Our entire secondary was out, 2 of our D linemen were out, our center was out, then during the game we lost a WR, another DB, our backup center, another O lineman, and 2 of our WR's barely played the 2nd half because of heat sickness, and yet we still had every chance to win, but failed to execute, and only lost by 2. That tells me that a mostly healthy Bills team playing the Fish in non-sauna weather is a boat race. It will be in December.
Also, people talk about Tua's record as a starter the last 2 years, but no one mentions those opponents, they haven't exactly played a tough schedule. Other than wins vs Balt x 2, and Buffalo, they've beaten NE x 3, Jets x 2, Carolina, Giants, NO, Detroit, and Pitt. Buffalo x 2, Tennessee, and Cincy all beat them by double digits.
If this Dolphins team was so scary, they wouldn't be +3000 to win the SB, they'd be more like +700 or something like that. Bills are +230. Nobody digs deeper into sports than Vegas oddsmakers, I trust them more than any talking head. Upsets do happen, but I wouldn't bet against Buffalo when it comes to Miami.