for DNC political integrity is so low that Cuomo can easily clear it in July. Anyway, my political rant is over. Stay safe, everyone, and God bless all you health professionals! We will celebrate your heroism after all of this passes. -
Could the Bills afford him if they also want to extend White, Dawkins, and Milano? If so, he'd be a perfect fit in Sean's defense. There's still a need for someone to play strong-side DE. I think Addison prefers playing on the same side as Hughes, Murphy isn't good enough to start, and I'm not sure if an obvious high-quality DE exists in the draft after the first 50 picks.
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Wooooo! Kyle nailed it (see clip: 2:12-3:35). He didn't explicitly mention a Diggs trade, but the sentiment was 100% correct. I love the Bryce Paup reference (I would also add Mario Williams in 2012). I LOVE what the Bills are doing up in Buffalo. Maybe the third best AFC team on paper right now?! I appreciate everyone's kind words in this thread. I know all you dirty old WNY men have (red, white, and) blue balls right now, but I'll be back soon enough. In the meantime, enjoy:
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Projected 55* & Roster Discussion (Draft)
ComradeKayAdams replied to BuffaloHokie13's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't know, to be honest. I had assumed Howard was coming to Buffalo. There should be plenty of additional options through the draft and post-June cuts. Maybe the Bills should call Marshawn Lynch?! I saw him on the Westworld season opener the other night while locked up in my apartment waiting out this coronavirus apocalypse. -
It’s clear.....Super Bowl championship or bust
ComradeKayAdams replied to Beast's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's all part of their 4-year plan! 2017: build locker room culture 2018: build defense 2019: build offense 2020: finishing touches for deep playoff run Bare minimum goal should be AFC East Division title and first playoff victory since 1995. -
Projected 55* & Roster Discussion (Draft)
ComradeKayAdams replied to BuffaloHokie13's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He might be too expensive and not want to share carries with Singletary. We're almost done with free agency. Just need to add a vet RB to replace Gore and maybe Chris Harris too. After the draft, Beane also needs to extend White, Milano, and Dawkins. Of the OP's list, I think the following players end up getting replaced with draft picks and other free agents: Yeldon, Wade, Foster, Croom, Boettger, Thompson, Dodson, Phillips, Lewis. Interesting note: 5 players on the roster have connections with Carolina, all on defense (Butler, Star, Klein, Addison, Norman). -
South Carolina Primary 2/29
ComradeKayAdams replied to B-Man's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Yup. Doing the following voter math is incorrect: Sanders + Warren + Gabbard = total % progressives. Bloomberg + Biden + Klobuchar = total % moderates. Many people don’t vote along political ideological lines like that and sometimes (unfortunately) don’t even know much of anything about the public policies of the candidates. They may vote instead on perceived electability, personality, physical appearance, age, geographical representation, gender, race, single issues, and so on. The proof is with polls that show the second choice for voters. You’ll often see a progressive second choice paired with a centrist first choice, and vice versa. As I think I mentioned before, there’s actually a fair amount of evidence that the Democratic Party voters and the American population at large may be quickly shifting to the progressive left. Take Medicare For All as an important example: I saw a Reuters poll where 70% of overall Americans were in favor of it and so were 85% of Democrats. You see similar trends with a variety of other individual progressive policies. Polls going against this argument usually revolve around the word “socialism” and the electability of a labeled “socialist” candidate. The Bernie campaign, however, has internal (un-scientific) canvassing data suggesting that this stigma is eroding in practically every demographic. It already collapsed with the Millenials. But who knows? We’ll find out the truth soon enough. -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I’d like to say that it’s none of my business how others spend their money. But we don’t live in an anarcho-capitalist society. If you like living in the US and you like the Constitution, then right away you are relinquishing some level of autonomy for the paid service of national defense. I also assume you like the fire department, law and order, transportation, maybe the post office, etc… so as you see, you are already acknowledging that not all economic goods and services you consume should necessarily be subject to the whims of the free market. The key argument from the progressive left is that we should spend the next 8 months revisiting the following goods and services in a similar way: 1. Health care: Is tying health care access to employment status reasonable? Should people suffer or die if they didn’t choose a high-enough-paying job or if they have struggled finding decent employment? Should families go bankrupt over health issues? Are other modern industrialized countries around the world doing it better and cheaper? 2. Education: most of us are okay with providing free public education from kindergarten up through high school. Why is that? What about child care and pre-k care during the most critical development stages in a human’s life? What about college and trade school? Are the outrageous costs of higher education prohibiting working class families from attending? How is student loan debt affecting the rest of the country’s economy? 3. Environment (air, water, public land ownership, energy extraction, etc.): this could get pretty contentious if you don’t believe in global warming, but at the very least I hope you acknowledge that our use of air and water can have negative economic externalities that require government oversight. Analysis of Biden’s win and overall strategy: Hillary won SC roughly 75% to 25% in 2016, so it was always going to be a major struggle for Bernie to do much better in a Dem voting pool that skews old and centrist. This time, Biden won about 50% to Bernie’s clear second of 20%, with 4 other viable candidates in the race taking the remaining 30% (interestingly enough, exit polls had people in favor of Medicare For All at 50%, even though Sanders is the only candidate currently supporting it). So Biden did succeed in part one of his questionable strategy, which was to put almost all his campaign resources into securing his SC firewall. Part two of his strategy is now to ride this momentum and his “most electable” narrative into Super Tuesday and beyond. The major problem here is that Biden has practically no ground game or advertisements running in the Super Tuesday states! He put too many of his resources into winning SC. Fellow centrist Bloomberg is also in the race and eating into Biden’s vote percentage, and Bloomberg at least has the ads and a (sloppy but well-paid) ground game he put together at the last minute. Meanwhile, over here in Bernieland, we have a large, well-funded, well-organized grassroots ground game installed all over the country that has been extremely active since last February. The Super Tuesday polls largely reflect our superiority in organization. Understanding Biden’s Appeal to Centrist Dems: Yeah…I can’t do this one. Is it his amazing public policy platform of not being Trump and being friends with that one black guy from a few years back? His extensive history of government bribery and crony capitalism? His approval of the student no-bankruptcy bill? His support of the prison-industrial complex? Or his decades-long history of warmongering neoconservatism? Or his decades-long history of middle class-destroying neoliberalism? His potential for cutting social security? Or maybe it’s simply the large crowds he attracts at events? His highly organized campaign organization flush with cash? The way he challenges voters to fights and push-ups? The way he creeps up behind young women? Perhaps it’s his stellar debate performances? His dementia-fueled gaffes? His soft racism? His youthful exuberance? The sexual allure of his pearly white dentures? His excellent parenting of Hunter? What is it?! In any case, I find the centrist Dems’ affection for Joe Biden absolutely adorable. Like a kitten hugging a puppy. Awww…some think he actually has a chance! How precious. Have your fun for a couple more days, centrist Dems. But by Wednesday morning, it’s time to BEND THAT KNEE to Comrade Bernie. My pre-Super Tuesday power ranking: 1. Sanders – only question now is whether he gets the 1,991 delegate majority or whether he goes into the convention with a plurality and the joyous opportunity to have superdelegates undemocratically steal his nomination (as Milwaukee burns to the ground). 2. Bloomberg – the only centrist with the money to go all the way to the convention. 3. Biden – top current centrist who is only popular with black Boomers in the South, but will exit after deal made with Bloomberg sometime in March. 4. Buttigieg – only staying in because the Deep State told him to, but will exit Tuesday night [EDIT: ooops, just found out he's gone! Yay!!!] 5. Warren – fake progressive who is only staying in to keep Sanders from winning Massachusetts or running away with California delegates, but will exit Tuesday night. 6. Klobuchar – only staying in to keep Sanders from winning Minnesota, but will exit Tuesday night. 7. Gabbard – doing her Sanders VP tour, energizing the independents and libertarians! -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Good personal story and a quintessential American one, but as you said yourself, you needed a lot of people to help you along the way. What about the people who are telling us that they're not finding sufficient help? What percentage of these people are too lazy? Entitled? Hopelessly incompetent with their personal lives? Too immersed in victimhood? Indoctrinated in the left-wing school system? I don't think these kinds of blanket statements and accusations are productive if there is a genuine interest in halting the rapid rise of the progressive left-wing. I'll reiterate what I've said before somewhere in this monstrously large thread. There are two central themes behind the Bernie Sanders political movement of the post-Great Recession era (2008-now): 1. The corporate elite have corrupted America's political, government, economic, military, and media institutions to a now completely intolerable level. 2. Absolute wage growth is not keeping pace with the cost of living and health care and post-secondary education. The centrist Democrats since the 1990's and the Republicans since the 1980's have either done a terrible job addressing these issues or have done a terrible job communicating their thoughts and solutions to the working class, Millenials, and minorities of this country. -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Can I have it? I'm a Bernie-loving freeloader. So the privatized social welfare solution is exactly what the Founding Fathers had in mind. It made sense back then when you had a much smaller, more static, and less complex society with a vibrant Christian culture of private charity and strong grassroots political structures. But in the year 2020, it no longer makes sense to not have some sort of federal government-mandated social safety net. Government waste and corruption is always a problem, so we need to be more vigilant in policing these abuses. But this is better than having to rely on the Mike Bloombergs of the nation to bless the rest of us with their wellsprings of generosity. Speaking of Mike Bloomberg: he is worth about $65 billion. How much of that is going toward job creation? How much of that is he and his family even capable of spending in multiple lifetimes? The $2 billion that Bloomberg is using for his narcissism-driven presidential campaign could have been better spent on dramatically mitigating the homeless crisis in California, for example. As Bernie mentioned in the Nevada debate, people like Mike Bloomberg need to understand that they didn’t earn their money in a vacuum. Lots of other people worked very hard too to help him achieve what he did, and his company functions within a framework of an entire civilization that he did not singlehandedly generate. Paying taxes is part of the social contract we all sign up for in exchange for living in a civilization. The only question is how much taxation is enough? How much is too much? The political process and the first amendment can help us reach a specific answer, but the point is that the working class and Millenials and minorities are giving the country strong hints right now that the current Reaganomics trajectory isn’t working for them. Let’s try to avoid future Robespierres and guillotines and engage in a constructive dialogue with them, no? Comments on the Dem Primaries: Of the 19 states and US territories decided by Super Tuesday, it’s looking like 9 will go to Bernie, Minnesota will be a close one between Amy and Bernie, Iowa was essentially a tie between Pete and Bernie, 7 states (Texas, NC, VA, Tenn, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and SC) will be between Bernie and Biden with Bloomberg acting as a third-place spoiler, and Alabama will be the only contest where Bernie is expected to get blown out (but still finishing second). Those establishment Democrats who want to see the nomination stolen from Bernie at the July convention are going to have a VERY difficult time making that case after Super Tuesday. Five more days! -
I hear ya. I’m not familiar with the details of the individual financial contributions that AOC receives. I do know that she is very popular throughout NYC and that it would take some extremely creative gerrymandering to ever undermine her Congressional future. Moreover, it would be a terrible political strategy on the part of centrist Democrats to attempt anything like this, as she is now seen as an “untouchable” progressive. The political blowback to centrist Dems would be severe and widespread throughout the country. It’s rather remarkable how much power Pelosi has already ceded to a 30-year old political rookie, but it also speaks to the level of frustration the progressive left has reached and to where the country’s political future is likely headed under Millenials’ control.
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Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I think that ratio is only useful as a rhetorical device for left-wing progressives. The actual number, of course, tells you very little about the state of economic affairs. On the impoverished end of the spectrum, we only care about data pertaining to socioeconomic mobility and human health. On the super wealthy end of the spectrum, we only care about data on job creation and GDP. How much “socialism” and how much “capitalism” we should inflict on the national economy probably depends largely on the state of these numbers. You’ve been having a really great conversation here, so I don’t mean to get in the way, but my own recommendation (based on personal history with these kinds of discussions) is to avoid economic theory involving classical and Keynesian economics and what not and focus more on practical, real-world examples of New Deal mixed economy countries that we’ve seen since the mid-twentieth century. Australia, Canada, UK, and Germany are maybe the best case studies for the US. Many of these economies are doing reasonably well, with their citizens very happy with their social safety net programs like universal health care. All have yet to collapse into communism (there are just 4 current communist countries in the world: China, Cuba, Vietnam, and Laos). Venezuela’s economic crisis is also a good case study to debate, since there is a lot of misinformation floating around that topic. Also, this week Bernie’s campaign provided a more detailed review of his domestic agenda which might help foster a productive discussion (summary: it’s New Deal capitalism, not communism): https://berniesanders.com/issues/how-does-bernie-pay-his-major-plans/ One last related thought on this subject: wealthy CEO ranks are filled with individuals who would be clinically diagnosed as sociopaths or psychopaths, at rates much higher than among the general population. This is something worth considering when trying to analyze why laissez faire economies tend toward societal instability. These dangerous people, of course, gravitate toward government power as much as they do corporate power; too much power given to government is extremely problematic as well. We’ve already seen them in the Dem primaries! Pete Buttigieg and Kamala Harris are the most conspicuous to my amateur psychologist eyes. Switching subjects to the Dem primary horse-race: it’s now down to Sanders as the frontrunner and either Biden or Bloomberg as the centrist/moderate challenger. I don’t have a whole lot of super cool Bernie campaign insider info to share. Based on internal canvassing data, there are some optimistic indications (for us, at least) that the Overton window is very rapidly shifting left in the country, not just with specific domestic policy issues but also with the general label of “socialism.” There are also concerns, however, among high-level campaign staff that the Bernie movement is stalling with African Americans over 40 and suburban liberal moms. In any event, the three-pronged base of the Bernie movement (working class, Millenials, Latinos) has been solidified and is significant enough on its own to enter the July convention with enormous leverage. Are you a potential Bernard Brother sitting on the Dem Party fence? A prospective Sanders Sister? If you ignore MSNBC and just look at all of the polling data, you will see that Bernie Sanders is clearly the most electable of the 8 candidates. No worries; we’ve got this. So to anyone ready to join: we welcome you with open arms! But also…hurry up and do so before Super Tuesday so that Bernie has a better shot at avoiding a brokered convention! -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I woke up this morning feeling something. Biden reaching for side boob? No. It was The Bern whom I was feeling. Bernie Sanders continues to grope MY VERY SOUL. Here are my Bernie-biased thoughts: 1. Quick Analysis of Last Night’s Debate: I just finished watching a very condensed version. I am not a fan of this debate format and don’t give much credence to the perceived winners and losers. But if I were to grade winners and losers in this pointless pageantry, I’d say Warren clearly won first place, Bloomberg clearly finished dead last, Bernie did good enough as the frontrunner, and none of Biden or Buttigieg or Klobuchar did enough to stand out in any positive way. We’ll find out this weekend if Warren saved her fading campaign (I think it’s too late for this Hillary sell-out). Meanwhile, Bloomberg’s performance probably opened temporary space for a viable anti-Sanders alternative elsewhere, but this space should close again as early as South Carolina. Much of the latest polling data hints that Bernie may already be winning over older African-Americans and college-educated whites, as the narrative of his questionable electability is changing. Was last night the inflection point of the Sanders campaign? Do all your neoliberal base are belong to us? Not sure. But three decades of failed neoliberalism are hopefully coming to an end (fingers crossed!). 2. Nevada in Two Days: I’ve been told that Bernie’s precinct captains are proceeding as if cheating is an inevitability. They will have the tactics and the “advanced technology” (um, i-phones?) to catch The Establishment in the act. Will our enemies be so brazen? Any more caucus fraud is surely going to lead to some sort of Americanized Yellow Vest movement. I’m also hearing that neither Klobuchar nor Buttigieg added nearly enough campaign soldiers to their state-wide ground game in time for Saturday. It’s almost as if the rest of the competition decided to concede this state to Bernie. Oh well, no complaints! There’s no substitute for hard work, advanced planning, and good old-fashioned campaign organizing. Will the Las Vegas Sun’s endorsement of Biden and Klobuchar erode Bernie’s support? Probably not. No one cares about the mainstream media’s opinions anymore. And while I’ve personally never been to Las Vegas, I hear that the juxtaposition between his working class/Latino serfdom constituencies and the one percenters’ opulence is nowhere near as blatant and galling as in that city. What about that culinary union situation? Not a problem either. MCA offers the same coverage plus more in benefits, as well as the freedom of being able to find employment elsewhere without worrying about losing one’s health care coverage. 3. The Bloomberg Super Tuesday Problem: I’ve been informed that Bloomberg would legally be allowed to suspend his own campaign and “transfer” his staff over to another centrist candidate. The specific legal condition would be that these campaign workers be fully voluntary. This is something to think about if Bloomberg tanks in the Super Tuesday polls and if specifically one among Biden, Buttigieg, or Klobuchar emerges from South Carolina as a serious contender against Sanders. 4. Anticipating Future Attack Ads: Their main objective now is to keep Bernie’s delegate count plurality as far away from a majority as possible so to justify stealing his nomination at the July convention. So how can they do this? Well we’ve already seen most of The Establishment’s playbook. Ramp up the Red Scare tactics and ignore every other advanced country with MCA that has yet to devolve into a communist dystopia. Conflate the actual definitions of communism, socialism, democratic socialism, social democracy, and even fascism in attempt to confuse low information voters. Avoid Bernie’s extensive Senate voting record as a New Deal capitalist to further this distortion. Equate Venezuelan and Canadian and Australian and Scandinavian governments as the same thing, in much the same way that the US and Singapore and Somalia are equivalent capitalist societies. Ignore Bernie’s “Amendment King” moniker in the Senate to say he won’t get anything done. At all costs, step around Bernie’s central campaign themes of corporate elite political corruption and the concept of absolute wage growth not keeping pace with the cost of living (food, housing, etc.) and health care (70% polled nation-wide now like MCA!) and college education (traditionally the easiest way for achieving upward social mobility) since 1980. Equate Bernie’s lifelong criticisms of American foreign policy with treason. Throw in a few perfunctory remarks about Bernie Bro online zealots posting mean things and making people feel sad. Did I miss anything? Please indulge! How to stop Bernie at this point? I am taking notes. 5. Tulsi “Bad B!tch” Gabbard: Rumors are that she’s been visiting Sanders campaign offices on multiple occasions. I have no clue how common such behavior may be, but I will continue to choose to believe it’s because they are sharing campaign intel and collaborating in secret as a Bernie-Tulsi 2020 ticket. ALOHA, *****! Now if you’ll excuse me, it’s back to staring at my Bernie full-ceiling poster, rubbing my pink sickle with a voluminous vibrating hammer, with Rage Against the Machine playing at full volume, envisaging a White House repainted in a dark ruddy shade with the blood of our fallen DNC enemies. I LOVE the Dem primary season. Do you? -
Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
ComradeKayAdams replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Hello all, Comrade Kay here to deliver my Bernie-based thoughts on last night and on the general primary horse-race: 1. Regarding low voter turnout concerns: the consensus here is cautious optimism. We were ideally wanting 30% and maybe a few thousand more each in both Iowa and NH, but some of the voter suppression can be explained with the “vote blue no matter who” Bernie cohort who just aren’t passionate enough to come out and vote in the primaries (but will be motivated to vote for Bernie in November). Also, a huge chunk of Bernie’s support comes from blue-collar folks who can’t easily get out of work to vote. I was told there were also specific primary voter eligibility technicalities in NH last night that suppressed some of the college student vote. In terms of logistics, we could be running operations a bit better, but perspective is important: Sanders still won the popular vote twice now! I don’t think any Dem or Rep presidential candidate in modern times has done this in both Iowa and NH and still lost the nomination. Hey at least we’re not the tire fire campaigns of Biden and Warren! 2. On the issue of Bernie only getting 25% last night when he had 60% here in 2016: not at all a worry. There were 4 other major candidates competing with Sanders last night, as opposed to 1 in 2016. You can’t simply lump the voting percentages of Klobuchar, Buttigieg, and Biden into a “centrist” Hillary voting bloc! That’s not at all what any of the polling data are telling us about these voters. Many people are making their decisions outside the paradigm of “progressive” versus “centrist.” In fact, Bernie is a popular second choice for significant percentages of these voters. 3. Nevada: I’m told that our ground game is considered the strongest in the state, especially with the Latino vote, and that every one of our precinct captains is prepared for all sorts of establishment Dem tomfoolery. I didn’t get any juicy details because campaign higher-ups are supposedly being very secretive about everything. Part of that is because Bloomberg keeps stealing away our campaign minions with huge salaries! 4. South Carolina: this is the premier battleground of the Dem primary. It’s an all-out war for the older black vote in South Carolina now that Biden’s electability argument is falling apart. Once again, no one is giving out campaign secrets because of Bloomberg. But if you want my opinion, you would be a lying two-faced pony soldier *****face full of malarkey if you were to tell me that any of Buttigieg, Klobuchar, or Bloomberg are better positioned than Bernie to win them over. African American Dems over 45 tend to be a pragmatic and deeply cynical voting bloc, but I can’t imagine them voting for any of the aforementioned 3 for obvious reasons (google their names plus “African Americans” to learn why if you don’t know already). 5. Possibilities of a brokered convention: the emerging expectation is that this is unavoidable, so I think the plan is to keep winning pluralities in states while maintaining a safe distance from the neoliberal establishment melee of the other 5 main candidates (I added Warren because she is as much of a true progressive as she is a Native American). There will almost certainly be a lot of Game-of-Thrones-style alliances and backstabbing all the way up to and during the convention. Maybe even our dear old friend Hillary will show up! Yay! The longer some of the establishment candidates refuse to drop out and begin consolidating their support, the better for Bernie. No one knows whether Bernie will acquiesce and make compromises to maintain a seat at the Dem power table. My own opinion is that he will, which would be extremely depressing and possibly fatal to the progressive movement. This is also one reason why I prefer Tulsi a little more, because she’s a badass B word who gives no quarter to corrupt politicians or to failed neoliberal policies. 6. Media McCarthyism: it was only a matter of time. The establishment Dems spent 3 years on the Trump Russiagate conspiracy. And now that the Sanders campaign is gaining sufficient momentum, their media lackeys are pulling up high school essays and distorting quotes from half a century ago in order to smear him as an anti-American Benedict Arnold. Every drunken, over-the-top, Chris Matthews meltdown on MSNBC only helps us more in strengthening the one true weakness keeping us from an intra-party victory: the white college-educated over-45 liberals who still watch cable news. Our canvassing data also shows us that independents are not buying the Red Scare tactics at all. They tend to agree with Bernie’s long and consistent record of criticizing American’s foreign policy. The 1953 Iran coup, Gulf of Tonkin, 1975 Church Committee, Iraq WMD’s, Timber Sycamore, etc…Americans don’t want to morally and financially support this imperialistic nonsense anymore. I wish they’d realize that all of the so-called “moderate” Dems do. Frontrunning Pete the Cheat is maybe the worst of ‘em; he’s further in the Deep State than he is in Chasten’s colon after a couple of bottles from his billionaire donor wine cave…yeah, I went there. What are you going to do about it? Anyway, end of rant. Summary for the TLDR crowd: Bernie’s doing fine. Likely more than fine. South Carolina may be the final stand. After that, we be taking over the Democratic Party. Good luck! Hi Mr. Wild, 1. Gabbard 2. Sanders 3. Steyer 4. Warren 5. Biden 6. Klobuchar 7. Buttigieg 8. Bloomberg FYI, I’m a volunteer for Bernie’s campaign, will be voting Gabbard if she’s still around in April, would probably vote Green Party instead of Steyer and Warren, and would probably protest with a Trump vote if Biden, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, or Bloomberg are nominated. These are solely my own thoughts, however, and probably not a good representation of a typical Bernie supporter. I suspect most will fall in line with whomever the DNC anoints. In 2016, I believe 90-95% ended up doing just that.